TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1394…a321

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT3554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.61
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.9
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$4.07
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$15.55
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$4.15
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Playoffsbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffsbacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.91
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.38
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Atreides · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+50%+$6
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$7.09
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.14
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.98
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.38
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Turma do Pagode - Map 2 Winnerbacked Turma do Pagode · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$7.45
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Playoffsbacked Turma do Pagode · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.74
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs SPARTA (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffsbacked BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$10.01
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: McCartney Kessler vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Lucia Bronzetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.47
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.85
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sofia Kenin vs Bianca Andreescubacked Bianca Andreescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$29.51
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Francisco Comesana vs Leandro Riedibacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.3
Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Sofya Lanserebacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.71
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Dellienbacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.64
Wuxi: Yasutaka Uchiyama vs Alastair Graybacked Alastair Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Jiujiang: En-Shuo Liang vs Yufei Renbacked Yufei Ren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.69
La Bisbal: Daria Kasatkina vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$77.7
Ostrava: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$11.41
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.91
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.67
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.28
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.62
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.52
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$50.71
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$66.54
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.31
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.79
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Bournemouth vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.