TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
San Francisco Giantsof San Diego Padres, San Francisco Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$550,560
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$525,490

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $550,560 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked San Francisco Giants45c133,213$59,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,679.6921040%84 W · 126 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked San Diego Padres56c75,000$41,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,849.7577053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed San Diego Padres42c50,294$21,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,20036047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants58c43,420$25,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,039.2410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1de3…a1fabacked San Diego Padres25c38,764$9,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,569.613020%6 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed San Diego Padres57c35,088$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00037953.6%203 W · 176 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked San Diego Padres59c33,684$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00024344.4%108 W · 135 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed San Diego Padres56c30,000$16,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,799.9955053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed San Francisco Giants43c21,249$9,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,119.4714943.6%65 W · 84 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed San Diego Padres55c20,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,00059549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants44c19,286$8,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,777.611,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants75c16,998$12,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,190.3211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed San Diego Padres55c15,696$8,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,629.152,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres58c12,611$7,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,314.381,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed San Diego Padres5c11,428$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.396936.2%25 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+41.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed San Francisco Giants42c10,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,80060451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants44c9,041$3,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,062.774,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants42c9,019$3,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,230.755,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed San Francisco Giants39c8,297$3,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,061.3785235.8%305 W · 547 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked San Francisco Giants44c8,000$3,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4805743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed San Francisco Giants43c7,294$3,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,127.272,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked San Diego Padres22c6,842$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.391,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed San Diego Padres8c5,992$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.861,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked San Francisco Giants44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80044945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed San Diego Padres56c4,934$2,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,763.051,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed San Diego Padres6c4,891$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011051.8%57 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked San Francisco Giants70c4,735$3,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.0848850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked San Diego Padres56c4,468$2,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,501.811,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked San Diego Padres31c3,145$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.71,14142.9%490 W · 651 L-37.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed San Diego Padres54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62019053.7%102 W · 88 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres41c2,550$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.7812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed San Francisco Giants41c2,500$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4751,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed San Diego Padres55c2,500$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,37575049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked San Diego Padres56c2,469$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.854152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants67c2,412$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.038,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed San Francisco Giants63c2,332$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.111,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x994b…c047backed San Diego Padres34c2,315$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.094257.1%24 W · 18 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x171c…f0a0backed San Francisco Giants45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.221741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed San Francisco Giants39c2,093$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.081,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked San Diego Padres24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011125.2%28 W · 83 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51b8…d25fbacked San Diego Padres26c2,073$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.434143.9%18 W · 23 L+7.2wins+0.18per pick26cpaid+81.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres56c1,946$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.73,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed San Francisco Giants44c1,939$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.961,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed San Diego Padres26c1,717$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.221,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres56c1,633$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.326,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed San Diego Padres62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00070546.8%330 W · 375 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked San Francisco Giants44c1,591$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.968646.5%40 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed San Francisco Giants63c1,588$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.732,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed San Diego Padres21c1,554$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32029331.7%93 W · 200 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked San Francisco Giants42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87044451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants65c1,453$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.591,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc278…a116backed San Diego Padres51c1,262$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.7484140.2%338 W · 503 L-3.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd714…9a62backed San Francisco Giants44c1,153$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.684944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee96…0634backed San Diego Padres14c1,114$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1567548%36 W · 39 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed San Diego Padres56c1,107$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.4643253.9%233 W · 199 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ee3…cab9backed San Diego Padres27c950$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25716232.1%52 W · 110 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed San Francisco Giants44c950$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53214938.3%57 W · 92 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb864…d111backed San Diego Padres43c927.09$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.65425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked San Francisco Giants44c919.97$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.411,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb880…0d98backed San Diego Padres11c899.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991225%3 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked San Francisco Giants65c839$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.025,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed San Diego Padres56c803.57$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed San Francisco Giants74c790$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.847589.1%423 W · 52 L+84.9wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+25%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed San Francisco Giants41c733.6$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.8277951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed San Francisco Giants64c705$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.874,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked San Francisco Giants44c704$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.171,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed San Francisco Giants43c631.79$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.1257744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x982e…add6backed San Diego Padres18c631.36$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9733228.3%94 W · 238 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ff…9d91backed San Diego Padres48c621.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020443.1%88 W · 116 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed San Francisco Giants42c607.78$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.0951547%242 W · 273 L+1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed San Diego Padres57c601.75$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34329449.7%146 W · 148 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed San Diego Padres57c600.2$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.011,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked San Diego Padres55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33027552.4%144 W · 131 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed San Francisco Giants43c600$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3401,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed San Francisco Giants58c570$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.350337.2%187 W · 316 L-42.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed San Francisco Giants44c568.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.1832742.2%138 W · 189 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed San Diego Padres37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016543%71 W · 94 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed San Francisco Giants62c525.91$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.911,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Diego Padres19c512.45$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3794034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81d7…32d8backed San Francisco Giants50c502.13$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.138052.5%42 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed San Francisco Giants43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28519248.4%93 W · 99 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked San Francisco Giants42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29085952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked San Francisco Giants64c500$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7417768.9%122 W · 55 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9950…1432backed San Diego Padres8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015849.4%78 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed San Diego Padres48c499.98$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.9959150.3%297 W · 294 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed San Francisco Giants45c496.35$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.5729446.6%137 W · 157 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked San Francisco Giants54c484.12$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.181,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed San Diego Padres57c473$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.6140645.1%183 W · 223 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked San Francisco Giants44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5511941.2%49 W · 70 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed San Diego Padres55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022448.7%109 W · 115 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants64c450$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.755,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked San Francisco Giants71c447.29$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.1233274.1%246 W · 86 L+28.8wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+11.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed San Diego Padres57c440$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.822548.4%109 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed San Diego Padres27c439.57$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.958125.9%21 W · 60 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4340…363dbacked San Diego Padres11c423.46$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3839…e2eebacked San Diego Padres49c404.58$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.2210544.8%47 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9482…36b4backed San Francisco Giants66c403.35$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.025261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d62…eaf3backed San Francisco Giants42c392.86$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.8619642.9%84 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed San Francisco Giants52c377$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.4678649.1%386 W · 400 L+3.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed San Diego Padres33c371.8$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.116947.3%80 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.