Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16755d44b551aedc9f01dbf3fc359b3fe5ab704e06d9213d7805ea727524064f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 48c | 1,483$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.89 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 52c | 971.2$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.18 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 51c | 575.44$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.97 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Under | 49c | 401.76$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.2 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 50c | 317.16$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.58 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed Under | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Over | 50c | 242.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Over | 53c | 196.8$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.3 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Over | 49c | 178.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d5…d1bbbacked Under | 47c | 129.97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked Under | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Under | 52c | 69.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a7…7052backed Over | 52c | 55.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 66c | 55.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…40afbacked Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 345 | 65.5%226 W · 119 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Over | 44c | 32.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…66d4backed Under | 47c | 30.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 169 | 36.1%61 W · 108 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 49c | 29.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Over | 51c | 28.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 53c | 27.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 52c | 25.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 54c | 18.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Nongshim Red Force won
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)Nongshim Red Force won
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)Nongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Nongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.