Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dd232af6762a0ebf98bb4196ef591312e34fdd3c3b99c721b619873e8d94eae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,577 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7cfe…0a1dbacked Yes | 27c | 4,056$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ae…b508backed Yes | 27c | 3,874$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed14…77c9backed Yes | 28c | 3,523$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a1…dd53backed No | 73c | 1,389$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054c…c525backed No | 73c | 1,365$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fea…1356backed No | 73c | 1,356$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd811…6f7fbacked No | 73c | 1,305$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffaa…683dbacked No | 73c | 1,255$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301c…0c7fbacked No | 73c | 1,254$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9204…ea4cbacked No | 72c | 1,203$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98b…a5c5backed No | 72c | 1,201$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd37…05c5backed No | 72c | 1,119$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…f1b1backed Yes | 39c | 431.75$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 27c | 404.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.79 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80c…a113backed Yes | 20c | 383.38$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.97 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e6…c310backed Yes | 21c | 325.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 159 | 11.3%18 W · 141 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…1377backed No | 61c | 322.97$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.72 | 541 | 43.6%236 W · 305 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 17c | 298.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1762…c83ebacked Yes | 24c | 204.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 78c | 199.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…0a0bbacked Yes | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 11c | 178.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 346 | 18.8%65 W · 281 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…b263backed Yes | 12c | 167.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked No | 76c | 165.91$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed No | 61c | 165.27$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 21c | 165.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed No | 78c | 151.65$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 21c | 141.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 30c | 130$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 71c | 119.35$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 74c | 119.33$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd98d…1179backed Yes | 34c | 105$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 232 | 31%72 W · 160 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 26c | 100.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 43c | 99.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 250 | 29.2%73 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 37c | 95.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc99f…aeb1backed No | 74c | 94.12$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a9…75f9backed Yes | 23c | 86.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 262 | 53.4%140 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9532…7c44backed Yes | 15c | 85.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7105backed Yes | 23c | 85.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x279e…5994backed Yes | 41c | 83.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4107…c4c5backed No | 57c | 82.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…44d4backed No | 74c | 80.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 249 | 66.7%166 W · 83 L | +15.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 79.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 56c | 73.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b9…3377backed No | 71c | 70.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed Yes | 28c | 69.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 32c | 67.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 42c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 40c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66aa…5203backed Yes | 24c | 61.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…4fefbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e28…cf34backed Yes | 26c | 56.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 29c | 53.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…27a1backed Yes | 33c | 51.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 320 | 44.7%143 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 24c | 50.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 38c | 50.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d73…43f6backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 116 | 19.8%23 W · 93 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed Yes | 30c | 46.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 69c | 45.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4d…ee6abacked Yes | 27c | 44.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…c872backed Yes | 34c | 43.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31f9…1886backed Yes | 28c | 40.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…15c2backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 173 | 64.7%112 W · 61 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x276e…e8edbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeec…a723backed No | 66c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 29c | 38.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 52c | 38.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Yes | 53c | 37.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 36.1%53 W · 94 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 59c | 36.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed Yes | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…4105backed Yes | 29c | 35.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 337 | 26.4%89 W · 248 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…50ebbacked No | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 315 | 67%211 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a7…ab77backed No | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f4…a54abacked Yes | 44c | 31.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 66c | 29.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16a…ced5backed No | 73c | 29.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff7…931dbacked No | 57c | 27.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 75c | 26.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 60c | 26.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…851dbacked Yes | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b5…5aa7backed No | 74c | 19.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…8d3cbacked No | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaa…f641backed No | 77c | 16.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 74°F or higher on March 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on March 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on March 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 8?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.