TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9480…182c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Valorant, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$33.32
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$60.56
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.13
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$26.06
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+122.9%+$69.15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+109.3%+$15.72
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$22.36
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$84
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$14.6
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+82.4%+$10.86
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$10.65
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+44%+$5.85
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.47
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.95
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.77
All 19 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.93
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$23.83
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$13.58
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.67
Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.85
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+181.4%+$43.63
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$25.27
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.67
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.26
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+102.5%+$32.44
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$9.18
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.16
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+89%+$10.81
All 15 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$5.12
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.59
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$20.84
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+79%+$30.08
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+43%+$9.85
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+40%+$4.96
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$10.72
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$10.64
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$11.92
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.