Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 74°F or higher on March 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27b37525fb81d2d0e7fc5b19a2b53ab91b5cfa35aff6b66b9791c996d7c744b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,516 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd33c…f93fbacked Yes | 0c | 59,992$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…83ccbacked Yes | 1c | 2,999$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 55 | 0%0 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 34c | 1,790$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.07 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed Yes | 12c | 964.49$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.16 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 5c | 716.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 73c | 417.47$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.45 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked No | 66c | 385.06$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.34 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2aa…586fbacked No | 63c | 354.5$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.22 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…6eaabacked Yes | 17c | 347.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed Yes | 8c | 343.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 8c | 299.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 5c | 255.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed Yes | 13c | 254.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 64c | 248.72$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.28 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 5c | 238.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 368 | 19.6%72 W · 296 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 72c | 233.8$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 22c | 223.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb3…d405backed Yes | 35c | 213.93$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.32 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 9c | 192$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 722 | 22.3%161 W · 561 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 68c | 189.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 67c | 178.44$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 32c | 164$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ef…8b9cbacked Yes | 13c | 159.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c0…ae83backed Yes | 31c | 157.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 32c | 150.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…cb66backed No | 69c | 138.86$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 31c | 134.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…c872backed Yes | 23c | 134.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 13c | 130$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…9ababacked Yes | 40c | 128.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -10.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…5d6abacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 95 | 20%19 W · 76 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…9030backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 68c | 98.83$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…8945backed No | 64c | 87.06$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 253 | 41.5%105 W · 148 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a9…75f9backed Yes | 14c | 86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 262 | 53.4%140 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 35c | 84.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…6387backed Yes | 44c | 82.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5504…665dbacked No | 64c | 73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2a…342abacked No | 73c | 68.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed Yes | 32c | 67.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66aa…5203backed Yes | 40c | 63.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ea…4d9fbacked Yes | 22c | 62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 146 | 17.1%25 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7107…de5bbacked Yes | 34c | 58.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e28…cf34backed Yes | 19c | 56.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf042…081bbacked Yes | 36c | 53.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Yes | 31c | 50.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 135 | 23%31 W · 104 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 50.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xda59…51c5backed Yes | 32c | 50.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…d44cbacked Yes | 36c | 50.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a19…1e2ebacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 417 | 67.9%283 W · 134 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…c619backed No | 68c | 49.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 75 | 76%57 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 80c | 45.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed No | 70c | 44.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eac…dc78backed Yes | 33c | 44.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…85d4backed Yes | 37c | 41.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb68…ac20backed No | 66c | 40.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…50ebbacked No | 71c | 39.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 315 | 67%211 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed No | 63c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 327 | 60.6%198 W · 129 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 66c | 38.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…b4d7backed Yes | 33c | 38.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 67c | 37.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed No | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…e119backed No | 66c | 35.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcc…5634backed No | 68c | 35.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x822e…261dbacked No | 68c | 34.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc99f…aeb1backed Yes | 36c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9853…2f25backed No | 66c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf618…6a90backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6883…4406backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 77cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7377…462dbacked No | 70c | 28.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7919…ca3fbacked No | 69c | 27.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c28…0d2abacked No | 66c | 26.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…78c9backed No | 69c | 26.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…2d64backed No | 67c | 24.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a2…5cdabacked No | 71c | 23.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…b5f2backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea9…2a8fbacked No | 79c | 16.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cde…86c4backed No | 71c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -51%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…503fbacked No | 76c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d4…3d72backed No | 69c | 14.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ac…5b03backed No | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 74°F or higher on March 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 8?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.