TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Vici Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$453,936
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$548,314

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $453,936 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d58…9a15backed Vici Gaming13c101,780$13,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,328.0814840.5%60 W · 88 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Spirit58c49,836$28,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,931.1628748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit53c44,425$23,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,830.521,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Vici Gaming42c26,058$10,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,944.1840051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb66a…800ebacked Team Spirit58c17,962$10,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,464.582850%14 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Vici Gaming43c16,779$7,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,235.111560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Vici Gaming44c13,466$5,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,939.882,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Vici Gaming46c8,894$4,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,106.2651751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit49c7,905$3,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,026.2796557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Spirit79c7,398$5,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.2138049.2%187 W · 193 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Vici Gaming41c7,213$2,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,990.5343344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Vici Gaming54c6,782$3,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,640.489749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Team Spirit59c6,001$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,460.3415544.5%69 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Vici Gaming52c5,717$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.7968649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9031…554bbacked Team Spirit64c5,528$3,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,004.2210262.7%64 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Vici Gaming51c5,475$2,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,813.81,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed Vici Gaming41c5,391$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,210.366852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Vici Gaming48c5,184$2,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,487.181,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Vici Gaming48c5,122$2,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,442.851,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Vici Gaming43c4,774$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.9248954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Vici Gaming47c4,684$2,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,202.7347046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Team Spirit59c4,000$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,64015848.1%76 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Vici Gaming42c4,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68069644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f73…1b52backed Vici Gaming42c3,378$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.84757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Vici Gaming41c3,200$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31256542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Team Spirit59c3,023$1,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.4124153.1%128 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Team Spirit59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23029348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Vici Gaming34c2,905$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.8880443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Vici Gaming41c2,582$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.7230336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Vici Gaming42c2,412$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.4889440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x533e…47f4backed Vici Gaming41c2,353$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.611359.3%67 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Team Spirit59c2,314$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.0249455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked Vici Gaming52c2,278$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.1116945%76 W · 93 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit32c2,117$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.5299844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Team Spirit59c1,978$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.8133541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Vici Gaming42c1,962$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.7444645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Vici Gaming42c1,889$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.391,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Team Spirit57c1,762$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.3155751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Spirit46c1,682$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.7980256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Team Spirit59c1,673$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.8941351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Vici Gaming42c1,664$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.8322643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Vici Gaming39c1,581$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.825935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x758f…dfb7backed Team Spirit59c1,379$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.8834667.9%235 W · 111 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Vici Gaming56c1,371$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.4633041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed Vici Gaming44c1,348$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.77429.7%22 W · 52 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-29.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Spirit66c1,283$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.2579959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Vici Gaming41c1,254$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.138042.5%34 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Team Spirit52c1,221$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.0811654.3%63 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Spirit59c1,187$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.5556955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Vici Gaming42c1,179$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.1656852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Vici Gaming53c1,163$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.851,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Vici Gaming55c1,155$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.148550.6%43 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Spirit58c1,121$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.4132652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Vici Gaming62c1,112$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.0767043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3c1…8174backed Vici Gaming59c1,075$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.9324947.8%119 W · 130 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Spirit59c1,073$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.9134544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Vici Gaming43c1,059$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45050053%265 W · 235 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Team Spirit73c1,058$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.5738855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e67…e2e6backed Team Spirit47c1,043$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.684351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Vici Gaming51c1,023$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.9843049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Team Spirit56c1,020$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.6426956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Vici Gaming49c1,018$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50347650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Vici Gaming47c1,001$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.1530647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Team Spirit65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35011960.5%72 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Vici Gaming7c1,000$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.56132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Vici Gaming60c999.73$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.539660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1994…d63cbacked Vici Gaming77c956.49$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.624261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Vici Gaming61c947.54$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.6646451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Vici Gaming66c941.52$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.4141056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed Team Spirit79c915.23$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.473666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Team Spirit60c903.5$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.6992056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5808…d235backed Team Spirit54c896.61$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.0311744.4%52 W · 65 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed Team Spirit38c888.97$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.9236343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Vici Gaming40c882.13$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.6972035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Team Spirit49c865.66$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.1725246.8%118 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Vici Gaming42c857.25$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.8288539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Team Spirit37c825.46$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.931,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2487…0ad0backed Team Spirit55c791.85$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.922429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Vici Gaming41c758.37$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.5941055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Vici Gaming22c752.16$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.4389938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Vici Gaming43c750$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32024251.7%125 W · 117 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed Team Spirit54c729.37$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.344365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Vici Gaming42c702.16$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.1660552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe30e…4ca5backed Team Spirit23c692.91$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.316136.1%22 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Vici Gaming51c680.35$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.631,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming50c652.6$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.882,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Team Spirit58c633.23$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.9615358.8%90 W · 63 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Vici Gaming19c612.86$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3814336.4%52 W · 91 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Spirit57c607.04$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.0336851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Vici Gaming44c604$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.6996645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd402…bd09backed Vici Gaming35c597.75$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.21742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb05…ed70backed Team Spirit60c582.71$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.694856.3%27 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bde…6e29backed Team Spirit57c564.98$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.04560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Vici Gaming42c554.99$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.150749.7%252 W · 255 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Vici Gaming45c541.51$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.4416541.2%68 W · 97 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Spirit56c539.16$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.1185851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Vici Gaming55c528.96$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.931,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Vici Gaming20c516.94$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5669132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Vici Gaming77c511.53$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.6711131.5%35 W · 76 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Spirit60c509.9$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.5733867.8%229 W · 109 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.