TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof BetBoom Team, Natus Vincere
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$274,522
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$330,708

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,522 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6df6…8458backed BetBoom Team10c18,891$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.5132425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere69c17,914$12,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,553.476058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed BetBoom Team32c15,517$5,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,025.7881843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed BetBoom Team39c12,152$4,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,783.0233043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Natus Vincere51c10,902$5,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,304.7536453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere58c9,000$5,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,779.9950054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BetBoom Team45c7,525$3,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,423.41,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere58c6,819$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,869.0137646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed BetBoom Team29c6,642$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.1911439.5%45 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed BetBoom Team42c5,001$2,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.0988746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked BetBoom Team53c4,515$2,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,393.0659839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ef5…46e0backed Natus Vincere71c3,862$2,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.21650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa503…c5b9backed BetBoom Team29c3,700$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.992240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked BetBoom Team14c3,697$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50052837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked BetBoom Team46c3,651$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.091,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked BetBoom Team31c3,606$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10053545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked BetBoom Team30c3,262$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.5126045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked Natus Vincere54c3,000$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.57454.1%40 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BetBoom Team48c2,891$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.521,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed BetBoom Team47c2,800$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.2913646.3%63 W · 73 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Natus Vincere70c2,630$1,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78925655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed BetBoom Team30c2,602$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79011843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked BetBoom Team39c2,200$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85828657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fc3…5827backed BetBoom Team46c2,197$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.04450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked BetBoom Team31c2,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61064852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefee…d2b3backed Natus Vincere62c1,938$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.012347.8%11 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked BetBoom Team30c1,895$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.6375245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked BetBoom Team49c1,747$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.111,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Natus Vincere53c1,700$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.9532346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6117…2fafbacked Natus Vincere56c1,658$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.159856.1%55 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Natus Vincere68c1,657$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.4640558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Natus Vincere60c1,606$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.5116935.5%60 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed Natus Vincere70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45013357.1%76 W · 57 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…0015backed Natus Vincere68c1,467$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Natus Vincere71c1,409$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.741,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ac…2f1ebacked Natus Vincere71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4527751.6%143 W · 134 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked BetBoom Team34c1,394$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47212736.2%46 W · 81 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed Natus Vincere72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.8920958.9%123 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa113…284ebacked BetBoom Team41c1,321$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.8520935.4%74 W · 135 L-21.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked BetBoom Team42c1,318$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.193,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BetBoom Team28c1,306$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.482,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere72c1,286$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.145058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked BetBoom Team32c1,257$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.494,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Natus Vincere59c1,253$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.5335341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere61c1,218$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.024,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed BetBoom Team40c1,213$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.131642.1%133 W · 183 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked BetBoom Team40c1,200$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.382,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed BetBoom Team24c1,189$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.985,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere59c1,155$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.487047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere65c1,125$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.867,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1726…f72fbacked BetBoom Team30c1,100$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.041540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed BetBoom Team47c1,023$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.938868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc68…f899backed BetBoom Team49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Natus Vincere67c1,000$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33585851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f1…fee6backed BetBoom Team30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016051.3%82 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked BetBoom Team38c984.55$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.752,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Natus Vincere60c891.33$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.335052%26 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…ab7dbacked BetBoom Team13c859.47$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1123724.3%9 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+50.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BetBoom Team43c847.76$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.655,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89ff…a8f2backed BetBoom Team30c839.07$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.7211243.8%49 W · 63 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Natus Vincere70c826.66$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.2618543.8%81 W · 104 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Natus Vincere44c799.99$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.9921251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Natus Vincere63c783$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.745646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed BetBoom Team45c753.2$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.674,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed BetBoom Team47c743.49$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.1629831.5%94 W · 204 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Natus Vincere62c720.23$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.2350050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Natus Vincere51c697.06$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.5650043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed BetBoom Team23c679.99$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1541,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked BetBoom Team38c664.05$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.092,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb600…4440backed BetBoom Team30c630$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18916546.1%76 W · 89 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x312a…66b8backed BetBoom Team38c609.99$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.910344.7%46 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Natus Vincere71c602.61$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.765749.1%28 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Natus Vincere51c600$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29555941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e3…22cbbacked BetBoom Team42c595.09$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fbb…7e44backed Natus Vincere51c578.4$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.2912871.9%92 W · 36 L+16.8wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+20.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed BetBoom Team45c575$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.2554732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere71c555.89$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.2160953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2495…28f5backed Natus Vincere73c555$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed BetBoom Team40c537.38$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.8616047.5%76 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Natus Vincere72c524.46$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8510663.2%67 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Natus Vincere58c517.86$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.8620344.3%90 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb27d…3cc3backed Natus Vincere71c507.04$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.0416254.3%88 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Natus Vincere71c504.38$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.2744648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed Natus Vincere70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15040155.1%221 W · 180 L+1.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed Natus Vincere70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15022358.7%131 W · 92 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4dd1…7918backed Natus Vincere71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1451747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked Natus Vincere70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15031253.5%167 W · 145 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed BetBoom Team30c499.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed Natus Vincere55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22536837.5%138 W · 230 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere68c499.97$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.992,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Natus Vincere51c499.82$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.9150846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Natus Vincere64c498.43$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.173,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed BetBoom Team56c457.14$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25621947.5%104 W · 115 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team35c440.48$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.226,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bfe…1220backed Natus Vincere46c423.63$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.989266.3%61 W · 31 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7811…6e14backed Natus Vincere48c420$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.416442.7%70 W · 94 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc882…0662backed BetBoom Team31c408.29$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.4313333.1%44 W · 89 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf54c…e6ccbacked Natus Vincere49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.166934.8%24 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked Natus Vincere57c407.82$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1850358.6%295 W · 208 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Natus Vincere58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16847447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.