NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf22a59f3eda8a2dfb33616d4781bf574a7bc46d3b01737a1c82d9d5a835a8d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $519,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $561,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $519,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 803 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pistons | 36c | 36,142$13,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,179.06 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Grizzlies | 71c | 19,632$13,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,753.42 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Pistons | 28c | 15,719$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Pistons | 49c | 14,268$6,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,987.58 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 11,828$7,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,331.04 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 61c | 11,016$6,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,255.19 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons | 43c | 9,905$4,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,259.2 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Pistons | 49c | 9,517$4,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,652.44 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Grizzlies | 59c | 9,485$5,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,934.39 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 9,326$4,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,442.39 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Grizzlies | 68c | 9,245$6,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.1 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 32c | 8,529$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.05 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Grizzlies | 67c | 6,980$4,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.8 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Grizzlies | 66c | 6,954$4,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.12 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Pistons | 43c | 6,936$2,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,976.92 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Pistons | 41c | 6,868$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,838.22 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pistons | 37c | 6,788$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,507.67 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Pistons | 46c | 6,276$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,887.88 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Grizzlies | 55c | 5,500$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Pistons | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Grizzlies | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.99 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Grizzlies | 57c | 4,552$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.74 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 4,500$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pistons | 44c | 4,240$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Pistons | 53c | 4,000$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Pistons | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 3,626$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.12 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Grizzlies | 49c | 3,542$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.54 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Pistons | 45c | 3,502$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.14 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Grizzlies | 77c | 3,311$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.72 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Grizzlies | 76c | 3,266$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.94 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pistons | 45c | 2,995$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.75 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Grizzlies | 69c | 2,743$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.8 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 2,632$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.59 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Grizzlies | 57c | 2,393$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.92 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Pistons | 45c | 2,354$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.94 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pistons | 19c | 2,194$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.2 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Pistons | 27c | 2,178$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.26 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Grizzlies | 53c | 2,177$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.51 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Pistons | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.96 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Grizzlies | 57c | 1,929$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.02 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Grizzlies | 58c | 1,860$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.29 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Grizzlies | 55c | 1,825$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.23 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Grizzlies | 73c | 1,751$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.52 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Grizzlies | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Pistons | 47c | 1,502$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.94 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Grizzlies | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pistons | 43c | 1,448$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.36 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Grizzlies | 56c | 1,373$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.52 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Pistons | 47c | 1,296$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.4 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pistons | 46c | 1,241$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.86 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a76…2dfebacked Pistons | 41c | 1,222$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Pistons | 43c | 1,176$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.27 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Pistons | 36c | 1,128$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.32 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Pistons | 52c | 1,067$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Grizzlies | 47c | 1,063$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.25 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Grizzlies | 56c | 1,063$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.34 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pistons | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Pistons | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Pistons | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pistons | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Pistons | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Pistons | 9c | 999.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…d5d4backed Grizzlies | 53c | 900$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Grizzlies | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…b119backed Grizzlies | 61c | 840$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.25 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Pistons | 45c | 804.99$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.24 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Grizzlies | 43c | 755.81$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.81 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Grizzlies | 52c | 733.65$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.7 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 707.02$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.02 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Grizzlies | 56c | 700$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.68 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked Grizzlies | 49c | 700$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Pistons | 28c | 700$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Grizzlies | 48c | 673.14$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.32 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Grizzlies | 57c | 668.99$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.67 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Grizzlies | 80c | 666.81$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.81 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Pistons | 45c | 666.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…1884backed Pistons | 43c | 606$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257f…12fcbacked Grizzlies | 71c | 597.86$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pistons | 4c | 580$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Pistons | 42c | 562.46$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.76 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pistons | 43c | 560.17$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.34 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Pistons | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Grizzlies | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Pistons | 36c | 554.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Pistons | 16c | 525.69$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…bfacbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Grizzlies | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 190 | 38.4%73 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Grizzlies | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pistons | 40c | 495.69$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.3 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Pistons | 43c | 486.96$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.39 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pistons | 41c | 485$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.85 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Pistons | 44c | 463.29$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.85 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed Pistons | 43c | 407.95$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Grizzlies | 54c | 406.93$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.19 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 385$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…2785backed Grizzlies | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Grizzlies | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Grizzlies | 55c | 353$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.85 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8df…11dabacked Grizzlies | 67c | 326$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.