Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71643b0a74d46a9bd2d15970365db2fbcb809ff06b38d1b999a8fa5a6bc1d594
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Under | 46c | 36,593$17,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,012.71 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Over | 56c | 31,794$17,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,097.36 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 52c | 13,135$6,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,294.15 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.99 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…433dbacked Under | 44c | 5,811$2,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Under | 44c | 4,007$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Under | 47c | 2,360$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.15 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Under | 44c | 1,597$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.78 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 44c | 1,056$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.35 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 54c | 972.4$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.3 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Under | 44c | 545.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.24 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 44c | 502.97$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.31 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed Under | 44c | 483.2$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.61 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Under | 44c | 357.79$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.43 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Under | 44c | 329.45$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.96 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…5627backed Under | 44c | 329.45$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed Over | 54c | 291.72$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 54c | 199$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 47c | 185.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Under | 44c | 182.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.27 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 54c | 111.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Under | 48c | 111.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39b6…43d6backed Over | 61c | 109.89$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Under | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +16.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Over | 53c | 94.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…15efbacked Under | 47c | 37.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Over | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 461 | 54.9%253 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Over | 54c | 35.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 48c | 25.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaac…2e35backed Under | 72c | 20.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Nongshim Red Force won
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)Nongshim Red Force won
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)Nongshim Red Force won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Nongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.