Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85e11b0a902d4cb51ceeca413ffc4fc22f3a74a1ba4417c6a1110a6ae777efbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, BetBoom Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed BetBoom Team | 68c | 7,684$5,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,203.78 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Team Spirit | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400.1 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Team Spirit | 33c | 4,636$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,106.36 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed BetBoom Team | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.99 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d1…7ab6backed Team Spirit | 32c | 737.96$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.58 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed BetBoom Team | 69c | 326.38$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.8 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Team Spirit | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Team Spirit | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…6269backed Team Spirit | 60c | 262.86$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked BetBoom Team | 68c | 212.1$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.23 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed BetBoom Team | 73c | 203.39$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Team Spirit | 27c | 176.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.03 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BetBoom Team | 40c | 130.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Spirit | 32c | 110$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Team Spirit | 32c | 95.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.03 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Team Spirit | 33c | 86.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.44 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed BetBoom Team | 48c | 77.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Team Spirit | 33c | 57.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked BetBoom Team | 46c | 55.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Team Spirit | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed BetBoom Team | 71c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2260…ed12backed Team Spirit | 33c | 42.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Team Spirit | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed BetBoom Team | 65c | 27.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed BetBoom Team | 41c | 24.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.