Lol · resolved market
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70b23370f6ef3811ae6ee826364acd6c6a17140021228933b968bc23ab760ff7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim Red Forceof Nongshim Red Force, BNK FEARX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $924,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $980,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $924,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 452 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Nongshim Red Force | 50c | 210,082$105,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,357.79 | 559 | 55.8%312 W · 247 L | +50.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…f05dbacked BNK FEARX | 0c | 93,279$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.36 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BNK FEARX | 30c | 52,499$15,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,598.2 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed BNK FEARX | 49c | 35,839$17,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,418.08 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked BNK FEARX | 49c | 32,641$15,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,958.64 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX | 46c | 20,280$9,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,265.12 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed BNK FEARX | 50c | 17,494$8,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,728.06 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked BNK FEARX | 49c | 14,356$7,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,031.54 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed BNK FEARX | 33c | 13,462$4,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,404.45 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked BNK FEARX | 28c | 13,192$3,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.27 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…dbabbacked Nongshim Red Force | 72c | 11,781$8,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,293.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked BNK FEARX | 33c | 11,639$3,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,886.83 | 1,607 | 42.4%681 W · 926 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed BNK FEARX | 32c | 10,029$3,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,257.96 | 771 | 42%324 W · 447 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BNK FEARX | 32c | 9,983$3,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,185.41 | 960 | 41.7%400 W · 560 L | -31.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked BNK FEARX | 26c | 9,679$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.62 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked BNK FEARX | 28c | 9,653$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.29 | 1,012 | 42.5%430 W · 582 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Nongshim Red Force | 47c | 9,342$4,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,951.1 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Nongshim Red Force | 51c | 8,766$4,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,280.45 | 1,207 | 54%652 W · 555 L | +27.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed BNK FEARX | 28c | 8,763$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.94 | 864 | 42.7%369 W · 495 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4b…1928backed BNK FEARX | 25c | 8,440$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.13 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked BNK FEARX | 48c | 8,299$3,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,973.09 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | +24.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed BNK FEARX | 41c | 8,120$3,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,335.91 | 1,987 | 48.4%961 W · 1,026 L | +26.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Nongshim Red Force | 51c | 7,943$4,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,911.77 | 1,162 | 49.2%572 W · 590 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…2e78backed BNK FEARX | 49c | 7,874$3,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,838.81 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Nongshim Red Force | 49c | 7,756$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,955.55 | 907 | 43.7%396 W · 511 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Nongshim Red Force | 49c | 7,571$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,861.17 | 1,009 | 53.9%544 W · 465 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked BNK FEARX | 49c | 7,110$3,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,504.07 | 466 | 37.6%175 W · 291 L | -19.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb03f…9429backed BNK FEARX | 16c | 6,939$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.01 | 143 | 24.5%35 W · 108 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Nongshim Red Force | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 824 | 52.7%434 W · 390 L | +41.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Nongshim Red Force | 52c | 5,951$3,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.52 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Nongshim Red Force | 73c | 5,780$4,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.97 | 1,543 | 62.7%967 W · 576 L | +159.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed BNK FEARX | 50c | 5,767$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,885.76 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Nongshim Red Force | 50c | 5,649$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,824.64 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed BNK FEARX | 49c | 5,505$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.53 | 308 | 45.1%139 W · 169 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed BNK FEARX | 25c | 5,162$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.24 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80e…a4c5backed Nongshim Red Force | 67c | 5,049$3,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.19 | 184 | 42.4%78 W · 106 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked BNK FEARX | 49c | 5,041$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.04 | 2,021 | 58.1%1,174 W · 847 L | +86.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…0b06backed Nongshim Red Force | 48c | 4,958$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.02 | 324 | 40.4%131 W · 193 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Nongshim Red Force | 50c | 4,598$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,292.68 | 1,601 | 53.7%859 W · 742 L | +55.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Nongshim Red Force | 52c | 4,434$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.89 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…1ab8backed BNK FEARX | 50c | 4,393$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.62 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed BNK FEARX | 47c | 4,125$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.88 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Nongshim Red Force | 53c | 3,886$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.03 | 484 | 40.5%196 W · 288 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked BNK FEARX | 39c | 3,753$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.9 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked BNK FEARX | 40c | 3,685$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.81 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7097…e1debacked Nongshim Red Force | 49c | 3,545$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.71 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed BNK FEARX | 49c | 3,535$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.32 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BNK FEARX | 37c | 3,448$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.47 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Nongshim Red Force | 51c | 3,447$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.51 | 1,473 | 61.4%904 W · 569 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed BNK FEARX | 6c | 3,371$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.08 | 295 | 27.1%80 W · 215 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed BNK FEARX | 29c | 3,035$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.37 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Nongshim Red Force | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 1,075 | 47.1%506 W · 569 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed BNK FEARX | 49c | 2,964$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.57 | 863 | 36.3%313 W · 550 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed4d…6a0bbacked BNK FEARX | 49c | 2,952$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.84 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Nongshim Red Force | 52c | 2,900$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…69f7backed Nongshim Red Force | 51c | 2,803$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.36 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed BNK FEARX | 4c | 2,790$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed BNK FEARX | 49c | 2,770$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.54 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed BNK FEARX | 49c | 2,633$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.12 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…6163backed Nongshim Red Force | 50c | 2,526$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.81 | 454 | 66.1%300 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0254…34b3backed Nongshim Red Force | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Nongshim Red Force | 52c | 2,438$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.26 | 219 | 54.3%119 W · 100 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed BNK FEARX | 52c | 2,228$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.68 | 767 | 39.6%304 W · 463 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…b3d8backed Nongshim Red Force | 48c | 2,160$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123 | 243 | 59.3%144 W · 99 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BNK FEARX | 52c | 2,111$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.63 | 2,839 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,664 L | -14.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BNK FEARX | 49c | 2,033$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.92 | 2,378 | 40.9%973 W · 1,405 L | -56.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed BNK FEARX | 51c | 1,968$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.87 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked BNK FEARX | 48c | 1,960$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.99 | 1,228 | 48.5%596 W · 632 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed BNK FEARX | 1c | 1,946$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 236 | 24.6%58 W · 178 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Nongshim Red Force | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 1,453 | 57.3%833 W · 620 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Nongshim Red Force | 50c | 1,933$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.5 | 1,223 | 54.4%665 W · 558 L | +51.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BNK FEARX | 8c | 1,866$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.43 | 3,182 | 33.9%1,079 W · 2,103 L | -151.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed BNK FEARX | 31c | 1,754$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.87 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked BNK FEARX | 49c | 1,658$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.36 | 501 | 58.3%292 W · 209 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Nongshim Red Force | 50c | 1,544$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.82 | 1,313 | 55.8%733 W · 580 L | +43.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed BNK FEARX | 42c | 1,538$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.58 | 1,331 | 53.2%708 W · 623 L | +36.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…8483backed Nongshim Red Force | 67c | 1,463$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.9 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed BNK FEARX | 28c | 1,429$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.33 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x406d…5298backed BNK FEARX | 50c | 1,409$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.44 | 143 | 63.6%91 W · 52 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked BNK FEARX | 1c | 1,400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 176 | 10.2%18 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed BNK FEARX | 50c | 1,395$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.05 | 963 | 50.2%483 W · 480 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked BNK FEARX | 48c | 1,393$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.49 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed BNK FEARX | 54c | 1,381$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +163.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Nongshim Red Force | 52c | 1,371$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.2 | 247 | 50.6%125 W · 122 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…a715backed Nongshim Red Force | 68c | 1,353$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.14 | 252 | 69.8%176 W · 76 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked BNK FEARX | 21c | 1,332$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.87 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b0…9ef4backed BNK FEARX | 20c | 1,328$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.2 | 252 | 52.4%132 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Nongshim Red Force | 75c | 1,308$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.05 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed BNK FEARX | 50c | 1,250$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 329 | 44.1%145 W · 184 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9da0…523cbacked Nongshim Red Force | 80c | 1,249$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.87 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6911backed BNK FEARX | 5c | 1,241$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Nongshim Red Force | 52c | 1,233$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.68 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Nongshim Red Force | 48c | 1,172$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.52 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed BNK FEARX | 50c | 1,158$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.21 | 864 | 51.4%444 W · 420 L | +52.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed Nongshim Red Force | 52c | 1,113$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.29 | 645 | 53.3%344 W · 301 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40af…abb2backed BNK FEARX | 7c | 1,084$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 95 | 26.3%25 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BNK FEARX | 28c | 1,048$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.28 | 2,915 | 38.5%1,122 W · 1,793 L | -120.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked BNK FEARX | 4c | 1,046$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 610 | 47.9%292 W · 318 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked BNK FEARX | 52c | 1,033$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.07 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Nongshim Red Force | 52c | 1,022$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.27 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 2?Nongshim Red Force won
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)Nongshim Red Force won
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)Nongshim Red Force won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Nongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.