TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gentle Matesof MOUZ, Gentle Mates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$176,167
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,446

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,167 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked MOUZ69c13,745$9,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,440.3376058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked MOUZ58c10,310$5,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,967.4144957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Gentle Mates43c8,496$3,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,867.1981843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Gentle Mates30c7,074$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,973.871040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Gentle Mates39c6,850$2,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,198.823,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed MOUZ66c6,345$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,200.1637646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked MOUZ48c6,084$2,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,894.0426045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde8f…2c72backed MOUZ48c4,731$2,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,268.7828056.4%158 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c70…1d71backed MOUZ72c4,250$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0604965.3%32 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Gentle Mates45c2,892$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.6859839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Gentle Mates47c2,841$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.541,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed MOUZ54c2,659$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43314839.2%58 W · 90 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked MOUZ11c2,520$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.2958254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc99…ce7ebacked Gentle Mates47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.618933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked MOUZ55c2,100$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15575056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Gentle Mates46c1,927$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.7119540%78 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Gentle Mates38c1,855$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.122,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed MOUZ35c1,704$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.411,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x932c…8658backed MOUZ17c1,700$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2967243.1%31 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed MOUZ52c1,694$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.986030%18 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ11c1,675$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.287047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed MOUZ61c1,628$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00034156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Gentle Mates37c1,592$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.778639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Gentle Mates77c1,460$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.791,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Gentle Mates62c1,350$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.4838868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Gentle Mates49c1,324$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.4252951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ61c1,250$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.931,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Gentle Mates48c1,203$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.9798856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed MOUZ46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017460.3%105 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Gentle Mates37c999.99$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.93,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Gentle Mates27c999.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.9997040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…4df8backed MOUZ54c937.46$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.2318356.3%103 W · 80 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Gentle Mates40c911.36$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.662,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd97…a2c9backed MOUZ55c883.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.253748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ16c840.54$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.951,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6117…2fafbacked Gentle Mates78c826.54$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.479856.1%55 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ46c794.66$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.5445058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Gentle Mates46c793.86$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.996,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Gentle Mates28c792.86$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.864734%16 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Gentle Mates48c742.4$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.034,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Gentle Mates68c708$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.854,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe081…fc19backed Gentle Mates29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.662638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed MOUZ73c684.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ73c675.49$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.285,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Gentle Mates42c657.11$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.732,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ca2…5d25backed Gentle Mates73c653.42$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.0317759.9%106 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked MOUZ69c650.38$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45028443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed MOUZ56c636.77$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35517554.9%96 W · 79 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Gentle Mates59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24632346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b14…039bbacked Gentle Mates59c584.75$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.7511871.2%84 W · 34 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked MOUZ53c536.92$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.163,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Gentle Mates37c535$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.055,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Gentle Mates39c514.8$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.381,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Gentle Mates27c499.98$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.981,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed MOUZ12c499.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6032136.8%118 W · 203 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ66c484.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.153444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked MOUZ71c481.08$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.5612045%54 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed MOUZ57c472.63$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.450846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Gentle Mates26c432.43$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3206744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed MOUZ7c427.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9642427.1%115 W · 309 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5b4…980abacked Gentle Mates28c412.4$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.621250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked MOUZ66c407.16$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.9439847.7%190 W · 208 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed MOUZ55c399.97$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9916850.6%85 W · 83 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked MOUZ63c390$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.48664%55 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed Gentle Mates51c388.73$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.74146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…420cbacked MOUZ54c371.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010153.5%54 W · 47 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Gentle Mates51c367.32$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.511,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ23c365.78$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.82,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed MOUZ56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002832.1%9 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-39.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb27d…3cc3backed MOUZ73c342.47$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016254.3%88 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked MOUZ74c337.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25041069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked MOUZ22c328.35$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5927452.2%143 W · 131 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1b2…4ec3backed Gentle Mates57c321.16$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.797164.8%46 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Gentle Mates37c316.36$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1288746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fbb…7e44backed MOUZ64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012871.9%92 W · 36 L+16.8wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+20.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed MOUZ73c311.13$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.422,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0fb…b170backed Gentle Mates41c305.74$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.0211442.1%48 W · 66 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed MOUZ12c300$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3518442.9%79 W · 105 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked MOUZ6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185738.6%22 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92e6…8222backed MOUZ73c299.36$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.0322259.9%133 W · 89 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b76…1a84backed MOUZ72c288.52$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.733767.6%25 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked MOUZ64c278.37$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.174850%24 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Gentle Mates58c266.74$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.311,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed MOUZ70c250$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.564058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed MOUZ33c250$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.542845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked MOUZ12c246.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.261,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Gentle Mates28c241.49$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.0263541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed MOUZ28c240$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6639258.2%228 W · 164 L+18.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Gentle Mates26c234.76$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.725251.9%27 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked MOUZ56c225$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12530348.5%147 W · 156 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Gentle Mates46c223.44$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.161,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9851…1320backed MOUZ10c220.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8512848.4%62 W · 66 L-11.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10081751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0734backed MOUZ65c214.47$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1318848.4%91 W · 97 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5da4…19ecbacked MOUZ70c209.79$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.85540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed MOUZ36c209.54$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.463562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b37…17bdbacked MOUZ18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ43c199.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.132,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc061…a297backed MOUZ28c199.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.192147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed MOUZ60c199.96$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9860838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.