TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vici Gamingof Team Spirit, Vici Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$221,009
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$239,427

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,009 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Spirit52c90,895$47,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,467.121,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Vici Gaming48c74,081$35,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,522.0828748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Team Spirit52c43,985$22,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,900.9740051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb66a…800ebacked Team Spirit52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.972850%14 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Vici Gaming48c9,356$4,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,828.3551751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Vici Gaming48c8,073$3,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,198.131,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Vici Gaming38c6,938$2,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,310.9329042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Vici Gaming56c6,116$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,666.1989749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Vici Gaming59c4,978$2,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.868649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Vici Gaming52c4,786$2,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,309.331,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Vici Gaming50c4,735$2,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,361.071,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Vici Gaming53c4,595$2,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,176.561,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Vici Gaming46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.9969644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed Team Spirit51c3,329$1,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,690.713666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked Team Spirit43c3,247$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.2416945%76 W · 93 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Vici Gaming47c2,701$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.5356955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Vici Gaming40c2,611$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.9256852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Vici Gaming53c2,261$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.51,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Vici Gaming60c2,054$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.5771454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Vici Gaming47c1,957$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.4134544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Team Spirit44c1,953$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.9233041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x533e…47f4backed Vici Gaming52c1,868$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.4911359.3%67 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Team Spirit55c1,755$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.4847650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Vici Gaming48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78049455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Vici Gaming48c1,453$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.6680256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde6…b1fabacked Vici Gaming48c1,411$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Vici Gaming52c1,212$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.4867043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Vici Gaming55c1,131$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.4255147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x901b…e325backed Vici Gaming39c1,103$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6724100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+100.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e67…e2e6backed Team Spirit60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Spirit49c998.06$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.0580443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Vici Gaming40c986.91$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.158137%30 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Spirit47c968.2$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.0436547.7%174 W · 191 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Team Spirit6c950.32$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.696132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Team Spirit50c803.27$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.6441351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3c1…8174backed Vici Gaming51c800.1$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.124947.8%119 W · 130 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Spirit42c643.79$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.3924251.7%125 W · 117 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Vici Gaming43c633$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.25648.2%27 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Vici Gaming57c611.03$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.2315358.8%90 W · 63 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Team Spirit27c596.62$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.965749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Vici Gaming38c588.16$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.661,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Vici Gaming52c526.14$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.9356548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Vici Gaming49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25544149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9031…554bbacked Vici Gaming78c498.71$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.7210262.7%64 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1237…06afbacked Vici Gaming39c491.8$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2911…2a0dbacked Team Spirit21c477.96$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.953423.5%8 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Vici Gaming65c450.58$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.0915949.7%79 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Team Spirit22c437.3$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3118356.8%104 W · 79 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Vici Gaming50c387.88$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.8811131.5%35 W · 76 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Vici Gaming35c386.29$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.480742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Vici Gaming56c352.68$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.4499844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Vici Gaming46c347.34$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.422,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Vici Gaming46c325.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.3943049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe12f…1533backed Vici Gaming65c309.2$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Team Spirit14c308$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1269033.3%230 W · 460 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ee3…7c36backed Vici Gaming50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15024131.5%76 W · 165 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Team Spirit53c299.99$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.9961548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x523b…cd5abacked Vici Gaming57c284.12$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.173661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Vici Gaming60c264.51$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9530647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a6…fbadbacked Vici Gaming48c259.23$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.86949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed Vici Gaming53c254.18$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.6110852.8%57 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Vici Gaming46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13558744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Spirit36c249.92$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9760552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Vici Gaming47c242.05$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.295251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed Vici Gaming51c239.58$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4114955.7%83 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5808…d235backed Vici Gaming49c237.4$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.0811744.4%52 W · 65 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Spirit13c233.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0789938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Team Spirit14c222.55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1835032.3%113 W · 237 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Spirit21c209.58$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.351,12036.1%404 W · 716 L-39.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed Vici Gaming47c208.16$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3333644%148 W · 188 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Vici Gaming46c200$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10977256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Spirit54c198.94$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0350032.2%161 W · 339 L-47.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed Vici Gaming52c194.21$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6334860.1%209 W · 139 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Vici Gaming49c193.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8833549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Vici Gaming40c192.8$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.684553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked Vici Gaming58c191.51$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.099838.8%38 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Vici Gaming40c183.03$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.8214154.6%77 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab05…52e9backed Vici Gaming56c175.18$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8517448.9%85 W · 89 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Vici Gaming39c172.92$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4857735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Vici Gaming57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4954445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Team Spirit49c163.92$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9672035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa8…d75fbacked Vici Gaming48c162.15$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.325534.5%19 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Spirit38c161.5$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.552,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Vici Gaming37c159.68$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.69153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Vici Gaming39c159.68$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7680544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Team Spirit63c156.14$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3772154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Spirit28c152.61$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.371,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Team Spirit20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3092561.2%566 W · 359 L+53.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Vici Gaming67c146.79$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7846451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb1…cddbbacked Team Spirit51c143.36$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0740%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Vici Gaming56c132.34$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.821,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Team Spirit36c121.47$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.262334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1193…d9c4backed Vici Gaming59c107$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.357859%46 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Team Spirit30c106.38$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4514336.4%52 W · 91 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Spirit46c104.81$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.231,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Team Spirit31c103.21$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0510152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Vici Gaming47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.595950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Vici Gaming48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5274549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed Team Spirit25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2572637.5%272 W · 454 L+3.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked Vici Gaming50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5045052.4%236 W · 214 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.