MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf452caebf91098fcaabe0095888561de1b617d1fdf667c69523f8ba61350e875
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof Baltimore Orioles, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $618,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $626,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $618,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 376 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 135,155$43,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,883.08 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Yankees | 68c | 79,500$53,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,709.99 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 67,750$23,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,034.97 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 67c | 60,188$40,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,895.5 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…4830backed New York Yankees | 66c | 56,654$37,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,262.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed New York Yankees | 67c | 40,000$26,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,211.61 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 32,718$5,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,562.13 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 21,235$7,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,364.16 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 14,300$4,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,959 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 14,265$4,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,445.54 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Baltimore Orioles | 24c | 11,802$2,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,854.12 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees | 69c | 10,788$7,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,344.41 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed New York Yankees | 66c | 10,166$6,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,456.32 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc8backed New York Yankees | 66c | 10,152$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,451.52 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 16c | 9,981$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.97 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed New York Yankees | 71c | 8,196$5,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.69 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked New York Yankees | 68c | 8,000$5,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.95 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 7,500$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…b1b1backed Baltimore Orioles | 6c | 7,491$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New York Yankees | 66c | 7,485$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.93 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 7,353$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.01 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked New York Yankees | 65c | 7,000$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed New York Yankees | 66c | 6,733$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.33 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed New York Yankees | 67c | 6,625$4,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186.33 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 6,250$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 5,847$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.42 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Baltimore Orioles | 11c | 5,600$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 4,823$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.11 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 65c | 4,300$2,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.58 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 3,394$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.17 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked New York Yankees | 67c | 3,317$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.46 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 3,275$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.67 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 3,048$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.22 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed New York Yankees | 66c | 3,027$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.33 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 18c | 2,924$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.4 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Baltimore Orioles | 10c | 2,893$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.98 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 2,775$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.35 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Baltimore Orioles | 16c | 2,756$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.19 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 2,532$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.68 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 11c | 2,531$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.68 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed New York Yankees | 66c | 2,524$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.24 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 2,330$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 2,169$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.06 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 2,159$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.7 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 2,019$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.09 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.96 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 79c | 1,968$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.42 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 1,863$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.11 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 1,758$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.65 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 1,757$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.38 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 1,739$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…b944backed Baltimore Orioles | 18c | 1,712$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.26 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 1,597$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.01 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked New York Yankees | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.25 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed New York Yankees | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed New York Yankees | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 1,446$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.7 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed New York Yankees | 66c | 1,337$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.49 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 1,321$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.27 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed Baltimore Orioles | 18c | 1,320$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.57 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 1,282$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.07 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees | 65c | 1,007$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.11 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed New York Yankees | 65c | 1,006$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.1 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 1,000$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 999.96$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 991$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed New York Yankees | 66c | 909.09$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.09 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed New York Yankees | 66c | 901.65$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.56 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed New York Yankees | 66c | 900$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 896.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…3ceabacked Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 859.38$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked New York Yankees | 69c | 833$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.23 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked New York Yankees | 66c | 823.21$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.22 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 794.46$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed New York Yankees | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed New York Yankees | 66c | 688$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.44 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Yankees | 77c | 674.72$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.05 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Baltimore Orioles | 9c | 638.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…0d61backed New York Yankees | 66c | 630.3$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…7b50backed New York Yankees | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked New York Yankees | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 600$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b2…0f1ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 560.26$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f26…fe92backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 21c | 534.61$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.82 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 18c | 491$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed New York Yankees | 68c | 473$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.36 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Baltimore Orioles | 18c | 469.46$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 466.17$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.27 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked New York Yankees | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked New York Yankees | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Baltimore Orioles | 25c | 443$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.37 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…101fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 439.05$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.61 | 332 | 41.3%137 W · 195 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-5.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.