Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb4200b9e8f80a8a324ee96275ccac72981a3a9ece5b01d1d00b84c572ab128f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Under | 49c | 1,008$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.73 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c7…147abacked Over | 52c | 863.32$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Over | 53c | 394.98$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.13 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddc…6796backed Under | 46c | 389.4$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…2493backed Under | 46c | 315.52$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 49c | 216.74$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…665fbacked Over | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 31c | 143.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.54 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Over | 54c | 109.52$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 51c | 98.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x935f…94b8backed Over | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…db37backed Over | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 38c | 81.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Over | 36c | 50.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.33 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc138…c75dbacked Over | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1360…6554backed Over | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…4947backed Over | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c1…d61fbacked Over | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47e…234cbacked Over | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Over | 33c | 47.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed Over | 34c | 42.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a87…7684backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a1…d466backed Over | 51c | 24.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x431f…be71backed Over | 51c | 24.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 28cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e6…1e51backed Over | 51c | 24.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85be…4475backed Over | 51c | 24.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Over | 51c | 22.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaFUT Esports won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.