MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0d45f4a27a910b6771472ffe0f461a96600ecdb5ea726d656d37f9622467166
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Arizona Diamondbacks, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $333,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $354,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $333,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 110,044$64,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,235.37 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 81,612$33,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,460.94 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 40,800$16,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,728 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 23,810$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 23,682$14,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,426.82 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 19,200$7,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,871.92 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 12,402$7,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,084.82 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 31c | 11,831$3,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,616.06 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 11,336$6,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,761.27 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 10,628$6,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,178.94 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 10,031$4,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,188 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.99 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 6,098$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 19c | 4,929$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.2 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 4,310$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.2 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 4,191$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.94 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 4,012$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.33 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 3,850$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.24 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 3,500$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 1c | 3,417$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 2,512$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.07 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 22c | 2,395$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.59 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 2,351$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.29 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…ee46backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 19c | 2,302$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.76 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 2,222$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.02 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 2,212$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.94 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 2,176$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.41 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 2,002$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.97 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 7c | 2,002$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.72 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 1,870$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.84 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 1,800$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 1,665$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,382$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.51 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 1,111$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.51 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,100$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.37 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 1,069$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.08 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 1,055$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.44 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 1,020$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,020$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…033bbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 1,017$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 1,000$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.52 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago Cubs | 72c | 825.17$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.21 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Chicago Cubs | 76c | 820$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.15 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 814.74$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.05 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 5c | 731.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 717$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.8 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 640$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 615.93$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.68 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Chicago Cubs | 46c | 574.89$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.95 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 504$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.27 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Chicago Cubs | 43c | 469.96$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.88 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Chicago Cubs | 69c | 469.35$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.91 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 17c | 466.57$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 456.1$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.36 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 452.46$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.74 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 426.09$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.37 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 426$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.66 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 392.77$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.11 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 389$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.94 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9482…36b4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 317.45$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.38 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 299.98$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 289.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 277.87$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.59 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 275$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 249.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 242.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 241.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…4fcfbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 237.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 234.58$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.21 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 233.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0625…96babacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 8c | 233.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…101fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 224.62$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.09 | 332 | 41.3%137 W · 195 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 223.29$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.55 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Chicago Cubs | 45c | 221.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Chicago Cubs | 80c | 219.41$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Chicago Cubs | 40c | 214.97$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.97 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 361 | 57.9%209 W · 152 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 199.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 9c | 189.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 261 | 48.3%126 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…57a1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 168.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 168.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 167$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea0…865dbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 155$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 151.46$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Chicago Cubs | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 18c | 149.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.