Tennis · resolved market
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alex Michelsen vs Alexei Popyrin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c128961bc1321fdc16517e142cf1bdc82d22c4017e90c649372c9a0ac8f4059
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexei Popyrinof Alex Michelsen, Alexei Popyrin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $513,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $551,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $513,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 353 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…b8f7backed Alex Michelsen | 62c | 114,043$70,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,839.04 | 137 | 54.7%75 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Alex Michelsen | 38c | 30,256$11,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,403.59 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Alex Michelsen | 62c | 23,731$14,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,712.72 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alexei Popyrin | 61c | 18,779$11,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,371.33 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Alexei Popyrin | 38c | 18,261$6,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,347.92 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Alexei Popyrin | 37c | 17,778$6,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,207.79 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…648dbacked Alex Michelsen | 28c | 17,536$4,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,987.78 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alexei Popyrin | 51c | 16,646$8,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,226.71 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Alexei Popyrin | 48c | 16,455$7,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,520.15 | 365 | 54.2%198 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…263dbacked Alex Michelsen | 36c | 15,038$5,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,355.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…99acbacked Alexei Popyrin | 57c | 11,835$6,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,106.77 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alexei Popyrin | 78c | 11,280$8,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.68 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Alex Michelsen | 54c | 10,930$5,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,901.7 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Alexei Popyrin | 65c | 10,441$6,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,677.51 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Alexei Popyrin | 39c | 9,923$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,022.76 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Alexei Popyrin | 78c | 8,500$6,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.99 | 274 | 60.2%165 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Alexei Popyrin | 38c | 8,403$3,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,235.19 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Alex Michelsen | 37c | 8,222$3,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.38 | 245 | 58.8%144 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Alexei Popyrin | 39c | 8,188$3,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,994.64 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alexei Popyrin | 56c | 7,762$4,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,398.49 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Alexei Popyrin | 50c | 6,971$3,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,495.95 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alex Michelsen | 27c | 6,523$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.26 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Alexei Popyrin | 41c | 6,360$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,727.69 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Alexei Popyrin | 38c | 6,248$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,873.51 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Alexei Popyrin | 43c | 5,930$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,385.04 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alex Michelsen | 27c | 5,253$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.26 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…9a1fbacked Alexei Popyrin | 37c | 5,201$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…b52cbacked Alex Michelsen | 57c | 5,133$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942.81 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alexei Popyrin | 60c | 5,111$3,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.01 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alexei Popyrin | 56c | 5,063$2,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.33 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Alexei Popyrin | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Alexei Popyrin | 37c | 4,790$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.82 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Alexei Popyrin | 56c | 4,749$2,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.53 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Alexei Popyrin | 39c | 4,660$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,865.22 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Alexei Popyrin | 48c | 4,603$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.34 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…11a2backed Alex Michelsen | 3c | 4,549$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.92 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Alex Michelsen | 59c | 4,365$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.86 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Alexei Popyrin | 52c | 4,350$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.31 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Alexei Popyrin | 39c | 4,046$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.23 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alexei Popyrin | 40c | 3,508$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.31 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Alexei Popyrin | 55c | 3,497$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.82 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Alex Michelsen | 62c | 3,469$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.82 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Alexei Popyrin | 72c | 3,297$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.3 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Alexei Popyrin | 58c | 3,219$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.22 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7122…6bcabacked Alex Michelsen | 58c | 3,093$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Alexei Popyrin | 72c | 3,000$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Alex Michelsen | 61c | 2,738$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.57 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Alexei Popyrin | 38c | 2,640$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.4 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Alexei Popyrin | 37c | 2,561$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.64 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Alexei Popyrin | 38c | 2,560$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.18 | 166 | 36.7%61 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alexei Popyrin | 68c | 2,543$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.93 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Alexei Popyrin | 36c | 2,298$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.25 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Alexei Popyrin | 65c | 2,228$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.62 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alexei Popyrin | 60c | 2,123$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.61 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Alexei Popyrin | 38c | 2,121$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.25 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Alex Michelsen | 58c | 2,068$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.52 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…319ebacked Alexei Popyrin | 73c | 2,055$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.79 | 99 | 31.3%31 W · 68 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Alexei Popyrin | 39c | 2,051$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.28 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Alexei Popyrin | 39c | 1,839$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.08 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Alexei Popyrin | 58c | 1,813$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.52 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Alex Michelsen | 63c | 1,561$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.58 | 300 | 56.7%170 W · 130 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Alexei Popyrin | 37c | 1,506$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.68 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Alex Michelsen | 42c | 1,493$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.44 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Alex Michelsen | 63c | 1,391$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.17 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Alexei Popyrin | 37c | 1,339$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.75 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Alex Michelsen | 10c | 1,315$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.39 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde93…bef4backed Alex Michelsen | 58c | 1,272$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17c1…a606backed Alex Michelsen | 63c | 1,232$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.18 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Alex Michelsen | 62c | 1,204$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.28 | 248 | 52%129 W · 119 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…16fbbacked Alexei Popyrin | 43c | 1,193$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.23 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Alex Michelsen | 48c | 1,171$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.9 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Alexei Popyrin | 47c | 1,103$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.85 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…ee5abacked Alex Michelsen | 22c | 1,098$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.46 | 148 | 22.3%33 W · 115 L | -14.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Alex Michelsen | 47c | 999.96$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.98 | 394 | 38.1%150 W · 244 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Alexei Popyrin | 38c | 988.14$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.64 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…1dd8backed Alex Michelsen | 2c | 966.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alex Michelsen | 27c | 954.61$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.75 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Alex Michelsen | 31c | 940.01$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.88 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Alexei Popyrin | 38c | 922$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.27 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Alex Michelsen | 50c | 890.62$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.61 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…eda7backed Alexei Popyrin | 55c | 887.3$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.73 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…8722backed Alex Michelsen | 63c | 850.53$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.83 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Alex Michelsen | 45c | 843.14$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.56 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Alex Michelsen | 26c | 817.9$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.01 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…43c1backed Alex Michelsen | 38c | 760.61$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.03 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Alexei Popyrin | 43c | 742.58$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.32 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Alexei Popyrin | 43c | 711.51$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.32 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Alexei Popyrin | 40c | 682.34$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.21 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…f3a4backed Alex Michelsen | 59c | 669.47$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.99 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c162backed Alex Michelsen | 8c | 663.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Alex Michelsen | 46c | 663.18$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.13 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Alex Michelsen | 51c | 622$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.41 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Alex Michelsen | 64c | 610.22$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.54 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Alex Michelsen | 39c | 609.54$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.01 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Alex Michelsen | 50c | 585.52$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.08 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Alex Michelsen | 46c | 580.62$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.22 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Alexei Popyrin | 39c | 575.54$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.96 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Alex Michelsen | 62c | 551.65$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.02 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Alex Michelsen | 58c | 543.96$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.16 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Alex Michelsen | 28c | 534.47$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.01 | 272 | 40.4%110 W · 162 L | -25.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alex Michelsen vs Alexei Popyrinthis page
- Alex Michelsen vs. Alexei Popyrin: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Michelsen vs. Popyrin: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Michelsen vs PopyrinPopyrin won
- Set Handicap: Michelsen (-1.5) vs Popyrin (+1.5)Popyrin won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.