CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fc797d6c41745074b4905beef6a4a42926863a9af7cc8653a4cbe9322d3377c

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $13,867
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $14,220

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,867 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under	56c	2,771$1,557 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,213.77	5,050	55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L	+117.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under	53c	2,733$1,438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,294.97	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Over	47c	2,265$1,075 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,074.65	106	35.8%38 W · 68 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked Over	44c	2,000$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880	175	40%70 W · 105 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under	74c	1,341$992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348.35	1,365	66.3%905 W · 460 L	+76.1wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Under	54c	1,311$706 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$605.04	366	45.4%166 W · 200 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over	47c	1,235$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576.11	648	52%337 W · 311 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over	44c	999.99$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.99	812	44.3%360 W · 452 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over	26c	800.7$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.64	2,328	51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L	+92.3wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Under	56c	639.98$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.59	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked Under	55c	529.99$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.9	263	41.1%108 W · 155 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc882…0662backed Over	47c	514.22$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.4	133	33.1%44 W · 89 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Over	46c	323.48$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	988	56.1%554 W · 434 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Under	53c	299.98$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.99	77	36.4%28 W · 49 L	-9.3wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6e24…ec07backed Over	23c	249.98$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa8f1…fee6backed Over	44c	229.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.04	160	51.3%82 W · 78 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Over	44c	225.11$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	676	51.8%350 W · 326 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a01…823bbacked Over	47c	212.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.71	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	51c	179.86$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.02	2,434	44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under	55c	166.68$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.01	169	35.5%60 W · 109 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over	42c	158$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.8	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x302b…bd3bbacked Under	57c	144.61$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.58	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x973f…4b3ebacked Over	46c	133.11$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Over	47c	132.96$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.49	529	51.4%272 W · 257 L	+23.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under	56c	123.81$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.83	2,009	53.9%1,082 W · 927 L	+7.6wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Over	45c	117.4$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.83	331	56.5%187 W · 144 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	27c	116.61$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.91	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under	55c	112$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.4	740	54.6%404 W · 336 L	+15.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6859…2d79backed Over	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+3.0wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6353…97cebacked Over	46c	104.35$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9cb…0134backed Over	49c	101.25$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	201	45.8%92 W · 109 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa9…4baabacked Under	55c	99.99$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+53%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ceb…f9e9backed Over	45c	97.78$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over	43c	91.5$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.69	157	47.1%74 W · 83 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f4a…43abbacked Over	46c	86.96$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	184	51.1%94 W · 90 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb70…0854backed Over	47c	85.11$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Over	49c	71.43$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	95	52.6%50 W · 45 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed Over	41c	71$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	217	41.5%90 W · 127 L	-11.8wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked Under	57c	66$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.38	86	54.7%47 W · 39 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd95…52fbbacked Over	46c	65.84$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.09	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-3.9wins	-0.20per pick	47cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3e6f…3be7backed Over	43c	65.12$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	89	36%32 W · 57 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under	55c	63.99$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.8	543	48.6%264 W · 279 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under	56c	62.99$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.72	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba1…2769backed Over	48c	62.4$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	67	37.3%25 W · 42 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x28fc…6171backed Under	57c	56.14$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.14	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	-5.5wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Under	57c	55$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.65	200	55%110 W · 90 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4feabacked Over	46c	54.35$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Over	43c	52.35$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.41	399	46.4%185 W · 214 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Over	42c	51.76$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.88	587	45%264 W · 323 L	-17.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Under	57c	51$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.93	135	56.3%76 W · 59 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	38c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.19	2,776	37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L	-140.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked Over	43c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	381	57.7%220 W · 161 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x219c…fed6backed Over	25c	48.63$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.94	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7d9…c572backed Over	44c	45.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	187	50.8%95 W · 92 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb07…2e36backed Under	56c	44.64$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.64	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	29cpaid	+60.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Over	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	427	57.8%247 W · 180 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b3c…a34abacked Over	46c	43.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	264	43.2%114 W · 150 L	-10.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa159…df1ebacked Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Under	46c	38.52$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.8	333	40.2%134 W · 199 L	+13.6wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Under	56c	36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.84	140	55%77 W · 63 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22ae…920bbacked Under	67c	36$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.76	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f2b…8775backed Over	44c	34.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	285	56.8%162 W · 123 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7894…7b9dbacked Under	57c	34$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.62	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2b6…e854backed Over	45c	33.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	+3.8wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f94…f90dbacked Over	47c	31.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	68	54.4%37 W · 31 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc86b…c364backed Over	46c	31.74$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd66…f5b2backed Over	49c	30.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over	41c	29.22$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.87	1,003	55.7%559 W · 444 L	+24.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3baa…96f4backed Under	55c	28$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.6	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb1b…30b6backed Over	46c	27.78$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under	60c	26.53$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.74	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe82a…db8dbacked Over	43c	25.72$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.16	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	42cpaid	-71.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce6e…77ddbacked Over	43c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-3.7wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under	75c	25$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.31	371	49.6%184 W · 187 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc593…4be4backed Over	47c	24.83$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.67	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over	45c	24.44$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	400	50.8%203 W · 197 L	-15.8wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Under	56c	22.49$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.86	378	55.3%209 W · 169 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Under	55c	22.22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	332	37%123 W · 209 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f1d…7ff3backed Under	56c	21.43$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.43	176	54.5%96 W · 80 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Under	75c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.94	93	64.5%60 W · 33 L	+8.8wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05bc…eabbbacked Under	69c	19.73$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.04	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under	79c	17.04$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.56	1,315	51.1%672 W · 643 L	-99.5wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffsNatus Vincere won
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)Natus Vincere won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event