TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-03-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$216,496
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$218,530

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,496 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8067…5cc2backed Yes39c110,000$42,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,90010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc1…6217backed No61c110,000$67,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,900250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes39c30,900$12,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,179.451741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No61c14,600$8,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,743.9610845.4%49 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No56c9,664$5,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,230.1439842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No60c7,973$4,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,209.98748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No60c7,303$4,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,921.055754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No56c5,202$2,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,302.379244.6%41 W · 51 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No57c4,888$2,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.9930754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes45c4,456$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003818.4%7 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-59.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No66c4,038$2,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.695853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes40c3,778$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No59c3,243$1,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.6536851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed No62c3,000$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1502152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa933…6077backed Yes40c2,850$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1401723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid+186.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes39c2,747$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.881338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-43.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Yes46c2,583$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.682020%4 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x71da…35adbacked Yes39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a26…410ebacked Yes50c1,997$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.681070%7 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick40cpaid+107.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked No59c1,662$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.395448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa0…e7cfbacked Yes41c1,600$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99a3…0252backed Yes26c1,538$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.82540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked No62c1,452$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.434562.2%28 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No61c1,300$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.9920948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ec…f502backed No61c1,035$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39019453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x665a…174ebacked No61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes43c843.29$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36012230.3%37 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes39c741.21$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.0716447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2951…8f9fbacked Yes40c703.53$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.21741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f2…702cbacked No62c635.6$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.534100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed No61c631.74$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.3812921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x679e…66d1backed Yes41c603.07$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.261637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked No55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x101c…7df8backed No61c584.39$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.91862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+68.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c67…0cb9backed Yes39c561.54$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f80…cf55backed Yes39c512.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No59c508$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.2844955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20023942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked No61c500$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.55764.9%37 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bf3…326bbacked No63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d1…3718backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed No61c492.94$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.9420667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7cd…9973backed Yes41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5944…d541backed Yes44c431.14$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.750%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No59c399.97$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.9912956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No60c389.63$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.8517658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf9f…1dd3backed Yes39c378.62$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d28…b20ebacked Yes39c356.72$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No60c336.83$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.146956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Yes41c323.99$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.8412536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+33.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcaf7…6165backed Yes36c318.43$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes49c295.92$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14520462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc682…7c9ebacked Yes39c280.46$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.38633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x450a…6ab0backed Yes41c277$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.57560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+275.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9567…e505backed No56c265.08$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.941464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24e2…6c2ebacked Yes39c264.21$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.04520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-73.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008433.3%28 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9503…c47fbacked Yes39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed No60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes5c250$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x047b…ef6fbacked No62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a3f…3aa3backed Yes41c244.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.36785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+58.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes42c222.19$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.623441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85cf…f7f4backed No60c219$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x143b…b2b4backed No62c218.34$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.97955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e87…a5b0backed No62c218.31$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.96650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0054…7f85backed No62c209.3$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.211464.3%9 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b6a…672bbacked No62c208.73$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf862…e2babacked No62c205.98$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.27450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7412862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Yes45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8219…f1fabacked Yes41c200$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812015%3 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-73.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeba7…f213backed No62c199.55$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.83580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+53.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed No60c194.27$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.713452.9%18 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d2f…64e9backed No62c177.21$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf061…2572backed No57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.442835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e6…216dbacked Yes38c171.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-62.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes39c170.83$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5116836.3%61 W · 107 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3ab…ec05backed No62c168.94$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…5e12backed No80c166.02$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.463458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x187f…c378backed No61c164.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.321361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaae…0a3dbacked No62c163$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10a…b2d1backed Yes38c162.6$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.791266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+43.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff7e…697fbacked No62c162.23$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.65683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick56cpaid+54.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2918650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe10c…819fbacked Yes38c148$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No57c140.96$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.369350.5%47 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes26c137.38$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.725625%14 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad98…8733backed Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e5…c63abacked Yes40c126.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+44.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No60c124.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5529136.8%107 W · 184 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed No60c122$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.33641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013534.8%47 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes46c119.57$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557737.7%29 W · 48 L-8.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d96…91f6backed Yes47c119.54$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes44c113.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.972630.8%8 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.