NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Jazz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50f5e3695d9786ba326e83b25e53cbc263eaa0b5e271318b598bdca6b4790bc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Trail Blazers, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $411,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $415,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $411,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 707 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Trail Blazers | 62c | 95,409$58,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,842.58 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz | 40c | 57,986$23,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,605.34 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Jazz | 26c | 20,845$5,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,335.91 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Jazz | 35c | 13,037$4,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,448.65 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Trail Blazers | 69c | 13,002$9,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,011.54 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Jazz | 30c | 11,269$3,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,897.95 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz | 32c | 10,006$3,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,782.56 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435c…8079backed Jazz | 31c | 9,765$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,764.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Jazz | 30c | 8,294$2,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,806.21 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Jazz | 34c | 7,435$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,904.03 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Jazz | 41c | 5,907$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,485.31 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 5,578$3,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,213.98 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Jazz | 54c | 5,036$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.56 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Trail Blazers | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,950 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Jazz | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jazz | 28c | 3,801$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.06 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Jazz | 23c | 3,718$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,861.1 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Jazz | 45c | 3,526$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.52 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +9.7wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 3,499$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.71 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Trail Blazers | 74c | 2,718$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.63 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Jazz | 24c | 2,684$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.48 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Jazz | 26c | 2,317$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.34 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Trail Blazers | 70c | 2,198$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.41 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Jazz | 30c | 2,148$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.36 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Jazz | 33c | 2,035$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.69 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Trail Blazers | 71c | 1,910$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.72 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Jazz | 46c | 1,906$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.11 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Trail Blazers | 70c | 1,672$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.64 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…1715backed Trail Blazers | 69c | 1,520$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Jazz | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Trail Blazers | 70c | 1,487$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.23 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Trail Blazers | 69c | 1,343$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.67 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Trail Blazers | 74c | 1,334$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.85 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 1,214$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.65 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Jazz | 31c | 1,200$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.97 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Jazz | 31c | 1,183$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.47 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Jazz | 33c | 1,117$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.81 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Jazz | 30c | 1,100$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.49 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb004…51b4backed Jazz | 26c | 1,021$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.89 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 1,005$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Jazz | 54c | 1,000$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Jazz | 42c | 993.04$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.04 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…2000backed Jazz | 27c | 893.75$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Jazz | 31c | 822.91$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.63 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Trail Blazers | 77c | 800$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Jazz | 26c | 777.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.69 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…858cbacked Trail Blazers | 70c | 711.86$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d92…83efbacked Jazz | 25c | 676$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.11 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Jazz | 32c | 600$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 599.98$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.99 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…e883backed Trail Blazers | 71c | 567.37$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Trail Blazers | 68c | 553.64$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.08 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Jazz | 32c | 522.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.87 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Jazz | 31c | 511.76$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked Trail Blazers | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…b4e7backed Trail Blazers | 63c | 486.62$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.57 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Trail Blazers | 65c | 461.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Jazz | 34c | 444.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.57 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Trail Blazers | 67c | 440$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.19 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Trail Blazers | 69c | 432.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 306 | 48.7%149 W · 157 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Jazz | 46c | 430.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.21 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Jazz | 29c | 409.93$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.05 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Jazz | 26c | 392.68$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.82 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Trail Blazers | 11c | 381.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…bec9backed Trail Blazers | 70c | 356.11$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.89 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8554…c28dbacked Jazz | 32c | 350$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 347.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc3…3febbacked Trail Blazers | 65c | 339.99$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.3 | 83 | 73.5%61 W · 22 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Trail Blazers | 71c | 332.99$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.42 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9970…6b92backed Jazz | 25c | 304.59$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jazz | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Trail Blazers | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Jazz | 29c | 299.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.45 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64fa…380fbacked Jazz | 32c | 299.97$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.98 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Trail Blazers | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Jazz | 55c | 290.23$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.23 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Jazz | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Jazz | 11c | 281.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.67 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Jazz | 27c | 276.09$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.23 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed Trail Blazers | 70c | 270$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…c4d4backed Trail Blazers | 75c | 266.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Trail Blazers | 65c | 260$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…548abacked Trail Blazers | 69c | 250$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…4728backed Jazz | 31c | 250$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…5fb0backed Jazz | 30c | 249$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.3 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Jazz | 42c | 238.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.52 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 235.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x665d…a8ebbacked Jazz | 32c | 235$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7e…54ddbacked Trail Blazers | 69c | 223$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.82 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Trail Blazers | 67c | 221.07$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.12 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Jazz | 42c | 214.61$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.54 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Jazz | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Trail Blazers | 66c | 197.48$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.34 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Trail Blazers | 62c | 191.09$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.42 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Trail Blazers | 68c | 176.01$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.47 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Trail Blazers | 77c | 169.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Jazz | 32c | 163.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.98 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.