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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Spiritof Team Spirit, BetBoom Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,039,542
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,427,491

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,039,542 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 402 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfbf3…b218backed Team Spirit55c274,846$150,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124,762.5616147.2%76 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked BetBoom Team46c148,449$68,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,839.7628748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed BetBoom Team48c66,905$32,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,0001,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit55c30,587$16,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,714.932,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Spirit64c30,000$19,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,899.9917452.3%91 W · 83 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed BetBoom Team43c20,000$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,60022848.2%110 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed BetBoom Team36c19,439$6,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,997.8940051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Team Spirit52c15,852$8,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,626.5122644.7%101 W · 125 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked BetBoom Team43c15,218$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,6001,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8479…40dfbacked Team Spirit53c15,000$7,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,05010751.4%55 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked BetBoom Team39c14,585$5,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,662.4889741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit51c12,425$6,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,033.196557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked BetBoom Team51c12,250$6,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,226.5780256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Spirit58c12,139$7,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,103.228159.8%168 W · 113 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BetBoom Team42c11,998$5,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,015.191,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked BetBoom Team44c11,649$5,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,118.321,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed BetBoom Team44c10,151$4,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,460.2469644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed BetBoom Team48c10,049$4,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,823.5427153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed BetBoom Team44c9,999$4,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,379.861,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed BetBoom Team40c9,932$3,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,935.2945139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Team Spirit63c8,888$5,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,288.5515951.6%82 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Team Spirit45c8,092$3,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,468.1225446.1%117 W · 137 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed BetBoom Team46c7,871$3,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,631.0456955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed BetBoom Team46c7,800$3,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,625.636248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked BetBoom Team45c7,500$3,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,37541944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed BetBoom Team34c6,971$2,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,342.4348954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Team Spirit59c6,222$3,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,557.5126550.6%134 W · 131 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BetBoom Team44c6,077$2,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,657.241,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a6…ab62backed BetBoom Team40c5,833$2,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3131631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed BetBoom Team42c5,815$2,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,466.9968649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Team Spirit55c5,382$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,421.8242145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked BetBoom Team38c5,307$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009630.2%29 W · 67 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BetBoom Team42c5,072$2,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,122.6389749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed BetBoom Team48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40024153.1%128 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed BetBoom Team45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25029042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Team Spirit51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.9988539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed BetBoom Team43c4,742$2,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.0617651.1%90 W · 86 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Spirit53c4,707$2,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,223.9496645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed BetBoom Team48c4,502$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160.9629348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04f6…f24abacked BetBoom Team40c4,469$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,808.9350347.1%237 W · 266 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked BetBoom Team48c4,100$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967.9927143.5%118 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x586a…6610backed Team Spirit53c3,633$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,698.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked Team Spirit57c3,624$2,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.671533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-47.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked BetBoom Team49c3,583$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,751.3560646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Team Spirit57c3,539$2,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.641,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed BetBoom Team41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23050%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked BetBoom Team47c2,949$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.1177256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed BetBoom Team47c2,800$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31649455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefee…d2b3backed Team Spirit66c2,743$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.6212256.6%69 W · 53 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed BetBoom Team44c2,723$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.1130336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa503…c5b9backed Team Spirit62c2,670$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed BetBoom Team37c2,655$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.916637.9%25 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked BetBoom Team48c2,621$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.0535951.3%184 W · 175 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Team Spirit51c2,605$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.6511547%54 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed BetBoom Team47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.9941351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked Team Spirit53c2,458$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.4613442.5%57 W · 77 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Team Spirit52c2,375$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.5256542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Spirit56c2,328$1,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.4735062.6%219 W · 131 L+44.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd9ee…a621backed Team Spirit64c2,223$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.91650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed BetBoom Team39c2,211$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.9935758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Spirit80c2,185$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.3238049.2%187 W · 193 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed BetBoom Team43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86031547.6%150 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad4d…dd89backed BetBoom Team28c1,942$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.97736.4%28 W · 49 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Spirit54c1,900$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87760552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked Team Spirit51c1,896$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.8710646.2%49 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab1…9b4fbacked Team Spirit54c1,856$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.568048.8%39 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Team Spirit53c1,827$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.7860349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked BetBoom Team50c1,793$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.0561456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Spirit54c1,723$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.9595342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed BetBoom Team48c1,600$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.5556548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed BetBoom Team46c1,553$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.7544645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Team Spirit63c1,545$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.0822842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed BetBoom Team46c1,522$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.6316242.6%69 W · 93 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23cb…80d0backed BetBoom Team28c1,279$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.7922853.1%121 W · 107 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Spirit45c1,279$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.679859%471 W · 327 L+16.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Spirit55c1,178$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.561,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed BetBoom Team39c1,100$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4292634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed BetBoom Team46c1,097$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50057449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit60c1,092$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.192,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed Team Spirit39c1,027$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.6436343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2495…28f5backed Team Spirit63c1,021$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.579161.5%56 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Spirit68c1,011$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.481,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Team Spirit52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Spirit51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49065441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed BetBoom Team31c999.99$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31579959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb10e…beedbacked Team Spirit61c999.98$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Team Spirit51c984.46$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.839444.7%42 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked BetBoom Team15c963.57$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9944149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked BetBoom Team45c939.46$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.2739343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Spirit54c936.44$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.422,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Spirit56c932.24$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.271,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked BetBoom Team35c924.93$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.8399844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed BetBoom Team49c916$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.8435151.3%180 W · 171 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Spirit57c902.25$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.561,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed Team Spirit56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8614562.1%90 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Spirit56c863.14$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.861,15447.7%550 W · 604 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed BetBoom Team15c846.74$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0180443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc9c…b01cbacked BetBoom Team47c846.66$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007034.3%24 W · 46 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-30.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Team Spirit61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6761745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked BetBoom Team62c799.99$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.9927060%162 W · 108 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.