Ukraine · resolved market
Trump meets with Zelenskyy in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb472c7c5aaa18a76d8d17adeb37d82f6e60455939b51d915ac58761810e7bc7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $341,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $361,669
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $341,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 78c | 16,478$12,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,561.92 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 64c | 10,125$6,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,690.1 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 32c | 7,786$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.29 | 72 | 9.7%7 W · 65 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…6d4ebacked Yes | 38c | 7,709$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 26c | 7,287$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe465…ea00backed Yes | 31c | 6,096$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…722bbacked No | 75c | 5,707$4,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 26c | 5,152$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.05 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16d5…5e0cbacked No | 63c | 4,774$3,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed No | 66c | 4,772$3,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,637.62 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 29c | 4,696$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.28 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 36c | 4,532$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.48 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 29c | 4,257$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.76 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 35c | 4,041$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.12 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked No | 62c | 3,891$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.48 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 74c | 3,763$2,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.62 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked No | 71c | 3,762$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 33c | 3,552$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.7 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…6662backed Yes | 14c | 3,480$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked No | 67c | 3,119$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 28c | 2,995$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.49 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…e674backed Yes | 48c | 2,937$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 8c | 2,817$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.69 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd87b…cc95backed No | 72c | 2,806$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7286…b7f3backed Yes | 34c | 2,804$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…d1d1backed Yes | 46c | 2,483$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x735d…78cfbacked Yes | 14c | 2,437$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.09 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 23c | 2,375$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 31c | 2,327$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.34 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 63c | 2,292$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.62 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38cc…f88ebacked Yes | 8c | 2,284$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b5…590cbacked No | 71c | 2,283$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed No | 61c | 2,026$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…e0e5backed Yes | 49c | 2,023$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 33c | 1,869$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.49 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 22c | 1,826$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 34c | 1,820$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.75 | 108 | 12%13 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…13bdbacked No | 71c | 1,800$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f3…06c3backed Yes | 34c | 1,748$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.63 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb05…12f8backed Yes | 38c | 1,709$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.56 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +84%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Yes | 21c | 1,640$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed Yes | 22c | 1,600$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 12c | 1,571$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.37 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yes | 39c | 1,531$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.59 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 27c | 1,500$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…ddf6backed Yes | 34c | 1,480$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 9c | 1,443$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.62 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…8f8bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,437$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab5…ba4abacked Yes | 35c | 1,424$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,399$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.29 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…9b6abacked Yes | 45c | 1,350$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 35c | 1,273$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.55 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed No | 72c | 1,265$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.97 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 49c | 1,252$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.75 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Yes | 27c | 1,178$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 36c | 1,158$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.5 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 24cpaid | -71%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3b…3ad8backed Yes | 35c | 1,149$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 17c | 1,132$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.56 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 41c | 1,108$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.66 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.33per pick | 44cpaid | +142.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 66c | 1,102$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.91 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 13c | 1,097$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.37 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…bd66backed Yes | 1c | 1,070$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed Yes | 11c | 1,068$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 29c | 1,048$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.88 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…7d81backed Yes | 25c | 1,038$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 29cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 21c | 980.84$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.4 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 75c | 940$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.8 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8964…0becbacked No | 69c | 908.76$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.03 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9961…adcbbacked No | 64c | 866.67$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 38c | 857.76$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.55 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 29c | 837.8$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 71c | 829.14$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.14 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…e61bbacked No | 61c | 820$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.6 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes | 32c | 793.72$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.14 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…f9dbbacked No | 76c | 758.34$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.09 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…dc27backed No | 69c | 750.39$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…4e7abacked Yes | 37c | 750$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 26c | 746.15$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.49 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…38a1backed No | 73c | 687.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.95 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8182…7cf5backed Yes | 30c | 669.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.9 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Yes | 39c | 656.11$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.41 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 4c | 643.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe68…ae42backed No | 71c | 634.78$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e0…1f91backed No | 67c | 609.96$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +105%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 5c | 600$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 31c | 600$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked Yes | 31c | 560$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 31c | 555$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.05 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Yes | 26c | 548.39$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a2…8c84backed Yes | 39c | 510.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked No | 60c | 510$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed No | 61c | 500.3$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.47 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed No | 57c | 500$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.83 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…8c5bbacked Yes | 16c | 500$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…421dbacked Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.