Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f475e125843c0ae143401c2da41388a47e9569c1dd2b3402d171bd3beac14fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Evil Geniusesof FURIA Esports, Evil Geniuses
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Evil Geniuses | 51c | 9,999$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.62 | 289 | 55.7%161 W · 128 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Evil Geniuses | 50c | 9,959$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,979.25 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Evil Geniuses | 51c | 3,999$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.62 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked FURIA Esports | 49c | 3,745$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.16 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Evil Geniuses | 52c | 3,486$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.08 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f73…1b52backed FURIA Esports | 49c | 3,446$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed FURIA Esports | 49c | 3,362$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed FURIA Esports | 49c | 3,006$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.75 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Evil Geniuses | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.82 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Evil Geniuses | 49c | 2,111$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.6 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed FURIA Esports | 52c | 2,076$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.98 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed FURIA Esports | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Evil Geniuses | 50c | 1,474$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.4 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed FURIA Esports | 50c | 1,422$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.22 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed FURIA Esports | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Evil Geniuses | 51c | 998.96$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.49 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 997.69$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.82 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked FURIA Esports | 49c | 991.7$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.93 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2655…eaa4backed FURIA Esports | 52c | 974.21$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.59 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed FURIA Esports | 48c | 931.05$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.68 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -6.6wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed FURIA Esports | 49c | 908.53$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.18 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…cd6bbacked FURIA Esports | 51c | 900.18$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.09 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked FURIA Esports | 51c | 807.1$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.62 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed FURIA Esports | 2c | 728.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked FURIA Esports | 53c | 700$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed FURIA Esports | 50c | 665.17$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.26 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed FURIA Esports | 48c | 662.66$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.08 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7d…cad4backed FURIA Esports | 52c | 655.56$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked FURIA Esports | 52c | 615.28$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed FURIA Esports | 52c | 608.15$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.52 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed FURIA Esports | 49c | 584.94$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.6 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked FURIA Esports | 49c | 577.32$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.89 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked FURIA Esports | 38c | 550.28$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…ce96backed Evil Geniuses | 50c | 547.05$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked FURIA Esports | 49c | 513.78$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.75 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Evil Geniuses | 48c | 496.09$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.22 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Evil Geniuses | 59c | 455.22$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.45 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…c6c1backed FURIA Esports | 48c | 400.7$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Evil Geniuses | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…865cbacked FURIA Esports | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…6b52backed Evil Geniuses | 50c | 365.1$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FURIA Esports | 47c | 357.54$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.04 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed FURIA Esports | 47c | 331$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.57 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked FURIA Esports | 52c | 328.38$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.93 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed FURIA Esports | 48c | 320.67$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.92 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked FURIA Esports | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed Evil Geniuses | 50c | 299.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed FURIA Esports | 49c | 299.72$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.86 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed Evil Geniuses | 42c | 286.91$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.41 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…8c95backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 285.46$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312f…913cbacked Evil Geniuses | 50c | 275.57$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Evil Geniuses | 49c | 271.43$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.43 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Evil Geniuses | 49c | 269.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.7 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed FURIA Esports | 48c | 257.7$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.7 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed FURIA Esports | 49c | 256.89$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.88 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…2493backed FURIA Esports | 50c | 241.67$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed FURIA Esports | 49c | 226.65$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.82 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed FURIA Esports | 50c | 213.4$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed FURIA Esports | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked FURIA Esports | 48c | 198.8$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed FURIA Esports | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed FURIA Esports | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed FURIA Esports | 48c | 193.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Evil Geniuses | 50c | 193.09$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -10.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked FURIA Esports | 50c | 183.71$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked FURIA Esports | 50c | 165.45$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed Evil Geniuses | 54c | 162.6$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…b75dbacked Evil Geniuses | 51c | 159.94$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb45…0c68backed FURIA Esports | 49c | 152.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked FURIA Esports | 48c | 132.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed FURIA Esports | 48c | 129.82$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed FURIA Esports | 52c | 121.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked FURIA Esports | 51c | 119.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7894…7b9dbacked FURIA Esports | 49c | 116.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54f…977cbacked Evil Geniuses | 50c | 116.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b1…315abacked FURIA Esports | 52c | 107.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Evil Geniuses | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fb…e28fbacked FURIA Esports | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Evil Geniuses | 61c | 92.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cca…3c3bbacked FURIA Esports | 50c | 90.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Evil Geniuses | 62c | 87.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3d…a77bbacked FURIA Esports | 45c | 85.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…5b6abacked FURIA Esports | 50c | 82.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed FURIA Esports | 49c | 81.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de9…fa8abacked FURIA Esports | 44c | 75.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Evil Geniuses | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa07…4593backed Evil Geniuses | 60c | 73.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Evil Geniuses | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 59.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa1…71a1backed FURIA Esports | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked FURIA Esports | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d8…e2e8backed FURIA Esports | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked FURIA Esports | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Evil Geniuses | 49c | 51.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…fc2bbacked FURIA Esports | 51c | 49.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked FURIA Esports | 52c | 49.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FURIA Esports | 25c | 47.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f8…6ef8backed FURIA Esports | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…c619backed Evil Geniuses | 53c | 45.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37a7…868fbacked Evil Geniuses | 53c | 45.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: EG (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)FURIA Esports won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group OmegaFURIA Esports won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 WinnerEvil Geniuses won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 WinnerFURIA Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.