MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6965da02b53f985cdb70e8f8a418e0431d116c3bcba7495a2167bfe3483cd3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 46c | 15,000$6,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,050.85 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 55c | 10,555$5,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,791.23 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 53c | 6,933$3,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,674.27 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Under | 4c | 3,400$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 49c | 2,533$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.43 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 39c | 2,140$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.42 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 36c | 1,862$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.49 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 43c | 1,752$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.71 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…37acbacked Under | 8c | 1,400$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 11c | 1,212$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.67 | 102 | 15.7%16 W · 86 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 60c | 1,091$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.87 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 32c | 1,054$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.01 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 3c | 1,050$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Under | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Under | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 51c | 916.02$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.17 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Under | 3c | 900$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +131%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed Under | 2c | 900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 59c | 893.06$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.02 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 59c | 860$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.4 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 50c | 753.67$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.37 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 731.49$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.75 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 606.41$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.92 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 51c | 591.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.96 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Under | 51c | 532.88$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.67 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 50c | 524.22$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.44 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Under | 51c | 432$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.97 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 51c | 395.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Under | 8c | 325$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 82 | 15.9%13 W · 69 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 50c | 301.2$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Over | 50c | 299.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.63 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 49c | 280$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Under | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 42c | 240$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.3 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 46c | 210.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 47c | 197.71$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.94 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 55c | 180$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.38 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 49c | 121.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.3 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 50c | 115.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 48c | 103.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 58c | 100.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…2c05backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 96.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 36c | 92.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.14 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Under | 49c | 90.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 49c | 86.62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 61c | 83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 49c | 71.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 45c | 66.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 580 | 54.5%316 W · 264 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 59c | 65.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6259…c451backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 54c | 56.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 48c | 53.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Under | 51c | 53.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…b944backed Over | 40c | 50.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…9c13backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 46c | 49.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 53c | 48.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 46c | 48.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 60c | 46.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 51c | 46.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 55c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Under | 54c | 38.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 51c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 61c | 36.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 43c | 35.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 58c | 31.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 56c | 28.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e8…d7b7backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…3085backed Under | 63c | 22.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Under | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Over | 69c | 20.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 162 | 61.1%99 W · 63 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…d010backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 174 | 50.6%88 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Under | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-5.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.