Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb40fa1df9226739b2df66dd0efbf1bdd8e6d4fb8f9314da44b8d5d3438e7dcbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,127 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 24c | 1,255$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.42 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 7c | 689.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 25c | 687.51$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.22 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 24c | 456.29$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.93 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed No | 60c | 442.88$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.13 | 274 | 63.9%175 W · 99 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe287…5a0fbacked No | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 28c | 300$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.25 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 39c | 253.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.87 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 45c | 234.71$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.74 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd98d…1179backed Yes | 69c | 175.01$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 232 | 31%72 W · 160 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeec…a723backed No | 72c | 162.54$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed No | 73c | 161.01$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.32 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 24c | 157.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.96 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…34d2backed No | 78c | 154.11$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.79 | 66 | 74.2%49 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 150.53$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.14 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed No | 78c | 150.29$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.23 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…c619backed No | 74c | 134.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 76%57 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 69c | 131.93$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.17 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…f2d7backed Yes | 25c | 125.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 19cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 33c | 108.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 71c | 107.61$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes | 56c | 104.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…d0b7backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 296 | 42.9%127 W · 169 L | +19.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…3acebacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 268 | 27.2%73 W · 195 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 29c | 99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cb…4bc2backed No | 76c | 89.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9e…154abacked No | 55c | 83.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4c…efa9backed Yes | 31c | 79.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | -11.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b9…3377backed No | 70c | 70.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c5…9e8abacked Yes | 40c | 69.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 33c | 69.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 76c | 68.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 26c | 68.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3827…5455backed Yes | 62c | 68.09$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…a098backed No | 72c | 65.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389e…3179backed Yes | 38c | 63.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 72c | 61.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 50c | 60.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…9ababacked No | 77c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -10.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd89f…4864backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…a2f8backed No | 77c | 59.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 118 | 72.9%86 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ed…af11backed No | 61c | 52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…e119backed No | 72c | 51.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc448…085ebacked Yes | 25c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 219 | 19.6%43 W · 176 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 51c | 48.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3b81…b68bbacked No | 73c | 47.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 66c | 46.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 54c | 45.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 75c | 44.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4107…c4c5backed No | 73c | 41.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed7…bb28backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…4105backed Yes | 29c | 37.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 337 | 26.4%89 W · 248 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 29c | 35.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd725…0ba3backed No | 76c | 35.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf905…9cc4backed No | 74c | 34.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5504…665dbacked No | 75c | 32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a2…5cdabacked No | 78c | 31.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 67c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd9…bc9abacked No | 75c | 26.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf618…6a90backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6883…4406backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 77cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…ce9abacked No | 78c | 24.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…9ea3backed No | 77c | 23.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45bc…1f69backed No | 66c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…9397backed Yes | 57c | 22.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6c…d8cdbacked No | 78c | 22.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 73 | 75.3%55 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be2…cba5backed No | 77c | 20.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 74cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb68…ac20backed No | 76c | 18.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0d…4ed5backed No | 78c | 17.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 72cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05cc…eeefbacked No | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…b923backed Yes | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6624…5a93backed No | 77c | 15.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…85d4backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…58febacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…1c9abacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…1377backed No | 75c | 14.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 541 | 43.6%236 W · 305 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea9…2a8fbacked No | 78c | 13.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or below on March 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on March 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on March 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on March 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C or higher on March 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.