Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5928ee667b854a2fd821027a7c44cf4399815cbde69d5bfcb2c35e0ca8ed84f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South America Rejectsof Aurora, South America Rejects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $345,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $379,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked South America Rejects | 32c | 164,506$52,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,646.48 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 66c | 119,873$79,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,386.96 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Aurora | 67c | 20,839$13,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,962.03 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 69c | 20,624$14,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,180.87 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed South America Rejects | 63c | 18,608$11,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,822.97 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Aurora | 71c | 16,190$11,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,489.1 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora | 71c | 7,962$5,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,613.73 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Aurora | 27c | 6,957$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.26 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Aurora | 63c | 5,489$3,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,443.74 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Aurora | 67c | 5,276$3,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,530.18 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked South America Rejects | 25c | 5,215$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,911.5 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed South America Rejects | 55c | 4,990$2,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.51 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed South America Rejects | 31c | 4,203$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,894.44 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora | 70c | 4,109$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860.44 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed South America Rejects | 24c | 4,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,019.98 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Aurora | 69c | 3,731$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,562.53 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked South America Rejects | 31c | 3,687$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.28 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Aurora | 70c | 3,607$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.47 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed South America Rejects | 34c | 3,041$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.47 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 74c | 2,701$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.56 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Aurora | 65c | 2,342$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.63 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed South America Rejects | 33c | 2,213$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.99 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed South America Rejects | 33c | 2,133$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.53 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 30c | 2,122$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.02 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed South America Rejects | 34c | 1,764$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.23 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed South America Rejects | 32c | 1,678$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.2 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed Aurora | 37c | 1,552$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.39 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked South America Rejects | 32c | 1,549$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.51 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed South America Rejects | 56c | 1,540$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.68 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed South America Rejects | 33c | 1,513$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.71 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked South America Rejects | 35c | 1,450$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.33 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked South America Rejects | 34c | 1,382$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.11 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…0ad0backed South America Rejects | 35c | 1,279$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.37 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked South America Rejects | 50c | 1,279$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.22 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Aurora | 74c | 1,172$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.59 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Aurora | 34c | 1,118$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.12 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…946bbacked Aurora | 36c | 1,118$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.13 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked South America Rejects | 43c | 1,017$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.45 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed South America Rejects | 51c | 1,002$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.98 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Aurora | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed South America Rejects | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Aurora | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +127%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Aurora | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 0%0 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Aurora | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Aurora | 7c | 1,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…c05fbacked Aurora | 74c | 991.09$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.51 | 169 | 32.5%55 W · 114 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora | 64c | 891.24$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.1 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked South America Rejects | 61c | 856.37$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.36 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed South America Rejects | 34c | 850$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 55c | 843.67$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.65 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Aurora | 71c | 827.41$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.81 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Aurora | 74c | 753.7$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.2 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Aurora | 70c | 736.5$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.55 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked South America Rejects | 33c | 734.55$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.81 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Aurora | 69c | 727$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.82 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 53c | 714.74$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.45 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Aurora | 69c | 711.15$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.69 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed South America Rejects | 34c | 700$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed South America Rejects | 26c | 690.58$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.54 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed South America Rejects | 61c | 689.74$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.48 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed Aurora | 62c | 653.34$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.74 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked South America Rejects | 33c | 648.59$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.56 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed South America Rejects | 71c | 609.67$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.55 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked South America Rejects | 34c | 600$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Aurora | 74c | 600$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Aurora | 51c | 587.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.62 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Aurora | 66c | 587.76$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.92 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed South America Rejects | 33c | 581.29$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.46 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed South America Rejects | 25c | 553.9$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.42 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Aurora | 40c | 539.06$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.63 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed South America Rejects | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ba…b7bfbacked Aurora | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed South America Rejects | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Aurora | 67c | 447.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d6…b7b5backed Aurora | 67c | 429.33$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.65 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked South America Rejects | 60c | 416.14$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.07 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Aurora | 70c | 408.51$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.96 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked South America Rejects | 25c | 384.49$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed South America Rejects | 23c | 380$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.6 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb05…ed70backed South America Rejects | 35c | 366.09$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.96 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Aurora | 4c | 364.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Aurora | 71c | 359.99$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.47 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Aurora | 6c | 357.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora | 58c | 345.62$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.97 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked South America Rejects | 29c | 342.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.09 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d5…dc17backed South America Rejects | 75c | 335.28$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 73 | 76.7%56 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Aurora | 62c | 326.2$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.33 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed South America Rejects | 31c | 323.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.52 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked South America Rejects | 29c | 310.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.33 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed South America Rejects | 33c | 297.11$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.35 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Aurora | 70c | 295.21$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.65 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…a56fbacked Aurora | 66c | 293.88$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…bd09backed South America Rejects | 57c | 284.19$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked South America Rejects | 79c | 268$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed South America Rejects | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Aurora | 75c | 250$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe232…6ceabacked Aurora | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Aurora | 57c | 245.11$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.47 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed South America Rejects | 35c | 219.66$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.78 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f0…2923backed Aurora | 48c | 203.3$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs South America Rejects (+1.5)South America Rejects won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.