Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3591830e9231c70ba2609b132e3d4fe815fa29f16e43b0f6f5307835f8d3b0bc

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Auroraof Aurora, South America Rejects
Resolved: Apr 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $221,319
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $266,451

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,319 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x18bb…e5cdbacked South America Rejects	28c	18,920$5,297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,297.47	130	20%26 W · 104 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Aurora	74c	14,081$10,366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,715.49	714	54.5%389 W · 325 L	+55.6wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked South America Rejects	11c	7,024$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760.15	106	18.9%20 W · 86 L	-14.0wins	-0.13per pick	32cpaid	-52%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa222…7d3cbacked South America Rejects	13c	6,904$884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$883.97	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed South America Rejects	15c	5,462$814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$814.47	810	29.4%238 W · 572 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed South America Rejects	28c	5,000$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	894	40.3%360 W · 534 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked South America Rejects	10c	4,915$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.47	897	49.6%445 W · 452 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed South America Rejects	10c	3,908$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.39	686	49.7%341 W · 345 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4574…273dbacked South America Rejects	16c	3,900$643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$643.07	126	30.2%38 W · 88 L	-13.5wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora	72c	3,540$2,548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$991.07	802	56%449 W · 353 L	+22.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed2…d00bbacked Aurora	72c	3,265$2,351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$914.01	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.26per pick	54cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed South America Rejects	14c	2,987$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.75	517	51.3%265 W · 252 L	+21.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Aurora	77c	2,955$2,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$671.33	1,202	59.3%713 W · 489 L	+64.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Aurora	78c	2,884$2,249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$634.46	138	54.3%75 W · 63 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed South America Rejects	15c	2,764$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.69	97	36.1%35 W · 62 L	-6.7wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Aurora	74c	2,666$1,973 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$693.16	174	44.8%78 W · 96 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed South America Rejects	17c	2,271$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.07	81	37%30 W · 51 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked South America Rejects	25c	2,166$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541.44	565	42.8%242 W · 323 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed South America Rejects	25c	1,977$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.09	335	41.2%138 W · 197 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf8…2f4abacked South America Rejects	21c	1,790$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.08	50	34%17 W · 33 L	+5.7wins	+0.11per pick	23cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed South America Rejects	28c	1,760$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.74	96	57.3%55 W · 41 L	+8.5wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed South America Rejects	10c	1,729$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.86	470	46.6%219 W · 251 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed Aurora	77c	1,685$1,298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.61	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Aurora	72c	1,551$1,117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$434.42	569	55.5%316 W · 253 L	+22.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Aurora	72c	1,523$1,097 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.43	345	44.3%153 W · 192 L	-15.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked South America Rejects	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	167	25.7%43 W · 124 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Aurora	72c	1,464$1,054 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.82	494	55.1%272 W · 222 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed South America Rejects	2c	1,374$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.97	400	14.8%59 W · 341 L	+11.2wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe438…e80cbacked South America Rejects	2c	1,283$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.81	59	10.2%6 W · 53 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked South America Rejects	15c	1,198$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.76	562	43.2%243 W · 319 L	+14.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed South America Rejects	25c	1,125$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.26	155	44.5%69 W · 86 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed South America Rejects	16c	1,105$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.74	885	39.7%351 W · 534 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked South America Rejects	17c	1,105$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.54	372	23.1%86 W · 286 L	-38.2wins	-0.10per pick	33cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xba8c…9b7dbacked South America Rejects	27c	1,062$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.86	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed South America Rejects	17c	1,051$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	233	42.9%100 W · 133 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed South America Rejects	16c	1,050$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	49	51%25 W · 24 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked South America Rejects	14c	1,003$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.41	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed South America Rejects	21c	1,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	40	35%14 W · 26 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed South America Rejects	21c	999.98$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	1,248	44.4%554 W · 694 L	+17.0wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed South America Rejects	20c	940.13$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.43	183	56.8%104 W · 79 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked South America Rejects	17c	919.74$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.14	268	43.7%117 W · 151 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc186…ad81backed Aurora	75c	816.92$611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.35	37	67.6%25 W · 12 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed South America Rejects	15c	815.76$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.36	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed South America Rejects	23c	815.33$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.04	54	50%27 W · 27 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd514…a68abacked Aurora	80c	786.84$629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.37	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	68cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4fa…4a86backed South America Rejects	11c	774.58$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.49	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked South America Rejects	9c	754.99$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.84	1,155	47.8%552 W · 603 L	+29.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed South America Rejects	3c	750$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	613	2.1%13 W · 600 L	-23.4wins	-0.04per pick	6cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed South America Rejects	7c	710.54$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.11	568	52.5%298 W · 270 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2487…0ad0backed South America Rejects	27c	708.3$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.24	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed South America Rejects	11c	706.15$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.68	1,036	47.2%489 W · 547 L	+15.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed South America Rejects	26c	665.54$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.04	410	56.8%233 W · 177 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked South America Rejects	12c	663.37$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.54	1,821	45%820 W · 1,001 L	+33.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Aurora	78c	618.67$484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.24	670	43.3%290 W · 380 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Aurora	74c	608.11$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.11	500	53%265 W · 235 L	+14.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee3…7c36backed South America Rejects	10c	600$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	241	31.5%76 W · 165 L	-11.2wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1193…d9c4backed Aurora	72c	581.1$419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.25	78	59%46 W · 32 L	+7.1wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf8cf…0cc7backed South America Rejects	17c	547.35$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.04	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked South America Rejects	18c	528.72$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.42	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6633…dcfebacked South America Rejects	14c	503.99$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.56	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-4.9wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked South America Rejects	16c	500$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	171	46.2%79 W · 92 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Aurora	73c	472$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.44	252	48.8%123 W · 129 L	-11.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc937…273bbacked South America Rejects	12c	471.79$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.84	90	36.7%33 W · 57 L	-4.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Aurora	74c	463.65$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.55	507	49.7%252 W · 255 L	+15.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed South America Rejects	8c	433.9$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.71	117	53%62 W · 55 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a6…fbadbacked Aurora	72c	424.74$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.93	69	49.3%34 W · 35 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked South America Rejects	16c	410.81$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.73	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	34cpaid	-71.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed South America Rejects	14c	343.68$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.41	388	55.2%214 W · 174 L	+29.8wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed South America Rejects	29c	338.39$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.13	336	44%148 W · 188 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Aurora	78c	321.08$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.93	430	49.1%211 W · 219 L	+15.8wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed South America Rejects	15c	314.41$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.99	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf29…da00backed Aurora	74c	299.74$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.93	107	51.4%55 W · 52 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed South America Rejects	19c	293.98$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.86	191	47.6%91 W · 100 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Aurora	74c	292.66$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.09	204	57.8%118 W · 86 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed South America Rejects	13c	287.05$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.47	361	38.2%138 W · 223 L	-20.4wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x410c…d091backed South America Rejects	17c	285.06$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.46	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7413…a22abacked South America Rejects	8c	281.57$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.53	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed South America Rejects	17c	272.18$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.27	109	61.5%67 W · 42 L	+8.1wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fda…0983backed Aurora	73c	269.53$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.77	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	69cpaid	+11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed Aurora	75c	263.07$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.08	139	75.5%105 W · 34 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	73cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Aurora	72c	256.66$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.86	359	51.3%184 W · 175 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed South America Rejects	13c	254.42$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.17	59	50.8%30 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fac…1feebacked Aurora	72c	232.14$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-2.8wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed Aurora	74c	231.37$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.61	108	52.8%57 W · 51 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked South America Rejects	23c	213.65$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.14	47	23.4%11 W · 36 L	-8.5wins	-0.18per pick	42cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed South America Rejects	15c	210.87$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.63	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	29cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed South America Rejects	12c	202.23$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.68	65	55.4%36 W · 29 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Aurora	75c	201.39$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.35	720	35.1%253 W · 467 L	-24.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed South America Rejects	18c	199.98$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	93	39.8%37 W · 56 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed South America Rejects	15c	197.64$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.65	511	40.3%206 W · 305 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Aurora	74c	177.11$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.05	565	48%271 W · 294 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe66e…946bbacked South America Rejects	11c	172.11$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.93	210	43.8%92 W · 118 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Aurora	72c	150.09$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.75	208	58.7%122 W · 86 L	+22.1wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x11b5…d0fdbacked South America Rejects	13c	148.98$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.95	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-3.5wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed South America Rejects	17c	142.89$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.89	1,034	16.3%169 W · 865 L	-158.1wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-51%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8bb4…a903backed Aurora	75c	131.33$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.83	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-7.1wins	-0.19per pick	63cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1bd9…ea45backed South America Rejects	16c	130$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Aurora	74c	130$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.8	324	41.7%135 W · 189 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf8f…8bbabacked South America Rejects	10c	117.3$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.26	98	38.8%38 W · 60 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed South America Rejects	15c	116.6$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.2	127	20.5%26 W · 101 L	-22.6wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects - Game 2 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs South America Rejects (+1.5)South America Rejects won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Aurora vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event