Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x619a93154c8999bcd4c66827bb60edf4d1a5ee8f4c36ab88e95d229a3670bad7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $340,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $403,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $340,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Heroic | 34c | 55,266$18,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,602.23 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Heroic | 55c | 14,461$7,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,919.46 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 11,630$6,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,869.48 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports | 38c | 10,533$4,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,484.55 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 9,005$5,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,151.81 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8551…83f6backed Heroic | 31c | 7,214$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Heroic | 30c | 6,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 5,825$3,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.95 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…d634backed Heroic | 60c | 5,697$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420.34 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked Heroic | 33c | 5,359$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.83 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 5,165$3,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.59 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 5,030$3,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.26 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 4,886$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747.26 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…2614backed Heroic | 61c | 3,881$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Heroic | 59c | 3,682$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.25 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 3,576$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.14 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 3,468$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.52 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 3,294$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.86 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Heroic | 54c | 3,283$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.4 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 3,182$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.5 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 3,063$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.98 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 3,032$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.21 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Heroic | 59c | 2,663$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.49 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 2,658$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.78 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Tundra Esports | 37c | 2,611$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.72 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 2,517$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.96 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…1c08backed Heroic | 53c | 2,500$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 2,428$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.07 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 2,400$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.9 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 2,383$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.04 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Heroic | 31c | 2,317$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.65 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 2,280$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.46 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Tundra Esports | 30c | 2,233$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.25 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 2,195$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.04 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 2,188$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.24 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Heroic | 32c | 2,020$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.33 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Heroic | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 1,814$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.06 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,722$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.45 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,714$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.23 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Heroic | 33c | 1,589$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.17 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 1,577$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 1,540$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.31 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Heroic | 32c | 1,529$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.43 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,492$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.5 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 1,426$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.68 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 1,416$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.16 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,336$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.75 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 1,170$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.91 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Tundra Esports | 78c | 1,112$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.89 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Tundra Esports | 76c | 1,072$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.44 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 1,045$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.85 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Heroic | 50c | 1,005$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.42 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Heroic | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d3…cdacbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 905.15$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.6 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 880.36$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.17 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 861.36$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.52 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 751.18$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.1 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Heroic | 32c | 750.05$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.86 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Tundra Esports | 35c | 750$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 741.42$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.49 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic | 52c | 729.61$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.1 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Heroic | 33c | 727.12$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.95 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 714.82$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.33 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tundra Esports | 39c | 700.89$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.05 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Tundra Esports | 69c | 695$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.45 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 663.14$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.79 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 651.05$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.4 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Tundra Esports | 41c | 616.39$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.91 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 615.58$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.46 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Tundra Esports | 74c | 605.91$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.82 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d6…b7b5backed Heroic | 32c | 600.53$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.83 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bf…80dabacked Heroic | 51c | 597.26$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.87 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 584.62$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.84 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Heroic | 40c | 584.11$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.82 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic | 31c | 577.59$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.05 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 575.98$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.38 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…ad81backed Heroic | 35c | 558.31$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.09 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…bd09backed Heroic | 37c | 557.59$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 557.01$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.82 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Heroic | 50c | 548.86$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.49 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 543.87$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.66 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 540.81$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.14 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Heroic | 70c | 533.33$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.33 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Tundra Esports | 46c | 521.2$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.2 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Heroic | 61c | 510.59$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.72 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed Heroic | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 485.49$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.99 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 459.91$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.39 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 456.39$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.74 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 452.83$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.81 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Heroic | 33c | 442.09$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.89 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Heroic | 24c | 440$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 432.71$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.47 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageHeroic won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.