Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7295eb5ea47bc0bd27ede7a74af35b2ea59a8a836448b77fa0f8add774a15a01

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heroicof Tundra Esports, Heroic
Resolved: Apr 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $163,435
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $188,315

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,435 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Heroic	34c	12,225$4,129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,096.19	1,210	57.1%691 W · 519 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Tundra Esports	67c	7,171$4,788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,788.29	569	55.5%316 W · 253 L	+22.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Tundra Esports	15c	6,864$1,053 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,053.15	345	44.3%153 W · 192 L	-15.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports	41c	5,053$2,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,049.47	965	57.4%554 W · 411 L	+49.5wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Heroic	47c	4,596$2,165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,430.49	433	44.8%194 W · 239 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Heroic	69c	4,285$2,944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,341.38	65	69.2%45 W · 20 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Heroic	52c	4,132$2,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,992.07	714	54.5%389 W · 325 L	+55.6wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Tundra Esports	70c	3,979$2,785 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,785.2	241	53.1%128 W · 113 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports	45c	3,951$1,783 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,783.06	1,186	43.2%512 W · 674 L	+42.2wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Tundra Esports	67c	3,641$2,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,421.19	894	40.3%360 W · 534 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1994…d63cbacked Tundra Esports	34c	3,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	42	61.9%26 W · 16 L	+3.7wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+21%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Heroic	30c	2,948$884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,063.56	696	44.5%310 W · 386 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Heroic	67c	2,937$1,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$976.92	489	54.6%267 W · 222 L	+23.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Tundra Esports	61c	2,745$1,670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,669.52	293	48.5%142 W · 151 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Tundra Esports	51c	2,637$1,335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,334.71	470	46.6%219 W · 251 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Heroic	54c	2,494$1,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,150.67	1,066	57%608 W · 458 L	+52.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Heroic	33c	2,485$811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,673.56	605	52.6%318 W · 287 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Tundra Esports	69c	2,412$1,664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,664.28	252	48.8%123 W · 129 L	-11.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Tundra Esports	66c	2,399$1,579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,579.03	568	52.5%298 W · 270 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Tundra Esports	69c	2,300$1,587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,586.99	335	41.2%138 W · 197 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Heroic	31c	2,223$689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,534.1	1,202	59.3%713 W · 489 L	+64.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe438…e80cbacked Tundra Esports	4c	2,211$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.57	59	10.2%6 W · 53 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked Heroic	31c	2,157$673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,484.19	393	43.3%170 W · 223 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Tundra Esports	2c	1,950$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.5	104	0%0 W · 104 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e67…e2e6backed Tundra Esports	69c	1,882$1,302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,302.35	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Tundra Esports	64c	1,670$1,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,071.76	953	42.2%402 W · 551 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Heroic	51c	1,663$848 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$815.54	802	56%449 W · 353 L	+22.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Heroic	76c	1,626$1,232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$393.86	799	59.4%475 W · 324 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Heroic	31c	1,488$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,026.53	379	45.9%174 W · 205 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Heroic	34c	1,463$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$965.92	165	41.2%68 W · 97 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Tundra Esports	29c	1,418$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.1	998	44.4%443 W · 555 L	+21.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Tundra Esports	70c	1,415$991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990.52	413	51.8%214 W · 199 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Heroic	31c	1,320$409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$910.94	606	46.9%284 W · 322 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Heroic	44c	1,302$573 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$728.81	670	43.3%290 W · 380 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports	34c	1,241$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.62	1,521	37.9%576 W · 945 L	-57.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Tundra Esports	69c	1,221$842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$842.49	116	54.3%63 W · 53 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45dd…c32ebacked Heroic	58c	1,220$708 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.48	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Tundra Esports	2c	1,200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	122	17.2%21 W · 101 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Tundra Esports	2c	1,200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Heroic	30c	1,179$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$825.43	587	44%258 W · 329 L	+13.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3601…44fbbacked Heroic	50c	1,155$582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.39	169	54.4%92 W · 77 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9031…554bbacked Heroic	41c	1,098$451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$647.56	102	62.7%64 W · 38 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Tundra Esports	50c	1,052$523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$523.06	517	51.3%265 W · 252 L	+21.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d6a…1c08backed Heroic	70c	1,000$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Tundra Esports	6c	1,000$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.5	613	2.1%13 W · 600 L	-23.4wins	-0.04per pick	6cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Tundra Esports	66c	1,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	1,248	44.4%554 W · 694 L	+17.0wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Tundra Esports	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	35	0%0 W · 35 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Tundra Esports	2c	1,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	24	4.2%1 W · 23 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	1cpaid	+127%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic	28c	957$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$685.82	1,577	43.9%692 W · 885 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Tundra Esports	67c	933.93$626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625.74	303	36.6%111 W · 192 L	-18.4wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb29a…bbdebacked Heroic	37c	856.33$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$539.49	61	41%25 W · 36 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Tundra Esports	66c	800$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528	226	43.8%99 W · 127 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Tundra Esports	2c	800$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	44	2.3%1 W · 43 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-89.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Tundra Esports	20c	779$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.75	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63a2…5bc1backed Heroic	33c	755.59$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$507.67	126	38.9%49 W · 77 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Heroic	65c	753.08$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.58	421	45.4%191 W · 230 L	-11.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports	31c	631.43$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.74	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe999…12bdbacked Heroic	32c	611.54$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.86	181	56.4%102 W · 79 L	+8.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d8…0175backed Tundra Esports	2c	600$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Heroic	40c	586.66$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350.49	396	60.1%238 W · 158 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Heroic	33c	583.61$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$391.59	1,137	42.3%481 W · 656 L	-27.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic	59c	548.13$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.73	1,821	45%820 W · 1,001 L	+33.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Tundra Esports	52c	544$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.5	962	45.5%438 W · 524 L	+22.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Heroic	57c	538.45$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.11	1,036	47.2%489 W · 547 L	+15.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf29…da00backed Tundra Esports	69c	521.91$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.11	107	51.4%55 W · 52 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Tundra Esports	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	370	18.9%70 W · 300 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-24%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5502…d440backed Tundra Esports	28c	499.99$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	454	57.5%261 W · 193 L	+39.5wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+14%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x56a6…0529backed Tundra Esports	37c	482.04$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.11	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed Tundra Esports	30c	435.15$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.77	132	28.8%38 W · 94 L	-9.7wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-40%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Tundra Esports	67c	432.44$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.73	49	51%25 W · 24 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Heroic	58c	426.95$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.5	1,155	47.8%552 W · 603 L	+29.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Tundra Esports	70c	424.62$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.23	494	55.1%272 W · 222 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Heroic	66c	420$277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.8	246	36.6%90 W · 156 L	-14.4wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed Heroic	48c	406.88$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.17	78	62.8%49 W · 29 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Heroic	56c	402.68$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.9	602	51.2%308 W · 294 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed Tundra Esports	25c	399.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	336	44%148 W · 188 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked Tundra Esports	68c	398.98$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.6	216	50.9%110 W · 106 L	-25.3wins	-0.12per pick	63cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked Heroic	69c	396.28$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.8	338	67.8%229 W · 109 L	+16.0wins	+0.05per pick	63cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Tundra Esports	7c	394.38$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.62	690	33.3%230 W · 460 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Heroic	74c	393.87$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.62	920	56.4%519 W · 401 L	+78.3wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Heroic	40c	378.31$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.32	500	53%265 W · 235 L	+14.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Heroic	46c	341.73$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.56	544	45.8%249 W · 295 L	-10.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ebc…c639backed Tundra Esports	29c	330.48$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.74	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Tundra Esports	7c	298$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.05	653	37.2%243 W · 410 L	-15.1wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Tundra Esports	52c	296.13$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.98	335	49.9%167 W · 168 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3304…8313backed Tundra Esports	37c	288.81$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.29	80	50%40 W · 40 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6117…2fafbacked Heroic	75c	246.3$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.81	173	73.4%127 W · 46 L	+10.4wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Tundra Esports	45c	243.69$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.59	372	23.1%86 W · 286 L	-38.2wins	-0.10per pick	33cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x41a6…fbadbacked Heroic	52c	231.37$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.3	69	49.3%34 W · 35 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Heroic	33c	215.44$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.68	617	45.7%282 W · 335 L	-12.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe584…9bb3backed Tundra Esports	70c	213.92$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.74	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked Tundra Esports	33c	198.31$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.44	450	52.4%236 W · 214 L	+13.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed Tundra Esports	69c	197.9$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.11	191	62.8%120 W · 71 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Tundra Esports	35c	196.04$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.55	173	30.1%52 W · 121 L	-16.2wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Heroic	35c	187.14$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.03	1,275	33.5%427 W · 848 L	-15.6wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic	52c	183.15$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.74	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Heroic	54c	181.06$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.58	721	54%389 W · 332 L	-8.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…e041backed Heroic	76c	179.86$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.71	555	61.8%343 W · 212 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Tundra Esports	70c	177.29$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.1	366	54.1%198 W · 168 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Tundra Esports	60c	174.99$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.3	1,013	45.5%461 W · 552 L	-46.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageHeroic won
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event