Middle East · resolved market
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcba58d7e057d3a6051d062d6b62388f9207b6f3bc9212835f137128720964c76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,088,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,093,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,088,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 406 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c9f…35ccbacked No | 54c | 124,000$66,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,960 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3db…ff3abacked Yes | 46c | 124,000$57,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,960 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea40…05a7backed Yes | 26c | 81,433$21,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,260.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53f…8707backed No | 74c | 81,433$60,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,260.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 55c | 41,590$23,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,005.75 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 41c | 36,537$14,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,550.92 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked No | 43c | 17,414$7,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,526.41 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 55c | 15,204$8,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,366.11 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 66c | 14,084$9,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,252.66 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 66c | 13,165$8,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,735.75 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…ee2ebacked Yes | 50c | 12,205$6,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,143.94 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…c834backed Yes | 50c | 11,000$5,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,550.39 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 34c | 10,708$3,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,066.81 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed No | 29c | 9,849$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.2 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…5b87backed Yes | 26c | 8,098$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,003.4 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 72c | 7,887$5,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,682.77 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 53c | 7,522$3,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,981.31 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…ec5dbacked Yes | 30c | 6,699$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,689.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 70c | 6,515$4,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,576 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 57c | 6,357$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.76 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…6475backed Yes | 48c | 6,207$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,206.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 63c | 6,008$3,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,762.05 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 38c | 5,473$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,402.68 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 34c | 5,359$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,546.36 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…2339backed No | 48c | 4,878$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.92 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ce9dbacked Yes | 28c | 4,785$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,459.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…709cbacked No | 35c | 4,646$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.43 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Yes | 37c | 4,194$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.98 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…fd07backed Yes | 42c | 4,051$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.96 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…f2cbbacked Yes | 30c | 3,980$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.1 | 76 | 10.5%8 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Yes | 27c | 3,915$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.84 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed No | 60c | 3,602$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.66 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked No | 38c | 3,032$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.29 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 22c | 3,009$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.59 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 33c | 2,977$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.31 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…cc73backed Yes | 36c | 2,815$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…6d62backed No | 59c | 2,699$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.67 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 73c | 2,692$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.38 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 38c | 2,586$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.5 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…b251backed Yes | 50c | 2,495$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b5…6950backed Yes | 60c | 2,433$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b5…590cbacked No | 62c | 2,381$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 35c | 2,236$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.64 | 156 | 26.9%42 W · 114 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 66c | 2,182$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.67 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…56b5backed Yes | 46c | 2,092$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.2 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 41c | 2,048$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.65 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 36c | 2,020$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.69 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 54c | 2,000$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,957$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.74 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 60c | 1,933$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.81 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 50c | 1,820$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.18 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f8…f705backed No | 51c | 1,813$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.87 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…f052backed Yes | 23c | 1,800$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 23c | 1,750$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.5 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 49c | 1,630$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.21 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 41c | 1,500$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked Yes | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95f…a6b0backed Yes | 46c | 1,381$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.23 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58b6…7687backed Yes | 40c | 1,300$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 20c | 1,231$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.37 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 73c | 1,127$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.04 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ea…0140backed No | 77c | 1,039$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…9a97backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +151%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…edb1backed No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac9…d84ebacked No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…1495backed No | 74c | 979.39$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e3…9d7ebacked Yes | 46c | 947.44$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.73 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6d…ee83backed No | 60c | 932.62$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 22c | 917.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.76 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked Yes | 70c | 857.89$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.89 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…1495backed Yes | 39c | 833.86$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.95 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…4e84backed Yes | 20c | 824.86$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17aa…cb3dbacked No | 50c | 806.35$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 50c | 800$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…6e02backed Yes | 64c | 799.99$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…4a54backed Yes | 44c | 790.2$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.2 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8182…7cf5backed Yes | 76c | 782.97$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 67c | 770.98$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.95 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 41c | 750.31$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.01 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 25c | 750$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 14c | 727$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.78 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed No | 70c | 723.09$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.47 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…98a6backed Yes | 58c | 722.39$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.69 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +282.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31f1…b7c4backed Yes | 47c | 714.12$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eab…ae5cbacked No | 69c | 705.51$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d42…9b05backed Yes | 48c | 702.76$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 60c | 700$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.18 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a15…0246backed No | 44c | 680.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…4ee8backed No | 75c | 664.64$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.33 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c84…9fabbacked Yes | 75c | 663.11$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f3…06c3backed Yes | 25c | 649.98$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.98 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3366…e5bebacked Yes | 37c | 642.58$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…338abacked Yes | 13c | 640$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.38 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 48c | 633.43$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.28 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 19c | 600$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 198 | 29.3%58 W · 140 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…bfacbacked No | 26c | 567.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…e305backed Yes | 38c | 552.44$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.52 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.