CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9165be4d753f191b2f3dd79f3e9144e5a3f9212990eccced7c2fe26d7bff9dd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trickedof Tricked, Walczaki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Walczaki | 71c | 7,113$5,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,071.93 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Tricked | 29c | 3,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Tricked | 35c | 2,063$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.37 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Walczaki | 65c | 2,047$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.65 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked Tricked | 29c | 1,200$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.39 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tricked | 59c | 783.1$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.79 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Walczaki | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Tricked | 28c | 647.74$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.27 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…a0edbacked Tricked | 30c | 589.91$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.24 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Tricked | 32c | 584.82$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.61 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Walczaki | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa0…e20fbacked Walczaki | 37c | 492.24$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.01 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Tricked | 66c | 370.15$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.64 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Tricked | 27c | 336.46$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.62 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Tricked | 30c | 330.91$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.28 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bf…e97bbacked Walczaki | 19c | 326.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Walczaki | 70c | 295.36$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.79 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Tricked | 30c | 295$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.2 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Tricked | 27c | 289.85$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.59 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tricked | 47c | 241.41$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.56 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Tricked | 31c | 229.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.69 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Walczaki | 72c | 229.01$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.8 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Tricked | 29c | 218.28$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.98 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Tricked | 30c | 209.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.62 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Walczaki | 49c | 192.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.66 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tricked | 55c | 190.67$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Tricked | 32c | 162.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Tricked | 41c | 156.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.67 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Tricked | 28c | 148.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.97 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Tricked | 57c | 148.28$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.45 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Walczaki | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Walczaki | 59c | 99.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 401 | 55.1%221 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tricked | 51c | 95.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Walczaki | 72c | 93.06$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…54fcbacked Tricked | 50c | 92.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fe…24e5backed Walczaki | 28c | 88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Walczaki | 70c | 84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…9defbacked Tricked | 29c | 82.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed Walczaki | 41c | 82.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Tricked | 67c | 80.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Walczaki | 72c | 77.47$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Tricked | 30c | 76.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Walczaki | 71c | 71.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…8869backed Walczaki | 70c | 69.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf63…d3a4backed Tricked | 33c | 66.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222f…f496backed Tricked | 31c | 65.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Walczaki | 72c | 63.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.65 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Tricked | 47c | 60.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Walczaki | 67c | 59.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Walczaki | 70c | 58.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked Walczaki | 37c | 56.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…e209backed Tricked | 71c | 56.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Tricked | 25c | 55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b4ffbacked Tricked | 27c | 52.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…9407backed Tricked | 54c | 47.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed Walczaki | 59c | 40.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Tricked | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Walczaki | 30c | 37.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Walczaki | 71c | 35.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Walczaki | 71c | 33.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Walczaki | 35c | 33.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Tricked | 41c | 31.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Tricked | 41c | 31.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Walczaki | 72c | 30.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Walczaki | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Tricked | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Tricked | 69c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…64f8backed Walczaki | 73c | 27.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Walczaki | 73c | 27.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…1ad7backed Walczaki | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Tricked | 70c | 23.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked Tricked | 60c | 18.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1394…a321backed Walczaki | 75c | 16.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Walczaki - Map 1 WinnerTricked won
- Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Walczaki - Map 2 WinnerTricked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.