Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x936a69387a92058e3f78d3bdcd4f019c208927cfac8dad70bd82ed2ee6dafca0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,789 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3e5…3b3cbacked Yes | 26c | 4,080$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7b…da68backed Yes | 22c | 4,065$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1515…74e1backed No | 74c | 1,370$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe936…d6d0backed No | 74c | 1,360$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…cc2abacked No | 78c | 1,358$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…3d7cbacked No | 78c | 1,355$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2d…212cbacked No | 78c | 1,352$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb86…489fbacked No | 74c | 1,350$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e40…f89cbacked Yes | 50c | 1,214$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.52 | 245 | 69.8%171 W · 74 L | +30.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 191 | 1%2 W · 189 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe287…5a0fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,000$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…42e8backed Yes | 30c | 989.21$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.51 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d8…774cbacked No | 21c | 928.23$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +134.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 13c | 521.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 462.75$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.39 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 29c | 457.46$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…9236backed Yes | 21c | 430.78$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 354 | 32.5%115 W · 239 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 80c | 425.64$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.61 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 34c | 357.09$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.49 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…06bcbacked Yes | 24c | 340.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd802…d766backed Yes | 38c | 267.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 306 | 64.1%196 W · 110 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 78c | 267.06$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 31c | 252.74$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 30c | 250.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.31 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 16c | 244.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…55e4backed No | 65c | 237.66$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.58 | 48 | 87.5%42 W · 6 L | +12.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +49%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 24c | 211.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.31 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x888f…23f5backed Yes | 8c | 201$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Yes | 25c | 184.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 20c | 184.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 79c | 180.01$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ab…c998backed No | 63c | 152.74$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 22c | 142$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1b…4f09backed Yes | 30c | 137.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 19c | 133.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 36c | 128$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.76 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…d0b7backed Yes | 20c | 124.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 296 | 42.9%127 W · 169 L | +19.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 20c | 122.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1b…546cbacked Yes | 50c | 121.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…58debacked Yes | 21c | 117.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed Yes | 10c | 107$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 18c | 105.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe683…5578backed No | 67c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…c619backed No | 77c | 98.91$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 75 | 76%57 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…4a25backed No | 74c | 98.69$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 410 | 70.5%289 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c5…9e8abacked Yes | 23c | 92.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked No | 55c | 88.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 575 | 45%259 W · 316 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 24c | 85.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 41c | 83.89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 26c | 78.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Yes | 70c | 76.01$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 222 | 36.5%81 W · 141 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x293e…9962backed Yes | 70c | 76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 70.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…b868backed Yes | 51c | 66.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 291 | 37.8%110 W · 181 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…4ae7backed Yes | 49c | 60.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 257 | 25.7%66 W · 191 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…ff13backed Yes | 20c | 60.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 20c | 59.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa3…5a51backed Yes | 37c | 54.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Yes | 29c | 52.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…9ababacked Yes | 22c | 52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -10.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 70c | 41.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1b…e88cbacked Yes | 26c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 79c | 40.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…42a2backed Yes | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…ad4dbacked Yes | 70c | 37.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 80c | 34.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…a2f8backed No | 78c | 32.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 118 | 72.9%86 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 34c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…e587backed Yes | 70c | 30.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb287…961cbacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 37c | 29.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 78c | 26.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 54c | 26.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 78c | 25.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 71c | 22.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac8…0837backed No | 80c | 21.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfae…b5ccbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfab…7ae1backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd93…0051backed No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e5…f172backed No | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 74c | 16.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 572 | 32.9%188 W · 384 L | -104.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 31-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x0cab…7489backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 103 | 71.8%74 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C or higher on March 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 3°C or below on March 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C on March 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on March 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on March 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 8?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.