TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Inner Circleof Nemiga Gaming, Inner Circle
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,553
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,535

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,553 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2586…f071backed Inner Circle71c4,767$3,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.1534468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Nemiga Gaming27c4,248$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144.6947046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Inner Circle63c4,186$2,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.572,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nemiga Gaming29c3,364$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.61,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Nemiga Gaming48c2,499$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.1995342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0188…91babacked Nemiga Gaming54c1,801$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.43951.3%20 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Inner Circle77c1,738$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.6551049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Inner Circle52c1,448$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.4651751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Inner Circle56c1,363$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.9355147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed Nemiga Gaming24c1,319$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.9513228.8%38 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Inner Circle51c1,116$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.791,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nemiga Gaming25c1,013$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.0467043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe999…12bdbacked Inner Circle52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48018156.4%102 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Nemiga Gaming47c911.97$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.6350769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bf7…6d62backed Nemiga Gaming49c775.4$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.014845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Inner Circle65c764.38$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.2892056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Nemiga Gaming36c758.91$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.851,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Inner Circle59c682.77$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.1379959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Nemiga Gaming46c669.98$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.1948352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Inner Circle51c577.13$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.9629240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming34c539.34$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.762,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Inner Circle49c523.4$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.118946.1%41 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed Inner Circle57c478.38$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.5829347.4%139 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Inner Circle73c447.12$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.7525246.8%118 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Nemiga Gaming46c398.56$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.851,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x688e…148dbacked Inner Circle50c390.44$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.483154.8%17 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Nemiga Gaming49c384.7$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.596245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Nemiga Gaming21c383.75$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.311,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf828…00a5backed Nemiga Gaming15c358.7$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.755042%21 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed Inner Circle52c336.3$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.2914955.7%83 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Nemiga Gaming48c308.39$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.9144645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Inner Circle68c306.99$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.361,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Inner Circle68c276.17$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7957654.5%314 W · 262 L+29.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06d9…7cfbbacked Nemiga Gaming43c234.1$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2920151.2%103 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Nemiga Gaming40c202.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2677256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Inner Circle61c195.29$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6514661%89 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Nemiga Gaming7c188.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2297142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Nemiga Gaming44c183.85$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.443067%288 W · 142 L+31.9wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Inner Circle52c173.83$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6852243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Nemiga Gaming53c172.95$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6786659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Inner Circle58c167.97$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5537549.3%185 W · 190 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Inner Circle50c162.17$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6810961.5%67 W · 42 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked Inner Circle62c157.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8933867.8%229 W · 109 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb2…89f8backed Inner Circle67c157.1$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.69683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Nemiga Gaming47c148.45$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.771,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Inner Circle53c130.55$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3673554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x387e…ca5dbacked Inner Circle58c117.14$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8911857.6%68 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Inner Circle76c105.42$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.691356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed Nemiga Gaming44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4467555%371 W · 304 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Nemiga Gaming45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4574549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Nemiga Gaming46c98.32$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.261,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed Nemiga Gaming16c97.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2179343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Inner Circle53c92.41$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.434346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Inner Circle54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.425950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Nemiga Gaming46c89.09$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.991,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Nemiga Gaming13c88.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6495841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a7a…6c9abacked Inner Circle68c87.08$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2217644.9%79 W · 97 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga Gaming27c85.21$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.652,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Nemiga Gaming45c84.62$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.997954.4%43 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Nemiga Gaming37c82.79$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7643049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Inner Circle60c72.57$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9126956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Nemiga Gaming24c71.45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3124518.8%46 W · 199 L-31.2wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-46%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nemiga Gaming41c68.29$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0596645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Inner Circle53c53.45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1241244.7%184 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x313b…cae3backed Inner Circle57c51.57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.275052%26 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Inner Circle73c50.96$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7220954.5%114 W · 95 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Nemiga Gaming47c50.02$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5146354.6%253 W · 210 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Nemiga Gaming39c45.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.691,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Inner Circle54c45.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.716555.4%36 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Nemiga Gaming44c40.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8637223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0702…e5eabacked Nemiga Gaming52c38.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.240745.5%185 W · 222 L-1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fef…809cbacked Nemiga Gaming51c38.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418f…5f3bbacked Inner Circle66c30.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.29100%9 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9332…a3dbbacked Nemiga Gaming51c28.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5676048.6%369 W · 391 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Inner Circle48c24.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5958250.5%294 W · 288 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Inner Circle49c23.02$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6912263.9%78 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9480…182cbacked Inner Circle53c22.95$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.811553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c52…677dbacked Nemiga Gaming48c22.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.668746%40 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde58…b901backed Inner Circle59c20.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.561346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Inner Circle67c15.65$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1113452.2%70 W · 64 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.