TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Liverpool end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,010
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,634

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,010 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7363…f435backed No74c10,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96a7…b04bbacked Yes26c9,992$2,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,597.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x913a…4689backed No73c7,000$5,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8902100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Yes71c4,660$3,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,296.681747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e4…2bc3backed Yes27c3,957$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No72c3,750$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05012359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc1c9…0b75backed Yes27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa933…6077backed Yes28c2,900$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8121723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid+186.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No32c2,640$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.735853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No73c2,511$1,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.8636851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x178e…76f7backed No73c2,119$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.132138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No62c1,713$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.2930754.1%166 W · 141 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No66c1,581$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.189244.6%41 W · 51 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes10c1,536$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010330.1%31 W · 72 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1218…366bbacked No39c1,100$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6751190.9%10 W · 1 L+6.0wins+0.54per pick37cpaid+180.9%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Yes60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0678…9fd0backed Yes26c999.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2605038%19 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No73c999.9$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9719453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes64c865.06$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5557055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb826…8d67backed Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-47.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x471f…f60abacked No74c679.77$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.771376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick75cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No73c674.94$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.2444955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No43c674.21$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.310743%46 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x679e…66d1backed Yes27c661.19$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.521637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c27…1e28backed Yes28c599.05$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.8333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+75.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf342…5f9dbacked No59c570$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.7683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+110.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Yes36c562.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002020%4 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6265…dffdbacked Yes26c488$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes21c476.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.016735.8%24 W · 43 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd32b…8c67backed No74c445.41$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked No73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10812862.5%80 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb58…509fbacked Yes27c371.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c67…0cb9backed Yes28c358.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9503…c47fbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes27c350$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.516836.3%61 W · 107 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e75…7f86backed Yes27c281.48$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dc0…bcb0backed No74c270.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1997…1f86backed No74c266.26$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+111.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe97…a947backed Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb73d…0b78backed No74c262$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58d2…4fc7backed Yes27c259.26$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b97…cfc1backed Yes69c254.13$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751010%1 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick40cpaid-87.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1872…ae0fbacked Yes47c252.13$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.540%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc167…4056backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0054…7f85backed No73c209.29$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.211464.3%9 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Yes28c200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554619.6%9 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Yes49c200$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974269%29 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick69cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562030%6 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fa0…e7cfbacked No74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b7…6d97backed Yes57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid+38.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8219…f1fabacked Yes28c200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552015%3 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-73.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes25c190$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.19040%36 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb95…de6ebacked Yes26c189$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaffa…a8a5backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Yes28c167.86$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x019a…8806backed No74c166$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f0…9e66backed Yes72c156.4$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.61560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9781…6facbacked No74c154$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No73c150.07$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5246956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36a8…8718backed Yes58c137.93$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd104…7c02backed Yes59c122.95$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.548142%34 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x143f…1ad2backed Yes26c113.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2074…f485backed Yes27c100.89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes33c100.41$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3625735%90 W · 167 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2711218.8%21 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283525.7%9 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd15…1796backed Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+59.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x033f…53c8backed No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fca…ce68backed No74c95$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed91…4bd6backed Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+55.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202931%9 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe31b…07e0backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-50.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcaf7…6165backed Yes29c72.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.231136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec76…1036backed Yes36c72.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x010f…2170backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbe…0d3abacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-76%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Yes28c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.63046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes27c70$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.64032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-48%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcf0…5c64backed No73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.493100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf01…a1a2backed Yes28c67.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-56.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fbf…de7bbacked Yes21c66.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7942…0a32backed Yes26c61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9f…7b9bbacked Yes26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e62…4d07backed Yes27c59.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed No78c59$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.989341.9%39 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37cd…9547backed No74c58.11$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.11475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc073…e630backed Yes26c58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…14dbbacked Yes26c56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No22c54.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4339842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf61…20b5backed Yes26c54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e7…a18fbacked Yes26c52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x036d…a316backed Yes26c52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2144…dfe4backed Yes26c52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6613…144abacked Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1570%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72c2…f19dbacked Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-78.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dbc…51e2backed Yes26c49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.