Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f41560e553aca1ae2f77076df1ce06f882b9f3b97f8d6d7bd5469ed81343fdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, PlayTime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PlayTime | 47c | 14,763$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed PlayTime | 49c | 13,215$6,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,458.53 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed PlayTime | 51c | 10,928$5,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,564.19 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900.16 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 8,452$4,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,158.52 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed PlayTime | 49c | 7,451$3,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650.99 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 6,467$3,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168.67 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 6,000$3,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,778.72 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 5,542$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.27 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed PlayTime | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 3,774$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.78 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 3,602$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.08 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…8483backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 3,298$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.6 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed PlayTime | 41c | 2,351$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.67 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 2,218$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.09 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PlayTime | 42c | 2,118$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.56 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 2,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.35 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,888$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.25 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 1,788$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.5 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…cc95backed PlayTime | 30c | 1,750$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.49 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed PlayTime | 29c | 1,746$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed PlayTime | 44c | 1,571$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.12 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 1,500$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.85 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883d…3627backed PlayTime | 46c | 1,420$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed PlayTime | 11c | 1,369$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed PlayTime | 49c | 1,250$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.5 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PlayTime | 46c | 1,122$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.64 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed PlayTime | 41c | 1,083$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.09 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 1,078$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.63 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,061$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.51 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 1,004$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.33 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed PlayTime | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed PlayTime | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed PlayTime | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked PlayTime | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 990.3$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.97 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 984.39$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.66 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked PlayTime | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed PlayTime | 52c | 785$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.2 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 712.41$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.34 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 700.56$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.44 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 662.95$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.41 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed PlayTime | 38c | 637.83$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.24 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 615.7$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.9 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed PlayTime | 50c | 604.64$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.32 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 580$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.4 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 540$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.6 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…b53abacked PlayTime | 48c | 538.06$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.65 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked PlayTime | 50c | 502.6$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.3 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PlayTime | 44c | 483.8$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.87 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed PlayTime | 46c | 462.82$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.9 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked PlayTime | 47c | 443.36$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.34 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 403.62$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked PlayTime | 40c | 371.18$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.95 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed PlayTime | 47c | 358.82$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.27 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 357$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.22 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…b387backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 350$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a2…da60backed PlayTime | 48c | 306.31$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 295.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.18 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked PlayTime | 48c | 280.58$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.74 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 256.01$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.27 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 255.4$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.27 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed PlayTime | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked PlayTime | 19c | 238.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 223.82$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 200.34$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.16 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed PlayTime | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed PlayTime | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed PlayTime | 51c | 194.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked PlayTime | 53c | 189.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed PlayTime | 28c | 171$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 167$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed PlayTime | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 154.29$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked PlayTime | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 393 | 51.1%201 W · 192 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 136.54$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.54 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed PlayTime | 17c | 131$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 119$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed PlayTime | 19c | 114$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 112.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 302 | 55.3%167 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 105.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed PlayTime | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…4bb5backed PlayTime | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…7ddebacked PlayTime | 51c | 88.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed PlayTime | 49c | 79.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 77.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 205 | 56.1%115 W · 90 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4802…c8e1backed PlayTime | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group BXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.