TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Evil Geniusesof FURIA Esports, Evil Geniuses
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,289
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$189,735

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,289 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Evil Geniuses39c19,373$7,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,862.272729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FURIA Esports57c6,228$3,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,527.5694361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Evil Geniuses70c5,127$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.495238.5%20 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed FURIA Esports9c4,217$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.5320248%97 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA Esports46c4,076$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.9768458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA Esports65c3,485$2,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,273.2993148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Evil Geniuses38c3,171$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.2268949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked FURIA Esports53c2,471$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.2331153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed FURIA Esports58c2,195$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.4121558.1%125 W · 90 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Evil Geniuses57c2,183$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.4870251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed FURIA Esports2c2,150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36521.9%1 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-61.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed FURIA Esports2c2,150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36790%0 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked FURIA Esports2c2,150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36140%0 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked FURIA Esports55c1,885$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.2645033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FURIA Esports44c1,882$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.831,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FURIA Esports58c1,865$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.0753159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked FURIA Esports2c1,575$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27160%0 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed FURIA Esports54c1,483$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.9218056.1%101 W · 79 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0737…fe78backed FURIA Esports14c1,471$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.591540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Evil Geniuses26c1,351$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.932047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA Esports53c1,215$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.4665559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked FURIA Esports1c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15701.4%1 W · 69 L0.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed FURIA Esports1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13250%0 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2371…d59fbacked Evil Geniuses41c894.92$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.731457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa56f…ee5fbacked FURIA Esports61c833$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.85757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked FURIA Esports34c817.39$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.091,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked FURIA Esports1c800$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10630%0 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3351…4e2dbacked Evil Geniuses70c779.64$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.661758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed FURIA Esports61c762.64$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.591758.8%10 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed FURIA Esports47c700$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3291450%7 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked FURIA Esports49c697.49$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.213540%14 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked FURIA Esports14c672.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.211717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26d8…0175backed FURIA Esports2c650$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1090%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed FURIA Esports58c603.89$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.416654.5%36 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Evil Geniuses54c599.95$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed FURIA Esports13c583$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.145646.4%26 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed FURIA Esports48c576.64$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.5656357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA Esports55c516.61$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.8953355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c1b…f0f9backed Evil Geniuses19c503.85$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.72944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed FURIA Esports17c458$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2626730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Evil Geniuses42c454.99$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.0915342.5%65 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb29a…bbdebacked FURIA Esports47c406.62$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.114055%22 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed FURIA Esports9c386.14$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.99438.3%36 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked FURIA Esports9c384$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.926939.1%27 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd1b…e3b3backed Evil Geniuses26c361.11$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+40.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked FURIA Esports69c352.57$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.5761035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed FURIA Esports57c332.17$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FURIA Esports34c304.74$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.961,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea4b…9531backed Evil Geniuses50c291.19$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.696100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3304…8313backed Evil Geniuses67c290.93$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.846755.2%37 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed FURIA Esports53c273.82$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.819859.2%58 W · 40 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Evil Geniuses58c269.9$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.3615450%77 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked FURIA Esports35c249.98$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8778562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked Evil Geniuses39c247.27$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.931040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed FURIA Esports13c232$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5612633.3%42 W · 84 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1173…1d74backed FURIA Esports42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.523450%17 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x71f2…ee56backed Evil Geniuses71c227.82$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.744254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Evil Geniuses30c223.53$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4710225.5%26 W · 76 L-10.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked FURIA Esports51c222.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.312166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Evil Geniuses63c222.52$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3322455.4%124 W · 100 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FURIA Esports50c215.78$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.941,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed FURIA Esports51c212.43$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9230544.3%135 W · 170 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked FURIA Esports24c200$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked FURIA Esports22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449133%30 W · 61 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87e5…74f7backed Evil Geniuses60c196.82$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.011643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed FURIA Esports28c195.12$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5757517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed FURIA Esports9c192$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9611841.5%49 W · 69 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed FURIA Esports9c192$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9614436.1%52 W · 92 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed FURIA Esports9c192$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.615839.2%62 W · 96 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed Evil Geniuses51c187.89$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.911172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x877e…8c95backed FURIA Esports53c187.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.849142.9%39 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Evil Geniuses58c184.66$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4199846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed FURIA Esports67c181.73$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.462156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed FURIA Esports60c177.57$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.519654.2%52 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60f…b6c4backed FURIA Esports44c177.42$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.661346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed FURIA Esports42c175.83$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0741835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Evil Geniuses51c170.02$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.871533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked FURIA Esports29c163.44$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0915512.3%19 W · 136 L-27.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-62.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed FURIA Esports55c158.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0326436%95 W · 169 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Evil Geniuses50c140.52$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.619661.7%121 W · 75 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Evil Geniuses70c139.39$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1618261%111 W · 71 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed FURIA Esports50c136.63$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8928151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed FURIA Esports44c136.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3327947.7%133 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked FURIA Esports39c136.07$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.276924.6%17 W · 52 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-46.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed FURIA Esports54c134.54$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.922962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed FURIA Esports57c120.54$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3329151.5%150 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed FURIA Esports35c114.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1677929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed FURIA Esports42c114.06$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4219945.2%90 W · 109 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed FURIA Esports68c107.22$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.76616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-75.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Evil Geniuses44c104.23$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6721048.1%101 W · 109 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed FURIA Esports23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.512243.4%53 W · 69 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed FURIA Esports62c97.7$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.271346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked FURIA Esports59c85.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4301…fd19backed Evil Geniuses36c81.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.361540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc568…916dbacked FURIA Esports51c78.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.141952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked FURIA Esports31c77.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.296852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed FURIA Esports66c74.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.496756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed FURIA Esports54c73.03$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.354065%26 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9480…182cbacked FURIA Esports58c72.31$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.591172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed FURIA Esports47c71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4613336.8%49 W · 84 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.