Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x517d98ef02427f0adef76a4b606ef8b8c1155ed1b6d1cb3c134eec6e6ab50415
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim Red Forceof Nongshim Red Force, BNK FEARX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX | 73c | 1,533$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.91 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Nongshim Red Force | 29c | 1,348$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.77 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0359…fda7backed Nongshim Red Force | 27c | 1,062$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.58 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Nongshim Red Force | 24c | 999.95$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.96 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked BNK FEARX | 74c | 952.91$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.12 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed BNK FEARX | 70c | 420.86$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.6 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed BNK FEARX | 45c | 245.76$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.52 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked BNK FEARX | 70c | 214.64$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.25 | 331 | 39.9%132 W · 199 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Nongshim Red Force | 20c | 211.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472d…942cbacked BNK FEARX | 80c | 208.72$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…0c4cbacked BNK FEARX | 76c | 191.93$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.87 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed BNK FEARX | 76c | 147.26$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.91 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed BNK FEARX | 77c | 127.67$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.64 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Nongshim Red Force | 25c | 110$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…b8aabacked BNK FEARX | 58c | 100.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked BNK FEARX | 76c | 72.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Nongshim Red Force | 42c | 58.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 204 | 45.1%92 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2637…3db0backed Nongshim Red Force | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed BNK FEARX | 76c | 52.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed Nongshim Red Force | 24c | 50.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Nongshim Red Force | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Nongshim Red Force | 23c | 49.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…682bbacked Nongshim Red Force | 27c | 49.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b1…812bbacked BNK FEARX | 56c | 40.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Nongshim Red Force | 48c | 39.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…ad64backed BNK FEARX | 52c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed BNK FEARX | 36c | 30.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Nongshim Red Force | 44c | 28.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed BNK FEARX | 74c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed BNK FEARX | 58c | 21.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Nongshim Red Force | 54c | 21.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed BNK FEARX | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed BNK FEARX | 76c | 17.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked BNK FEARX | 77c | 15.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked BNK FEARX | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 182 | 63.7%116 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ff…b4dabacked BNK FEARX | 76c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked BNK FEARX | 79c | 13.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 349 | 45.6%159 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Nongshim Red Force won
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)Nongshim Red Force won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Nongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.