Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2d01e195238607bd7f3fa6e4b4415d7125d0a8b7f197ddfc95e31f807323a1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Aurora, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $330,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $387,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $330,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit | 53c | 48,840$25,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,196.4 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 18,453$9,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,628.5 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 44c | 17,959$7,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,943.08 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Aurora | 26c | 13,841$3,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,655.96 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora | 45c | 12,030$5,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,422.9 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Spirit | 56c | 9,500$5,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Aurora | 46c | 9,500$4,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,369.98 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Aurora | 46c | 9,299$4,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.33 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Spirit | 55c | 7,656$4,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,418.59 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 48c | 7,530$3,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,635 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Team Spirit | 57c | 7,048$3,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.03 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 49c | 6,988$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 53c | 6,387$3,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.03 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 46c | 6,241$2,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840.77 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Spirit | 56c | 5,581$3,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.91 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 46c | 5,440$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.46 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Aurora | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.92 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Team Spirit | 52c | 4,939$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.68 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Aurora | 47c | 4,500$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Aurora | 42c | 4,461$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.6 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Aurora | 48c | 3,849$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.65 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora | 46c | 3,697$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.68 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora | 46c | 3,411$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.48 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team Spirit | 54c | 2,885$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.09 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 46c | 2,804$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.09 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Spirit | 53c | 2,695$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.56 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora | 47c | 2,593$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.02 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Aurora | 47c | 2,563$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.13 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora | 42c | 2,441$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.7 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Spirit | 67c | 2,387$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.68 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 2,343$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.94 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Aurora | 47c | 2,270$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.94 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Spirit | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.56 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 2,207$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.07 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Spirit | 53c | 2,146$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.76 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Aurora | 47c | 2,134$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.94 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Spirit | 54c | 2,100$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Aurora | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 46c | 1,984$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.31 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…ec56backed Team Spirit | 54c | 1,899$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.35 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked Aurora | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Aurora | 48c | 1,762$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.36 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Spirit | 47c | 1,621$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.88 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 1,488$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aurora | 43c | 1,486$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.71 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Spirit | 55c | 1,393$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.22 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Aurora | 42c | 1,370$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.92 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Aurora | 47c | 1,321$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.87 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Team Spirit | 50c | 1,230$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Aurora | 47c | 1,224$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.13 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…fe5dbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 1,206$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.18 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Spirit | 55c | 1,175$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.28 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Aurora | 44c | 1,145$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Aurora | 47c | 1,141$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.26 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Aurora | 58c | 1,135$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.89 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Spirit | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.85 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Aurora | 47c | 1,073$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Spirit | 56c | 1,073$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.53 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Aurora | 41c | 1,023$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.89 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 1,001$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.46 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Spirit | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Team Spirit | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Aurora | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Spirit | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Spirit | 51c | 996.53$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.12 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Aurora | 46c | 978$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.88 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 955.17$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.41 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Team Spirit | 54c | 940.3$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.93 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Aurora | 47c | 917$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.43 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Team Spirit | 57c | 887.69$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.69 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Spirit | 57c | 878.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.95 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Spirit | 67c | 814.16$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.8 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Aurora | 46c | 793$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.85 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Spirit | 59c | 785.04$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.04 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked Aurora | 48c | 778.96$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Aurora | 46c | 765.96$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.34 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed Aurora | 47c | 762.29$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.22 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Team Spirit | 53c | 756.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.54 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Aurora | 40c | 720$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Aurora | 46c | 711$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.06 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Aurora | 47c | 660.27$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.74 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Spirit | 57c | 637.5$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.41 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 613$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.45 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Aurora | 46c | 611.87$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.35 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Spirit | 54c | 599.59$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.58 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Team Spirit | 53c | 566.51$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.51 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Aurora | 51c | 559.11$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.14 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Aurora | 51c | 552.87$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.96 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Team Spirit | 54c | 551.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.12 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Team Spirit | 54c | 532.08$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.18 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…ea53backed Aurora | 47c | 507$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Team Spirit | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Aurora | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.28 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 468.85$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.36 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Aurora | 38c | 427.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.29 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Aurora | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Aurora | 68c | 402.3$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.84 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Aurora | 45c | 400$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.8 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group ATeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.