MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f066556ea0b181a85524c73b925fdd4ca2cec30d2ab3856c12baaa6edc284a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof San Diego Padres, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $550,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $525,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $550,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 133,213$59,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,679.69 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 75,000$41,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,849.75 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 50,294$21,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,200 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 43,420$25,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,039.24 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de3…a1fabacked San Diego Padres | 25c | 38,764$9,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,569.61 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 35,088$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 33,684$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,799.99 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 21,249$9,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,119.47 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 19,286$8,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,777.61 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants | 75c | 16,998$12,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,190.32 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 15,696$8,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,629.15 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 12,611$7,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.38 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed San Diego Padres | 5c | 11,428$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.39 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 9,041$3,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,062.77 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 9,019$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,230.75 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 8,297$3,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,061.37 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 7,294$3,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,127.27 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked San Diego Padres | 22c | 6,842$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.39 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed San Diego Padres | 8c | 5,992$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.86 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 4,934$2,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,763.05 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed San Diego Padres | 6c | 4,891$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked San Francisco Giants | 70c | 4,735$3,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.08 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 4,468$2,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.81 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked San Diego Padres | 31c | 3,145$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.7 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 2,550$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.78 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 2,469$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.8 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Francisco Giants | 67c | 2,412$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.03 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed San Francisco Giants | 63c | 2,332$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.11 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed San Diego Padres | 34c | 2,315$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.09 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x171c…f0a0backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed San Francisco Giants | 39c | 2,093$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.08 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked San Diego Padres | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…d25fbacked San Diego Padres | 26c | 2,073$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.43 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 1,946$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.7 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 1,939$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.96 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed San Diego Padres | 26c | 1,717$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.22 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 1,633$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.32 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed San Diego Padres | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 1,591$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.96 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed San Francisco Giants | 63c | 1,588$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.73 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed San Diego Padres | 21c | 1,554$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants | 65c | 1,453$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.59 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,262$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.74 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 1,153$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.68 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed San Diego Padres | 14c | 1,114$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 1,107$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.46 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 950$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 950$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb864…d111backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 927.09$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 919.97$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.41 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb880…0d98backed San Diego Padres | 11c | 899.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Francisco Giants | 65c | 839$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.02 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 803.57$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed San Francisco Giants | 74c | 790$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.8 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed San Francisco Giants | 41c | 733.6$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.82 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed San Francisco Giants | 64c | 705$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.87 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 704$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.17 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 631.79$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.12 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed San Diego Padres | 18c | 631.36$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.97 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 621.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 607.78$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.09 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 601.75$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 600.2$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.01 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked San Diego Padres | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 600$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 570$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.3 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed San Francisco Giants | 62c | 525.91$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.91 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Diego Padres | 19c | 512.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…32d8backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 502.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.13 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed San Francisco Giants | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked San Francisco Giants | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked San Francisco Giants | 64c | 500$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.74 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed San Diego Padres | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 499.98$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.99 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 496.35$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.57 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked San Francisco Giants | 54c | 484.12$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.18 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 473$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.61 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants | 64c | 450$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.75 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked San Francisco Giants | 71c | 447.29$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.12 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed San Diego Padres | 57c | 440$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed San Diego Padres | 27c | 439.57$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.95 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…363dbacked San Diego Padres | 11c | 423.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 404.58$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.22 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9482…36b4backed San Francisco Giants | 66c | 403.35$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.02 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…eaf3backed San Francisco Giants | 42c | 392.86$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.86 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 377$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.46 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 371.8$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.1 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giantsthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco GiantsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.