Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc92e2c6def1d1870bf0c498211df817fa6a67044de37c371a775448c1cad0c4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over | 42c | 2,427$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.06 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 58c | 1,862$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.21 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Over | 59c | 698.67$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.55 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 56c | 531.85$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.35 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 36c | 477.92$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.05 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 65c | 440.94$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.2 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 61c | 162.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…13f4backed Over | 43c | 112.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 41c | 101.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 43c | 100.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed Under | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Under | 60c | 72.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Over | 41c | 65.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…3e48backed Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa1…71a1backed Over | 40c | 48.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…f185backed Over | 64c | 38.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 67c | 38.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba0…24d5backed Over | 67c | 35.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 66c | 29.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…8c95backed Under | 60c | 29.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3d…a77bbacked Over | 64c | 22.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Map Handicap: EG (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)FURIA Esports won
- Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)Evil Geniuses won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group OmegaFURIA Esports won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 WinnerEvil Geniuses won
- Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 WinnerFURIA Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.