TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Baltimore Orioles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,704
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,704 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6498…8910backed New York Yankees64c15,000$9,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,465.8751756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles37c7,207$2,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,669.1112,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles37c5,612$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,077.9711,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles50c4,800$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.851,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees49c3,774$1,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,940.814,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Baltimore Orioles53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles49c2,909$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.335,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Baltimore Orioles49c2,088$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.711,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Baltimore Orioles51c2,070$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.657644.7%34 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked New York Yankees50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00075248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Baltimore Orioles51c1,371$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.2665749.2%323 W · 334 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34f9…ebf6backed New York Yankees48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.672860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2643…39aebacked New York Yankees50c1,042$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.86758.2%39 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2513…91fbbacked New York Yankees50c984.43$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.227248.6%35 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Baltimore Orioles49c947.82$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.431,30150.2%653 W · 648 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed New York Yankees51c800$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39226759.2%158 W · 109 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles49c799.98$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.996,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed New York Yankees48c715.09$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.1416543%71 W · 94 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Baltimore Orioles36c581$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.161,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Baltimore Orioles48c576.34$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.6417351.4%89 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees51c521.23$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.089,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed New York Yankees52c478.72$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.7240753.6%218 W · 189 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Baltimore Orioles49c459.02$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.381,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfd…a4bbbacked New York Yankees52c412.99$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.246355.6%35 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Baltimore Orioles50c405.81$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.9155052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked New York Yankees50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003040%12 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed New York Yankees53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18859150.3%297 W · 294 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked New York Yankees51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1694734.4%326 W · 621 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bc…1b77backed New York Yankees51c360.49$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.641450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a51…1933backed Baltimore Orioles48c333$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Baltimore Orioles49c312.39$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.071,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked New York Yankees50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15022848.2%110 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed New York Yankees53c298.11$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.1140348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Baltimore Orioles32c297.5$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.63,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed New York Yankees50c270$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1357447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed New York Yankees50c254.94$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4728154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Yankees51c251.11$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.182,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d14…ff3ebacked New York Yankees49c243.46$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4612845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees66c222.49$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9410,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Baltimore Orioles50c215$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.575049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79fb…b4aebacked Baltimore Orioles51c212$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.1211550.4%58 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles23c211.9$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.758,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8d3…02e4backed New York Yankees48c206.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.337100%7 W · 0 L+3.3wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked New York Yankees50c203.04$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.522,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed New York Yankees50c202.75$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.387557.3%43 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed New York Yankees50c201.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1438453.9%207 W · 177 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Baltimore Orioles50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10066748.7%325 W · 342 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked New York Yankees50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10047849%234 W · 244 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81d7…32d8backed New York Yankees50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008052.5%42 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa928…bbaabacked New York Yankees50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+34.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Baltimore Orioles50c199.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…bdc1backed New York Yankees50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.818446.4%39 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Baltimore Orioles36c135.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9416947.3%80 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Baltimore Orioles48c125.43$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.561,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed New York Yankees50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6048150.7%244 W · 237 L-19.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d00…7507backed New York Yankees53c117.92$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.429642.7%41 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed New York Yankees50c115.7$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.8566648.2%321 W · 345 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5668…eababacked New York Yankees51c107.84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.848351.8%43 W · 40 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84bb…25d3backed Baltimore Orioles30c106.31$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1512846.1%59 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Baltimore Orioles38c103.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2582551.6%426 W · 399 L+3.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa188…62eabacked New York Yankees49c102.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1525248%121 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Yankees74c100.76$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.461,87452%975 W · 899 L+51.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Baltimore Orioles53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531,84550.7%936 W · 909 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed New York Yankees53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4778454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc93…b91dbacked New York Yankees51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.043174.2%23 W · 8 L+6.8wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+46.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed New York Yankees54c92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.321,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Baltimore Orioles49c90$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.111256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees51c90$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.11,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f50…069bbacked New York Yankees51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4316345.4%74 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Baltimore Orioles36c75.42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.896,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed New York Yankees50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3548651%248 W · 238 L-18.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked New York Yankees50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356558.5%38 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed New York Yankees51c68.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.638848.9%43 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Baltimore Orioles50c64.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3520044.5%89 W · 111 L-8.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed New York Yankees47c60.49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0694648.9%463 W · 483 L+4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked New York Yankees47c60.49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0641847.6%199 W · 219 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed New York Yankees47c60.49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.061,21250%606 W · 606 L+5.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5609…9a60backed New York Yankees51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed New York Yankees50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3068942.2%291 W · 398 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked New York Yankees50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3072247.6%344 W · 378 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked New York Yankees51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.821,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f7…b944backed Baltimore Orioles29c58.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.742420.8%5 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed New York Yankees51c56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4472154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc278…a116backed New York Yankees53c54.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4384840.2%341 W · 507 L-3.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Baltimore Orioles34c53.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2584122.7%191 W · 650 L-81.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Baltimore Orioles51c52.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0122849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Baltimore Orioles54c50.17$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.092,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed New York Yankees50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2555953.1%297 W · 262 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Baltimore Orioles52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8580255%441 W · 361 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed New York Yankees50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259147.3%43 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf504…132ebacked Baltimore Orioles50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255540%22 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc78…f1f5backed New York Yankees50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2526351.3%135 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4cb…a917backed New York Yankees50c49.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7520751.2%106 W · 101 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked New York Yankees51c49.22$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2262554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccd0…2222backed New York Yankees51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0211346.9%53 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1607…2c65backed New York Yankees53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1721954.8%120 W · 99 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Baltimore Orioles24c47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2875544.2%334 W · 421 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed New York Yankees47c47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9111442.1%48 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed New York Yankees64c46.73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0319155.5%106 W · 85 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles36c46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.634,40544.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L+80.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.