Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61068b58a02103d6e625d7a5d2ff419a7109dc7b71fcc30cc4facc7cc6c3be2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $323,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $333,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked FUT Esports | 49c | 58,579$28,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,610.88 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3522…188fbacked FUT Esports | 51c | 47,424$24,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,320.8 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 29,564$15,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,193.31 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 22,765$11,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,154.89 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -6.2wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed FUT Esports | 47c | 16,993$8,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,971.06 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…e0afbacked Natus Vincere | 0c | 16,921$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 15,217$7,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,608.48 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 14,905$7,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,164.84 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 13,180$6,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,246.4 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 7,609$4,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,053.84 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…0a2bbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 7,500$3,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,875 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed FUT Esports | 53c | 6,674$3,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.49 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 5,009$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,454.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 5,000$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 4,222$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.22 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 4,165$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 4,000$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.99 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked FUT Esports | 49c | 3,876$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.42 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FUT Esports | 55c | 3,766$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked FUT Esports | 51c | 3,716$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.87 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 3,417$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.32 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed FUT Esports | 55c | 3,084$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.03 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked FUT Esports | 51c | 2,915$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.21 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,542$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.25 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 2,445$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.25 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf940…8701backed FUT Esports | 37c | 2,372$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked FUT Esports | 49c | 2,112$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.16 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,098$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.07 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 2,036$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.51 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,008$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.32 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,962$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.86 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked FUT Esports | 45c | 1,937$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.25 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,930$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.23 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed FUT Esports | 51c | 1,871$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.68 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed FUT Esports | 46c | 1,749$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.37 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,434$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.29 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FUT Esports | 42c | 1,411$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.21 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked FUT Esports | 39c | 1,394$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.23 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked FUT Esports | 52c | 1,388$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.68 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,372$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.77 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed FUT Esports | 62c | 1,306$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.91 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed FUT Esports | 28c | 1,287$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.29 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,250$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.18 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9b…11f7backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,164$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FUT Esports | 51c | 1,091$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.09 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FUT Esports | 59c | 1,048$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.96 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,013$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.14 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked FUT Esports | 51c | 1,005$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.38 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed FUT Esports | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed FUT Esports | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…9120backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 1,000$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 999.31$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.66 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked FUT Esports | 48c | 954.93$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.71 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed FUT Esports | 30c | 946.76$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed FUT Esports | 50c | 911.8$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.9 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed FUT Esports | 50c | 904.25$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.4 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 898.93$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.12 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 878.99$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.5 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 837.02$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.66 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed FUT Esports | 37c | 795.83$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.54 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 791.52$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.08 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c61…c5fdbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 775.72$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 740.47$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.61 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 734.3$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.31 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…4f4bbacked FUT Esports | 30c | 728.08$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.66 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed FUT Esports | 57c | 672.47$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.61 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 670.63$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.17 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked FUT Esports | 47c | 668.38$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.45 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked FUT Esports | 46c | 631.04$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.76 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FUT Esports | 57c | 628$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.04 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 626.67$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.63 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 619.15$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.58 | 89 | 66.3%59 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 611.29$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.98 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -8.1wins | -0.31per pick | 50cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 599.99$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 597.28$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.92 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed FUT Esports | 51c | 595.95$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.01 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8136…772cbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 592.67$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked FUT Esports | 50c | 582$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked FUT Esports | 19c | 571.87$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.86 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 559.67$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.24 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 559.51$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.74 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked FUT Esports | 52c | 515.22$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.06 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -9.8wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 505.83$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.05 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…18ecbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 503.28$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 501.75$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.3 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 498.18$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.57 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 497.26$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.41 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FUT Esports | 49c | 483.28$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.05 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 476.14$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.18 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed FUT Esports | 23c | 442.74$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.91 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 435.34$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.75 | 266 | 34.6%92 W · 174 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…824abacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 420$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed FUT Esports | 47c | 416.33$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.65 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 381.96$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1019…d7cabacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 381.95$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed FUT Esports | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 196 | 55.6%109 W · 87 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphathis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.