Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c77096e61df7ddfbf235b2af8aefabe7cad400fe56aa851966bf24fb248091d

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heroicof Tundra Esports, Heroic
Resolved: Apr 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $426,230
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $481,097

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $426,230 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 409 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Heroic	28c	58,890$16,673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,216.24	1,210	57.1%691 W · 519 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Tundra Esports	67c	16,840$11,262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,261.72	400	51.5%206 W · 194 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed Tundra Esports	76c	14,502$11,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,021.43	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Heroic	49c	8,861$4,342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,518.97	276	45.3%125 W · 151 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Heroic	67c	8,513$5,733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,779.58	714	54.5%389 W · 325 L	+55.6wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8681…ef99backed Tundra Esports	77c	6,903$5,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,315.62	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8551…83f6backed Heroic	35c	6,662$2,332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,330.42	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Heroic	40c	6,613$2,619 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,993.91	965	57.4%554 W · 411 L	+49.5wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports	44c	6,054$2,674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,673.61	1,186	43.2%512 W · 674 L	+42.2wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Heroic	49c	5,111$2,504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,606.68	228	48.2%110 W · 118 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Tundra Esports	62c	5,000$3,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,099.98	290	42.1%122 W · 168 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Heroic	34c	4,918$1,672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,245.84	291	43.6%127 W · 164 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed Tundra Esports	75c	4,807$3,605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,605.1	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Tundra Esports	64c	4,385$2,803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,803.39	696	44.5%310 W · 386 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb94…243cbacked Tundra Esports	51c	4,352$2,208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,208.33	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.7wins	-0.30per pick	42cpaid	-80.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Heroic	24c	4,279$1,027 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,251.8	345	44.3%153 W · 192 L	-15.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Heroic	25c	4,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Tundra Esports	67c	3,986$2,678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,677.71	568	52.5%298 W · 270 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Tundra Esports	53c	3,630$1,919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,919.38	96	50%48 W · 48 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Tundra Esports	57c	3,616$2,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,064.97	670	43.3%290 W · 380 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Tundra Esports	76c	3,458$2,628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,627.78	412	42.2%174 W · 238 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf8…2f4abacked Heroic	66c	3,330$2,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,135.06	50	34%17 W · 33 L	+5.7wins	+0.11per pick	23cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x115d…1691backed Tundra Esports	10c	3,085$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.68	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports	61c	3,080$1,886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,886.03	1,155	47.8%552 W · 603 L	+29.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed Tundra Esports	51c	3,029$1,535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,534.59	156	50.6%79 W · 77 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Tundra Esports	56c	2,947$1,652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,652.48	233	42.9%100 W · 133 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed Heroic	68c	2,910$1,967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$943.22	130	68.5%89 W · 41 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	65cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports	63c	2,895$1,821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,820.89	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df5…49a7backed Tundra Esports	1c	2,822$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Tundra Esports	22c	2,778$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.27	134	56%75 W · 59 L	+8.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed Tundra Esports	76c	2,621$1,992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,991.87	95	55.8%53 W · 42 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Heroic	38c	2,614$982 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,632.28	802	56%449 W · 353 L	+22.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked Tundra Esports	31c	2,575$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$797.97	106	18.9%20 W · 86 L	-14.0wins	-0.13per pick	32cpaid	-52%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Heroic	53c	2,571$1,352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,218.98	606	46.9%284 W · 322 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Heroic	25c	2,523$631 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,892.4	365	47.7%174 W · 191 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports	40c	2,511$993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$992.98	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed Tundra Esports	76c	2,500$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	148	54.7%81 W · 67 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Tundra Esports	76c	2,336$1,776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,776.27	354	61.3%217 W · 137 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked Tundra Esports	52c	2,316$1,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,197.08	338	45.6%154 W · 184 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tundra Esports	51c	2,264$1,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,149.63	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Heroic	33c	2,250$743 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,507.5	145	15.2%22 W · 123 L	-16.5wins	-0.11per pick	27cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic	59c	2,199$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$899.79	1,272	45%572 W · 700 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Heroic	25c	2,105$526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,578.72	810	29.4%238 W · 572 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Tundra Esports	75c	2,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	894	40.3%360 W · 534 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Tundra Esports	65c	2,000$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	226	43.8%99 W · 127 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Tundra Esports	51c	1,954$995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$995.45	421	45.4%191 W · 230 L	-11.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Tundra Esports	51c	1,941$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990.01	165	41.2%68 W · 97 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Heroic	39c	1,916$756 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,159.18	779	41.1%320 W · 459 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Tundra Esports	51c	1,903$971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970.6	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Heroic	30c	1,802$541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,261.72	565	42.8%242 W · 323 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Tundra Esports	33c	1,762$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.83	228	42.1%96 W · 132 L	-25.3wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Heroic	65c	1,745$1,133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$611.79	388	55.2%214 W · 174 L	+29.8wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tundra Esports	30c	1,736$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.24	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-7.1wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Tundra Esports	59c	1,731$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029.2	557	51.7%288 W · 269 L	+16.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1b…f0f9backed Tundra Esports	45c	1,713$774 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$773.68	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	39cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked Tundra Esports	58c	1,681$975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$974.8	393	43.3%170 W · 223 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Tundra Esports	32c	1,645$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.29	544	45.8%249 W · 295 L	-10.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports	61c	1,613$985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$984.75	1,821	45%820 W · 1,001 L	+33.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe438…e80cbacked Tundra Esports	1c	1,513$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.35	59	10.2%6 W · 53 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Heroic	33c	1,500$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,005	147	44.9%66 W · 81 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45dd…c32ebacked Tundra Esports	23c	1,487$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.61	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed Heroic	24c	1,377$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,045.4	137	31.4%43 W · 94 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Tundra Esports	67c	1,334$893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$893.49	265	50.6%134 W · 131 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Heroic	80c	1,314$1,046 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.22	65	69.2%45 W · 20 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	64cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0206…bf76backed Tundra Esports	75c	1,313$985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$984.7	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked Heroic	52c	1,307$682 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625.41	321	48.3%155 W · 166 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e3…22abbacked Tundra Esports	77c	1,286$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990.14	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Tundra Esports	63c	1,253$793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$792.79	1,036	47.2%489 W · 547 L	+15.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Tundra Esports	38c	1,244$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.96	326	52.1%170 W · 156 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Tundra Esports	75c	1,243$932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$932.1	303	36.6%111 W · 192 L	-18.4wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfabc…7178backed Tundra Esports	54c	1,154$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$623.02	107	38.3%41 W · 66 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Tundra Esports	54c	1,114$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.12	517	51.3%265 W · 252 L	+21.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebf8…7d2bbacked Tundra Esports	47c	1,090$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.81	105	41%43 W · 62 L	-8.5wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed Tundra Esports	32c	1,085$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.3	63	54%34 W · 29 L	+5.3wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Tundra Esports	23c	1,079$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.89	899	38%342 W · 557 L	-45.9wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-30%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Tundra Esports	23c	1,054$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.18	793	41.7%331 W · 462 L	-13.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Heroic	47c	1,045$491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$553.35	446	45.7%204 W · 242 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Tundra Esports	59c	1,041$617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$617.13	226	47.3%107 W · 119 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9031…554bbacked Heroic	36c	1,040$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$668.42	102	62.7%64 W · 38 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Heroic	25c	1,037$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$777.89	698	35.2%246 W · 452 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Heroic	31c	1,032$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$714.26	913	56.1%512 W · 401 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Heroic	27c	1,029$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$754.99	462	40.7%188 W · 274 L	+15.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Heroic	36c	1,025$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$657.29	654	41.9%274 W · 380 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Heroic	58c	1,002$583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.18	920	56.4%519 W · 401 L	+78.3wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Tundra Esports	27c	999.75$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.14	173	30.1%52 W · 121 L	-16.2wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Heroic	80c	987.78$787 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.83	301	55.5%167 W · 134 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Tundra Esports	27c	966.43$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.5	378	32.5%123 W · 255 L	-12.7wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Tundra Esports	50c	942$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471	379	45.9%174 W · 205 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Tundra Esports	76c	913.45$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.71	201	45.3%91 W · 110 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Tundra Esports	28c	862.92$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.57	998	44.4%443 W · 555 L	+21.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports	44c	860.97$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.95	1,521	37.9%576 W · 945 L	-57.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Heroic	24c	854.98$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$649.79	208	27.9%58 W · 150 L	-11.2wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Tundra Esports	73c	846.25$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.12	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Heroic	53c	816.68$432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$384.56	511	40.3%206 W · 305 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Tundra Esports	56c	804.64$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.21	450	61.6%277 W · 173 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Tundra Esports	13c	800$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	378	11.1%42 W · 336 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Heroic	26c	789.99$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$586.49	885	39.7%351 W · 534 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5051…82a6backed Heroic	46c	788.5$363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$425.31	204	52.5%107 W · 97 L	+12.9wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Heroic	67c	762.3$508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.98	576	54.5%314 W · 262 L	+29.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Heroic	38c	760.11$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$471.27	450	46.7%210 W · 240 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerHeroic won
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event