La Liga · resolved market
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3db80ac46647edf5c71a50bf61234998eca028d98117b581a7fa4eaa2b4c9b8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $199,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31e0…94b0backed Over | 61c | 112,800$69,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,330 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 22,023$8,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,463.26 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 17,920$8,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,480.68 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 11,390$5,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,837.07 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Under | 38c | 9,259$3,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,725.81 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Under | 40c | 9,046$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,427.66 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 38c | 9,008$3,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,564.96 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…37aebacked Over | 60c | 8,302$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 39c | 8,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,880 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Under | 70c | 7,827$5,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.12 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 37c | 5,935$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,758.17 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 45c | 3,649$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.42 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 39c | 3,500$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 18c | 2,250$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 60c | 2,200$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 39c | 1,795$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.95 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2ef4backed Under | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 1,569$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Under | 53c | 1,322$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over | 19c | 1,216$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.21 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 42c | 1,199$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 41c | 1,126$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.12 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…60e4backed Over | 72c | 1,111$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 40c | 995.67$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.38 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed Under | 55c | 989.07$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.28 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.26per pick | 48cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 44c | 900$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 39c | 900$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 43c | 893.78$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.94 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 39c | 890.07$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.87 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 39c | 885.56$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.44 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 39c | 800$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 39c | 800$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 39c | 800$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 37c | 791.4$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.82 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked Over | 20c | 728.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 44c | 675.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 39c | 649.32$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.57 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 43c | 649.06$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.06 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Under | 47c | 633.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.87 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 39c | 584$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.24 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Over | 48c | 565$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.2 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…8e52backed Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Under | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…28abbacked Over | 60c | 480.6$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 40c | 466.17$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.78 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 39c | 460$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.6 | 128 | 63.3%81 W · 47 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x158d…9c64backed Over | 57c | 459.65$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Over | 22c | 457.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Over | 18c | 433.39$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ca…2ab7backed Over | 44c | 399.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 40c | 399.24$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.55 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked Over | 27c | 368.89$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 62c | 362.42$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Over | 42c | 335.86$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 42c | 335.12$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.82 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5354…33e5backed Over | 61c | 325.6$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 37c | 291$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.67 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Over | 22c | 285.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 37c | 280$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 39c | 279.97$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.67 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Over | 36c | 278.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…3348backed Over | 36c | 278$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Over | 36c | 263.89$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e68…16c7backed Over | 38c | 260.53$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 62c | 250$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 38c | 233.05$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.82 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Under | 63c | 208.33$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…5a94backed Under | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…dd55backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 91 | 63.7%58 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…5194backed Over | 27c | 189.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 59c | 188.86$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.43 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 41c | 175.61$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.61 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 54c | 167.68$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked Under | 43c | 151.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 26c | 149.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 33c | 148.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Over | 60c | 146.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -13.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f166backed Over | 37c | 134.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5this page
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.