MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed5f93b8507acf526c856a92b410de6895c6576af260af2248e0b24184b13b60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $499,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $560,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $499,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 365 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 44,080$18,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,553.31 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Yankees | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,199.98 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 26,513$10,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,456.7 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 25,551$9,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,964.82 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Baltimore Orioles | 25c | 21,266$5,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,380.62 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed New York Yankees | 57c | 21,053$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,052.63 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 61c | 19,419$11,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,550.62 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees | 74c | 18,511$13,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,897.19 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked New York Yankees | 57c | 16,000$9,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,880 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 14,475$8,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,934.6 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 13,433$7,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,910.59 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked New York Yankees | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.99 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees | 73c | 9,947$7,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.89 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 9,633$3,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,756.97 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 9,633$3,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,756.97 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 64c | 9,400$6,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,376.3 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 8,683$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 8,276$3,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,393.13 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked New York Yankees | 62c | 8,065$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.52 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 7,500$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.95 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 7,422$3,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,265.67 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked New York Yankees | 57c | 7,168$4,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.27 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Baltimore Orioles | 4c | 7,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 6,758$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.53 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 6,667$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 6,452$2,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,782.95 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed New York Yankees | 56c | 6,099$3,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.51 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 6,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed New York Yankees | 57c | 5,717$3,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,458.12 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 5,700$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.13 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 4,891$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.22 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed New York Yankees | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 77c | 3,656$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.81 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed New York Yankees | 58c | 3,236$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.04 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Baltimore Orioles | 4c | 3,193$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.73 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 55c | 3,037$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.07 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 3,015$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.9 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 2,737$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.55 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 2,665$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.82 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed New York Yankees | 56c | 2,536$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.9 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 2,280$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.4 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 2,273$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.38 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked New York Yankees | 57c | 2,028$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.07 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed New York Yankees | 63c | 2,000$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.95 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed New York Yankees | 56c | 1,984$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.93 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,890$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.86 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 1,858$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.53 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed New York Yankees | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed New York Yankees | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 1,741$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 1,698$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.38 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…5f27backed New York Yankees | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 1,457$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.23 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 1,344$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.02 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked New York Yankees | 63c | 1,334$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.74 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…c3c7backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 1,307$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 1,265$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.52 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…9671backed New York Yankees | 73c | 1,229$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.76 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 1,174$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.4 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…f61ebacked New York Yankees | 61c | 1,146$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.79 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,137$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.28 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,136$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.36 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked New York Yankees | 74c | 1,009$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.56 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed New York Yankees | 72c | 1,005$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.95 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed New York Yankees | 58c | 1,000$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…1fcabacked Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 992.23$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.05 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 924.51$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.7 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 912.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed New York Yankees | 67c | 910.45$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.45 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 897.83$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.8 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 862.11$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.42 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 813$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.81 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 795$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.8 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed New York Yankees | 57c | 787.65$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.7 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Baltimore Orioles | 25c | 774.71$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.74 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 731.76$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.01 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Baltimore Orioles | 4c | 719.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 658$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.01 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 640$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Baltimore Orioles | 4c | 622$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees | 57c | 600.03$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.75 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed New York Yankees | 65c | 590.59$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.71 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 583.4$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.34 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 9c | 581.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 580$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 577.28$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed New York Yankees | 55c | 543$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.35 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 523.35$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.89 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed New York Yankees | 62c | 511$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.18 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-5.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-6.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.