TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,940

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,981 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x47a8…52f9backed Natus Vincere47c22,627$10,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,042.810142.6%43 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed BetBoom Team53c20,026$10,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,613.4933043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x823d…189dbacked Natus Vincere43c13,772$5,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,900.371631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid+36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Natus Vincere47c11,681$5,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,190.7335940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked BetBoom Team53c9,000$4,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,769.9836152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed BetBoom Team55c8,063$4,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,443.1867041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed BetBoom Team53c5,920$3,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,128.581843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed BetBoom Team58c4,860$2,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,835.8520946.9%98 W · 111 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked BetBoom Team56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.9925655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked BetBoom Team54c3,816$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.4175652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked BetBoom Team59c3,500$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.9984454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Natus Vincere46c3,234$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,746.211,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked BetBoom Team57c2,503$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.5310136.6%37 W · 64 L-9.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed BetBoom Team52c2,283$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.284156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Natus Vincere44c2,273$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.739834.7%34 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f89…11e9backed BetBoom Team54c2,115$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.22785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+45.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed Natus Vincere44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12018254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed BetBoom Team58c2,000$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,158.6755845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed Natus Vincere46c1,941$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.1118547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Natus Vincere48c1,851$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.6127552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Natus Vincere42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.9729839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed BetBoom Team57c1,473$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.6160248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Natus Vincere42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.4613732.1%44 W · 93 L-11.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked BetBoom Team55c1,182$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65014744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Natus Vincere43c1,174$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.913234.8%46 W · 86 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked BetBoom Team56c1,150$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.991,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere46c1,126$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.2835242.9%151 W · 201 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed BetBoom Team53c1,110$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.2914151.8%73 W · 68 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Natus Vincere47c1,110$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.8155236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked BetBoom Team53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c70…9a6cbacked Natus Vincere47c974.15$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.35137.3%19 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked BetBoom Team55c887.97$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.381,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e7…3240backed BetBoom Team54c631.81$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.18633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed BetBoom Team53c607.14$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.7826743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Natus Vincere41c562.69$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.9931345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Natus Vincere42c555$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.938650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x645f…2c7fbacked Natus Vincere44c546.41$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.998854.5%48 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked BetBoom Team57c546.24$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.3617853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Natus Vincere47c531.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9140148.4%194 W · 207 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed BetBoom Team57c530.1$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.0116047.5%76 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Natus Vincere48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26027658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Natus Vincere47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26510644.3%47 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked BetBoom Team55c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9976748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Natus Vincere44c470$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.221247.6%101 W · 111 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Natus Vincere48c458.33$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.3331451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5b7…1454backed Natus Vincere44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5514743.5%64 W · 83 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Natus Vincere43c443.08$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.6916935.5%60 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc9ea…59a1backed Natus Vincere46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7819238%73 W · 119 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Natus Vincere47c428.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.8236450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa5…01b3backed Natus Vincere47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.537145.1%32 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Natus Vincere47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5350050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Natus Vincere44c417.41$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.751546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked Natus Vincere47c410$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.326341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Natus Vincere42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23294645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Natus Vincere48c341.04$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3414939.6%59 W · 90 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x302b…bd3bbacked BetBoom Team54c323.06$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed Natus Vincere46c323$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.4264058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc4e…1721backed BetBoom Team55c322.18$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.25442.6%23 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc6…8704backed Natus Vincere48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.52268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+39.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Natus Vincere48c308.38$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.3853034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeebe…5d9bbacked Natus Vincere44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16815856.3%89 W · 69 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eb5…6fe9backed Natus Vincere47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15910061%61 W · 39 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed BetBoom Team55c271.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15033354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Natus Vincere41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.919245.8%88 W · 104 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0db0…6424backed Natus Vincere48c241.94$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.816744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed BetBoom Team53c236.33$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2526451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed BetBoom Team54c225$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.53234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-26.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Natus Vincere45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2214044.3%62 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked Natus Vincere45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2245450.2%228 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae90…9a56backed Natus Vincere46c217.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.288740.2%35 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x577c…2a43backed Natus Vincere47c210$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+51.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed Natus Vincere47c205.32$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.8229757.6%171 W · 126 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere47c201.79$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.9581751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70f7…e935backed Natus Vincere43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked BetBoom Team53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10614351.7%74 W · 69 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Natus Vincere34c195.92$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.316750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed BetBoom Team53c185.72$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4326952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf4b…7e8ebacked BetBoom Team54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Natus Vincere47c183.25$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1223653.8%127 W · 109 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23b4…48dabacked BetBoom Team55c181.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.710942.2%46 W · 63 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed BetBoom Team50c166.05$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.031,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed BetBoom Team64c162.52$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.022,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Natus Vincere46c152.17$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1722954.6%125 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed BetBoom Team55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.550947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21a2…abb3backed Natus Vincere40c148.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.619959.6%59 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb759…ed73backed Natus Vincere42c139.95$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9510851.9%56 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9345…0afbbacked Natus Vincere47c134.04$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.0415363.4%97 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed BetBoom Team60c130.68$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7821263.7%135 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed BetBoom Team47c130.59$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.081,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c18…0f7bbacked Natus Vincere39c120$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.81540%6 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2920…a1d3backed BetBoom Team65c115.3$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7526564.2%170 W · 95 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc55d…9fd8backed Natus Vincere46c114.48$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.848349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa03c…f557backed Natus Vincere46c110$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.47251.4%37 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x312c…0f42backed Natus Vincere38c106.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.0521053.8%113 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a1…d1eebacked Natus Vincere45c104.44$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.44650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Natus Vincere48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1720145.8%92 W · 109 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe45e…b135backed BetBoom Team56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5613835.5%49 W · 89 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Natus Vincere45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5534742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed BetBoom Team57c99.7$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6499148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce1…49c7backed Natus Vincere48c97.92$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9235147.9%168 W · 183 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.