TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Virtus.pro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$908,648
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$945,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $908,648 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d58…9a15backed Virtus.pro43c735,947$319,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319,994.6414840.5%60 W · 88 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed BetBoom Team57c300,000$171,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129,00012560%75 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed BetBoom Team56c195,845$110,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,813.921,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked BetBoom Team56c164,872$92,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,543.5628748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed BetBoom Team56c38,944$21,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,135.361070%7 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick39cpaid+200.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed BetBoom Team56c12,332$6,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,458.5540051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Virtus.pro10c7,875$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.6347450.8%241 W · 233 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed BetBoom Team61c7,267$4,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.1127153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Virtus.pro25c6,489$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590.7448954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed BetBoom Team57c5,421$3,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,309.0451751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed BetBoom Team60c5,191$3,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,076.2615544.5%69 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked Virtus.pro40c4,668$1,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.1239343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Virtus.pro39c4,537$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.5342650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed BetBoom Team60c4,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60029348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed BetBoom Team60c3,994$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.7669644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed BetBoom Team61c3,952$2,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.9524153.1%128 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Virtus.pro45c3,510$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.1496357.3%552 W · 411 L+48.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8a0…6f8bbacked BetBoom Team79c3,116$2,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.456569.2%45 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked BetBoom Team61c2,941$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.391,19759.2%709 W · 488 L+63.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4f9…0a00backed Virtus.pro41c2,793$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.859158.2%53 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed BetBoom Team59c2,791$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.0547046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed BetBoom Team60c2,513$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.5749455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Virtus.pro39c2,487$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.9330336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed BetBoom Team58c2,200$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.9933541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3601…44fbbacked Virtus.pro45c2,166$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.7816954.4%92 W · 77 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Virtus.pro40c2,041$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.448042.5%34 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed BetBoom Team61c2,030$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.725248.8%123 W · 129 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BetBoom Team64c2,029$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.041,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed BetBoom Team59c2,011$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.4168649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Virtus.pro35c2,000$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.9989440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf8…2f4abacked Virtus.pro18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3605034%17 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-8.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Virtus.pro38c1,934$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.4755147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Virtus.pro20c1,905$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.371,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Virtus.pro40c1,728$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.7858744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9031…554bbacked BetBoom Team67c1,682$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.6510262.7%64 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2487…0ad0backed Virtus.pro42c1,602$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.712429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked BetBoom Team70c1,541$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.211,17943.1%508 W · 671 L+41.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Virtus.pro38c1,530$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.3156852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Virtus.pro38c1,523$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.946451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Virtus.pro38c1,480$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.6579559.4%472 W · 323 L+3.7wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed BetBoom Team57c1,421$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.191,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked BetBoom Team71c1,385$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.5489341.5%371 W · 522 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked BetBoom Team60c1,309$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.271,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf117…c44ebacked BetBoom Team79c1,284$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2673740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Virtus.pro38c1,252$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.5916541.2%68 W · 97 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed BetBoom Team61c1,214$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.6341351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Virtus.pro24c1,211$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.721,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked BetBoom Team59c1,192$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.051,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Virtus.pro41c1,086$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.2932652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Virtus.pro40c1,042$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.9436851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BetBoom Team59c1,003$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.2189749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed BetBoom Team61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3904365.1%28 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed BetBoom Team59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41019742.1%83 W · 114 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed BetBoom Team58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42055751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Virtus.pro6c999.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed BetBoom Team58c999.99$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42080443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Virtus.pro25c999.97$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9925147.4%119 W · 132 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked BetBoom Team60c990.1$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.8134544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked BetBoom Team59c931.59$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.4815358.8%90 W · 63 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc186…ad81backed BetBoom Team65c903.76$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.373767.6%25 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed BetBoom Team57c779.55$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.01560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed Virtus.pro12c764.71$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.747862.8%49 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked BetBoom Team58c758.8$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.4236547.7%174 W · 191 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked BetBoom Team50c734.7$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.3537945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Virtus.pro34c720.23$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.6869235.3%244 W · 448 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked BetBoom Team54c674.73$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.8860646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Virtus.pro43c674.64$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.731,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked Virtus.pro37c672.4$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.793141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked BetBoom Team60c608.81$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.0335951.3%184 W · 175 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d42…cde0backed Virtus.pro42c608.13$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.435038%19 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb05…ed70backed BetBoom Team62c566.49$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.274856.3%27 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed BetBoom Team63c545.66$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.5118356.8%104 W · 79 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed Virtus.pro25c500$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12413228.8%38 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Virtus.pro42c482.6$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6945940.5%186 W · 273 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Virtus.pro42c432.61$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.5522647.3%107 W · 119 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe82c…5794backed BetBoom Team63c424.19$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.11040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked BetBoom Team78c406.52$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8832148.3%155 W · 166 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe999…12bdbacked Virtus.pro39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15618156.4%102 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1bf…80dabacked BetBoom Team74c400$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1025350.9%27 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc03d…07e1backed Virtus.pro36c398.13$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.334027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Virtus.pro29c389.01$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4237223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked BetBoom Team54c355$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.337047%174 W · 196 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Virtus.pro33c352.36$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9896645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed BetBoom Team66c348.52$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0767555%371 W · 304 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d4…d2f2backed Virtus.pro25c344.86$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.22812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick33cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed BetBoom Team62c341.27$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0796245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed BetBoom Team58c339.37$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8154445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed BetBoom Team67c337.45$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9929347.4%139 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed BetBoom Team66c324.45$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.7356348.1%271 W · 292 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed BetBoom Team62c315.23$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.7911154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked BetBoom Team65c299.67$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8314747.6%70 W · 77 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa485…92a5backed BetBoom Team66c298.43$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.559060%54 W · 36 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed BetBoom Team78c292.97$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.136354%34 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked BetBoom Team77c284.7$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0333867.8%229 W · 109 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3989…0539backed Virtus.pro37c270.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003360.6%20 W · 13 L+5.4wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Virtus.pro41c269.14$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9655251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed Virtus.pro39c260$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.433644%148 W · 188 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Virtus.pro42c255.09$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1415949.7%79 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe56b…2c03backed Virtus.pro38c252.55$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.299341.9%39 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team70c252.02$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.382,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.