MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c27c518e91de7b1f868c749a89945bf936f1843ea317f0f541e6ffeafcb923b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 49c | 64,413$31,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,259.9 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 51c | 53,750$27,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,359.74 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 55c | 10,000$5,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,503.75 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 52c | 5,469$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.12 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 52c | 3,026$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.63 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Over | 52c | 2,843$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.64 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 47c | 2,062$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.09 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 52c | 2,023$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.08 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 48c | 2,001$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.59 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 49c | 1,648$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.99 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 48c | 1,517$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.35 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 49c | 1,354$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.09 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 19c | 1,124$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.35 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 49c | 1,111$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.39 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9101…78ddbacked Under | 48c | 1,107$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.78 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Under | 49c | 1,076$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.04 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…b180backed Under | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 52c | 995$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.25 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Under | 5c | 900$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 5c | 900$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 879.13$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.68 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 799.95$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.98 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 50c | 721.91$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.96 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 47c | 704.18$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.97 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 44c | 689.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.11 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 48c | 674.57$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.78 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 48c | 652$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.35 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 606.11$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.97 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 6c | 600$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 102 | 15.7%16 W · 86 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 52c | 599.71$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.86 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 58c | 561.33$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.57 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 534.34$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.22 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 497.27$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.22 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a96…998dbacked Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Under | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Under | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Under | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 48c | 372$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.56 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 365$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 52c | 359.17$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.4 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 49c | 349.04$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.03 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 49c | 303.56$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.52 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over | 54c | 277.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.73 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 48c | 263.83$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.15 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…dd55backed Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 51c | 253.01$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.67 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 58c | 252.75$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.6 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +289.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 58c | 244.29$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.69 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 72c | 225.53$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.98 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Over | 50c | 208$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 55c | 207.58$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.8 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 45c | 163.85$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 49c | 155.86$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.37 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Under | 49c | 153.93$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed Under | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 49c | 142.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 58c | 140$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 130$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 44c | 116.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 49c | 107.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f4…78a9backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 52c | 95.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…070fbacked Under | 49c | 95.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Under | 47c | 93.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 51c | 78.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 49c | 77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…be55backed Over | 52c | 75.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 50c | 74.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Under | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 40c | 69.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef6…9b93backed Over | 52c | 69.25$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Over | 52c | 64.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 48c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd7…8e4abacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Over | 52c | 55.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Over | 52c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 50c | 50.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago CubsChicago Cubs won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.