NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5335c227878da60daa6c35f85ff03f3e0600faedea8785db24b616aa84be7ad9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $629,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $709,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $629,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 814 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x163e…177ebacked Heat | 52c | 52,260$27,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,167.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44c…c458backed Bucks | 48c | 51,500$24,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,780 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Heat | 66c | 50,114$32,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,950.65 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Bucks | 35c | 37,071$13,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,971.14 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e45ebacked Heat | 51c | 23,083$11,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,774.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Bucks | 52c | 21,524$11,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,396.07 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Heat | 49c | 20,614$10,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,163.95 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Bucks | 53c | 20,502$10,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,539.86 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 56c | 20,417$11,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,379.16 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bucks | 51c | 15,355$7,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,548.81 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Heat | 58c | 15,009$8,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,714.5 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 52c | 12,916$6,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,707.03 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…16f1backed Bucks | 49c | 12,330$6,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,288.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18fb…3ebdbacked Bucks | 49c | 10,894$5,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,555.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Bucks | 38c | 8,438$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,256.04 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Heat | 56c | 8,138$4,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,534.48 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Heat | 60c | 7,291$4,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,354.12 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Heat | 42c | 7,135$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Bucks | 58c | 7,123$4,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.86 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Heat | 67c | 6,892$4,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,621.25 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Bucks | 46c | 5,129$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,783.97 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Bucks | 56c | 4,969$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.71 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Heat | 53c | 4,654$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.5 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Bucks | 57c | 4,049$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.69 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Heat | 50c | 3,960$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.64 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Bucks | 48c | 3,800$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.5 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Bucks | 50c | 3,659$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.5 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Bucks | 16c | 3,630$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,046.8 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Heat | 48c | 3,563$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.31 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bucks | 48c | 3,528$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.35 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Bucks | 53c | 3,400$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.53 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Heat | 69c | 3,200$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Bucks | 49c | 3,172$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.2 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Bucks | 47c | 2,921$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.12 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Heat | 50c | 2,908$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.6 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Bucks | 47c | 2,755$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.08 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Bucks | 54c | 2,752$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.62 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Bucks | 51c | 2,717$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.18 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Bucks | 54c | 2,639$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.7 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Bucks | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.95 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…1921backed Bucks | 40c | 2,268$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Bucks | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Heat | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bucks | 49c | 2,023$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.75 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Bucks | 32c | 2,000$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.52 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Bucks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Bucks | 45c | 1,967$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.78 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 54c | 1,683$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.14 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257f…12fcbacked Heat | 67c | 1,677$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.12 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bucks | 49c | 1,619$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.03 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…15e6backed Heat | 51c | 1,505$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2059…f1b4backed Heat | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Bucks | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb940…3c6abacked Bucks | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heat | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Bucks | 49c | 1,463$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.33 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…7f5abacked Bucks | 46c | 1,414$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…4623backed Heat | 78c | 1,283$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Heat | 58c | 1,157$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.71 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Heat | 73c | 1,150$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.65 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Bucks | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.56 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bucks | 52c | 1,103$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.59 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Heat | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Bucks | 57c | 1,050$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…b119backed Heat | 76c | 1,006$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.62 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Heat | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b4…f541backed Bucks | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bucks | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Heat | 7c | 995.12$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Bucks | 48c | 937.35$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.42 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Bucks | 32c | 925.22$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.22 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Heat | 72c | 917.28$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Heat | 50c | 916$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.77 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…b327backed Heat | 48c | 907.74$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Heat | 50c | 903.07$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.88 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Heat | 80c | 888$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.4 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Heat | 52c | 844.65$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.22 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Heat | 5c | 839.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Bucks | 50c | 810.48$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Heat | 51c | 776.98$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.26 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…d429backed Bucks | 49c | 768.03$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.97 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…02f0backed Bucks | 49c | 750$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Heat | 51c | 739.5$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.15 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Heat | 57c | 713.74$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.86 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked Bucks | 51c | 686.27$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.27 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Bucks | 52c | 623.08$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.08 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Bucks | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Bucks | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Bucks | 45c | 543.49$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.92 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…2785backed Bucks | 51c | 521.46$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.46 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Heat | 55c | 505.44$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.52 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Heat | 64c | 500.27$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.17 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Heat | 51c | 500.01$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.01 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bucks | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Bucks | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Heat | 48c | 500$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Bucks | 56c | 499.99$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 306 | 19.9%61 W · 245 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Bucks | 41c | 490.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.24 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Bucks | 49c | 466$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.04 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Heat | 61c | 406.2$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.24 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.