MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdea173281d05f9237b0e3d83f963c966fdc65d297a3385e5ac4588575b71bb8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6498…8910backed New York Yankees | 64c | 15,000$9,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,465.87 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 7,207$2,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,669.11 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 5,612$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.97 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 4,800$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.85 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 49c | 3,774$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.81 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 2,909$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.33 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 2,088$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.71 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 2,070$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.65 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,371$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.26 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed New York Yankees | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked New York Yankees | 50c | 1,042$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.8 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…91fbbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 984.43$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.22 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 947.82$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.43 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed New York Yankees | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 799.98$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.99 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed New York Yankees | 48c | 715.09$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.14 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 581$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.16 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 576.34$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.64 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 51c | 521.23$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.08 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed New York Yankees | 52c | 478.72$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.72 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 459.02$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.38 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…a4bbbacked New York Yankees | 52c | 412.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.24 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 405.81$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.91 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed New York Yankees | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked New York Yankees | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed New York Yankees | 51c | 360.49$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a51…1933backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 333$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 312.39$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.07 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked New York Yankees | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed New York Yankees | 53c | 298.11$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.11 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 297.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed New York Yankees | 50c | 270$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed New York Yankees | 50c | 254.94$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.47 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 251.11$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.18 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked New York Yankees | 49c | 243.46$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.46 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 66c | 222.49$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 215$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 212$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 23c | 211.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d3…02e4backed New York Yankees | 48c | 206.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 203.04$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed New York Yankees | 50c | 202.75$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed New York Yankees | 50c | 201.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.14 | 384 | 53.9%207 W · 177 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…32d8backed New York Yankees | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…bbaabacked New York Yankees | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 199.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed New York Yankees | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.81 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 135.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 125.43$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed New York Yankees | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d00…7507backed New York Yankees | 53c | 117.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed New York Yankees | 50c | 115.7$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 666 | 48.2%321 W · 345 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked New York Yankees | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Baltimore Orioles | 30c | 106.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 103.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…62eabacked New York Yankees | 49c | 102.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 252 | 48%121 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Yankees | 74c | 100.76$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed New York Yankees | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…b91dbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +6.8wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed New York Yankees | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 75.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed New York Yankees | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed New York Yankees | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 64.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed New York Yankees | 47c | 60.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 60.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed New York Yankees | 47c | 60.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5609…9a60backed New York Yankees | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed New York Yankees | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked New York Yankees | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked New York Yankees | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…b944backed Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 58.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed New York Yankees | 51c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed New York Yankees | 53c | 54.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 848 | 40.2%341 W · 507 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 53.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 52.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 50.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed New York Yankees | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 802 | 55%441 W · 361 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed New York Yankees | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…132ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed New York Yankees | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed New York Yankees | 50c | 49.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 49.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…2222backed New York Yankees | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…2c65backed New York Yankees | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 219 | 54.8%120 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Baltimore Orioles | 24c | 47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed New York Yankees | 47c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed New York Yankees | 64c | 46.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-5.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York YankeesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.