CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54269514ab2607725e6fac7c26d02b53084b8f6f2933822a074da2b3c08663ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fake do Biruof Isurus, Fake do Biru
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Fake do Biru | 54c | 2,859$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.77 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Isurus | 47c | 2,205$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fake do Biru | 56c | 1,571$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.71 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed Isurus | 40c | 1,498$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed Isurus | 53c | 1,280$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.75 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Isurus | 36c | 1,064$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.09 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fake do Biru | 67c | 809.57$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.16 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Isurus | 39c | 635.07$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.64 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fake do Biru | 58c | 497.13$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.39 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Isurus | 44c | 486$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.34 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Fake do Biru | 49c | 327.07$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.8 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…b170backed Isurus | 34c | 286.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.03 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fake do Biru | 62c | 285.73$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.69 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Fake do Biru | 64c | 284.69$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fake do Biru | 65c | 279.93$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.43 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Isurus | 41c | 228.87$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Fake do Biru | 51c | 225.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.74 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Isurus | 18c | 211.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Isurus | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…22e4backed Fake do Biru | 56c | 204$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Isurus | 48c | 203.48$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.17 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Fake do Biru | 66c | 200.25$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Isurus | 34c | 189.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fake do Biru | 61c | 183.51$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Isurus | 36c | 174.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fake do Biru | 61c | 146.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed Fake do Biru | 40c | 140.94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050c…b15fbacked Isurus | 36c | 125.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Isurus | 50c | 103.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Fake do Biru | 49c | 100.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fake do Biru | 49c | 98.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fake do Biru | 62c | 92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Fake do Biru | 54c | 91.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…8bb1backed Isurus | 50c | 78.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Fake do Biru | 52c | 71.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Fake do Biru | 42c | 70.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Fake do Biru | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 202 | 58.9%119 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Fake do Biru | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…ea80backed Isurus | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 196 | 55.1%108 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90a…f6b5backed Fake do Biru | 60c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Fake do Biru | 53c | 36.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Isurus | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Fake do Biru | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fake do Biru | 72c | 35.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Isurus | 50c | 34.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Isurus | 31c | 32.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Isurus | 44c | 31.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Fake do Biru | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Fake do Biru | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Fake do Biru | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Isurus | 46c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Fake do Biru | 52c | 24.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9fd8backed Fake do Biru | 56c | 24.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Fake do Biru | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Fake do Biru | 75c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1394…a321backed Fake do Biru | 67c | 17.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Fake do Biru | 73c | 17.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 PlayoffsIsurus won
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Fake do Biru - Map 1 WinnerIsurus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.